Manchester United vs Liverpool betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Manchester United vs Liverpool prediction: Manchester United 0-2 Liverpool

Super Sunday football from the Premier League brings us the most watched match in club football anywhere in the world.

The North West Derby is England’s ‘Clasico’ between its two most successful teams. It will be screened in more than two-hundred countries world-wide; around four times as many as El Clasico. It is also expected to see estimated audiences of between 750m to 1 billion people tune in to watch it.

Although, recent matches between them have struggled to live up to expectations. Five of the last seven encounters have ended in stalemate, of which three were dull 0-0 draws.

In addition, seven of the last nine matches between them have seen under 2.5 goals scored between the two teams. Only Liverpool’s 3-1 win at Anfield last December and United’s 2-1 win at Old Trafford in March 2018 have clocked in with over 2.5 goals.

Neutral fans will believe that the disparity between the two teams at the moment, coupled with United’s mounting injury problems, means a high-scoring match could be on the cards though.

However, with rumours that Ole Gunnar Solskjær faces the axe should he end up on the wrong side of a rout, the fans of both teams are expecting him to go into damage limitation mode, parking the proverbial bus in the hopes of squeezing out another 0-0 draw, just as his side did back in February.

LONDON, ENGLAND – SEPTEMBER 22: Trent Alexander-Arnold of Liverpool celebrates with teammates Virgil van Dijk and Roberto Firmino after scoring his team’s first goal during the Premier League match between Chelsea FC and Liverpool FC at Stamford Bridge on September 22, 2019 in London, United Kingdom. (Photo by Laurence Griffiths/Getty Images)

Manchester United vs Liverpool: Who will win?

Manchester United have won thirteen of the last eighteen North West Derby’s at Old Trafford, in all competitions. Can they throw the form book out the window with another win on Sunday? They are 17/4 outsiders to do so.

Three of the last four matches between these clubs, at Old Trafford, have ended in stalemate, in all competitions. The odds of them cancelling each other out once more are 14/5.

A Liverpool win would see them equal Manchester City’s Premier League record of eighteen consecutive wins.

However, Jurgen Klopp has never won at Old Trafford in any of his four previous visits as manager. In spite of this, they are huge favourite to win here at 13/20.

Manchester United vs Liverpool: Who will score?

Daniel James (pictured above) has been Manchester United’s most important attacker in the league this season with three non-penalty goals. However, he has failed to register a goal or assist in any of his last eight matches for club or country.

Can the young Welsh international get back to scoring ways in his side’s most important game of the season? James is 7/2 to get on the scoresheet and 11/1 to do so as the game’s opening goal-scorer.

Sadio Mané (pictured above) is Liverpool’s top goal-scorer in the league this season with five goals in just seven starts. He scored the opening goal in Liverpool’s 3-1 win at Anfield against them last season. The Senegal international is 9/2 to open the scoring again at the weekend. Or 13/10 to register his first goal at Old Trafford at any time during the match.

Aside from the three newly-promoted sides, Manchester United is the only current Premier League club against whom Mohamed Salah has failed to score. His zero goals or assists against them in four appearances will be a record he is dying to put right at the weekend.

The Egyptian King is the favourite to open the scoring at 10/3. Or you can find odds of 10/11 for Salah to score at any time.

Manchester United vs Liverpool: Match preview

Since perhaps the 1980s, Liverpool have rarely travelled to Old Trafford as the favourites to come away with all three points. Yet these are the circumstances that they find themselves in come Sunday afternoon.

As the graph above depicts, Manchester United’s starts to the season have been mostly mediocre since Sir Alex Ferguson called it a day. Their one season above the two-points-per-game (PPG) line was largely sustained on the super-human performances of David De Gea.

At the time, it was stated this was unsustainable and their subsequent collapse from there has been brutal to watch.

In contrast, since appointing Klopp in 2015, Liverpool have risen sharply to fill the void that United have left. Three of their four season’s have seen starts above the two PPG line. This is considered the threshold line for a title challenge.

Manchester United vs Liverpool: A comparison across Europe

To make matters worse for United, defeat on Sunday would put them on one PPG. As you can see, this is relegation form in almost any top league in Europe. Their away record of ten straight matches without a win is also a major concern.

Underpinning their problems is a long and ever-growing injury list. The same situation was considered to be the issue that derailed Solskjær’s strong start to his Man Utd managerial career.

The issue here could be a desire to play aggressive, high pressing football without the players being physically capable to do so. Whether this is physical limitation of the players, or an issue with their conditioning, it seems to be a recurring pattern for Solskjær now a couple months into his reign and a couple of months after pre-season break.

They are also really struggling in attack; something that was a concern in the fanbase after moving on Lukaku and Sanchez without any replacements. This Untied side have scored more than once just three of their last twenty-three matches.

This is underpinned by an inability to get the ball into dangerous positions in the oppositions final third. The Red Devils averaged more than nine deep completions in their first four matches of the season. However, their last four matches are:

  • 4 vs Leicester
  • 5 vs West Ham
  • 5 vs Arsenal
  • 5 vs Newcastle United

To put this into perspective, only Wolves, Newcastle, Burnley and Sheffield United have averaged below five deep completions per 90 this season.

SOUTHAMPTON, ENGLAND – AUGUST 17: Jurgen Klopp, Manager of Liverpool acknowledges the fans following his teams victory in the Premier League match between Southampton FC and Liverpool FC at St Mary’s Stadium on August 17, 2019 in Southampton, United Kingdom. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Manchester United vs Liverpool: A look at the visitors

In contrast, everything looks perfect for Liverpool at the moment. They are the only side in the English football league, or in any of the top European leagues, to still have a perfect start to the season.

The Reds have won their last seventeen Premier League matches, just one shy of Manchester City’s record of eighteen. They have scored at least two goals in sixteen of those seventeen matches.

While all of this suggests an obvious away win, form really does go out in the window in these games. At the peak of their powers under Sir Alex Ferguson, Manchester United managed to lose 0-1 three out of four seasons to some sub-par Liverpool sides.

Likewise, while Jurgen Klopp (pictured above) has taken Liverpool up to a playing level they haven’t seen since their glory days in the 1980’s, he has only managed to win just one of seven league matches against United.

His worst PPG record against any club in the Premier League, since taking over the club in October 2015, is against Manchester United with a meagre one PPG.

It is doubtful he will ever have a better opportunity to improve on this than at the weekend.

MANCHESTER, ENGLAND – FEBRUARY 12: Jesse Lingard of Manchester United is assisted with an injury by Juan Bernat of before he is substituted during the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 First Leg match between Manchester United and Paris Saint-Germain at Old Trafford on February 12, 2019 in Manchester, England. (Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images)

Manchester United team news vs Liverpool

Manchester United could be without as many as ten of the first team squad come kick-off on Sunday.

Eric Bailly, Timothy Fosu-Mensah, Phil Jones and Diogo Dalot have all been ruled out.

David de Gea has also been ruled out with a groin injury after hobbling off during Spain’s Euro 2020 qualifier against Sweden last week. Sergio Romero looks set to deputise in what would be only his eighth Premier League appearance since joining United in 2015.

Paul Pogba has also been ruled out by Solskjær due to a foot injury. He underwent an intense recovery program during the international break in Dubai but has failed to recover in time for Sunday.

Aaron Wan-Bissaka is still doubtful as he struggles with tonsillitis, having missed each of their last three games. He is expected to recover in time for this match though.

Concerns over Daniel James playing after appearing to be knocked unconscious during the international break has seen him marked as a doubt also. However, it appears he was merely play-acting to time waste and there are no actual concussion fears.

Jesse Lingard (pictured above) and Anthony Martial are both hopeful of winning their battles to be fit for Sunday having returned to training this week.

Luke Shaw is in a similar position as he battles to return from a hamstring injury that has kept him out since the defeat to Crystal Palace.

Predicted Manchester United team vs Liverpool

Predicted Manchester United team vs Liverpool

Predicted Manchester United team vs Liverpool

Liverpool goalkeeper Alisson (right) leaves the pitch after picking up an injury during the Premier League match at Anfield, Liverpool. (Photo by Martin Rickett/PA Images via Getty Images)

Liverpool team news vs Manchester United

Liverpool’s injury situation looks a lot more positive after the international break, with only Nathaniel Clyne, who spent last season out on loan at Bournemouth, being ruled out for Liverpool.

Xheridan Shaqiri remains a doubt due to a persistent calf problem. Regardless, he wouldn’t be expected to be involved at the weekend.

Alisson Becker (pictured above), who had also been absent with a calf injury, has been pictured taking part in full training once again. He is expected to start at the weekend for the first time since being declared as the world’s best goalkeeper by FIFA.

Joel Matip missed the previous two games due to a minor injury. The big German declared himself fit on Monday and is expected to start once more alongside Virgil van Dijk.

Mohamed Salah suffered a heavy challenge from Choudhury against Leicester just before the international break. Thankfully the damage to his ankle was minimal and he is expected to return on Sunday without missing any football for the Reds.

With Jordan Henderson so heavily involved during the international break for England, it is possible we see one of Naby Keita, James Milner or Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain given a chance in midfield.

Predicted Liverpool team vs Manchester United

Predicted Liverpool team vs Manchester United

Predicted Liverpool team vs Manchester United

The latest tweets from Manchester United pre-Liverpool

The latest tweets from Liverpool pre-Manchester United

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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