Barcelona vs Liverpool betting tips: Champions League preview & predictions

Barcelona vs Liverpool prediction: Barcelona 2-2 Liverpool

Barcelona welcome Liverpool to Camp Nou for this clash between the two favourites to win the 2018/19 UEFA Champions League.

Barcelona recently retained the La Liga title; their eighth title win in eleven years. While last years beaten Champions League finalists, Liverpool, are set to push Manchester City to the final day of the season in a bid to clinch their first league title in twenty-nine years.

This is Barcelona’s first Champions League semi-final since the 2014/15 season. They defeated Bayern that year en-route to the final. There they defeated Juventus, in Berlin, to pick up their fifth victory in the competition.

These two teams are quite familiar with each other in European competition. This will actually be the ninth meeting between them, in total. Liverpool hold the upper-hand in the head-to-head, particularly here at Camp Nou.

In their 1976 UEFA Cup winning season, Liverpool defeated Barcelona 0-1 in the Semi-Final. They returned here in their 2001 winning season, drawing 0-0 before defeating them 0-1 at Anfield.

The Merseyside giants repeated the 0-0 scoreline during the Champions League group stages in the 2001/02 season. Then Liverpool returned to beat them again in the last 16 of the Champions League in 2007, before losing the final to AC Milan.

Barcelona vs Liverpool: Who will win?

Virgil van Dijk

PORTO, PORTUGAL – APRIL 17: Virgil van Dijk of Liverpool celebrates after scoring his team’s fourth goal during the UEFA Champions League Quarter Final second leg match between Porto and Liverpool at Estadio do Dragao on April 17, 2019 in Porto, Portugal. (Photo by Matthias Hangst/Getty Images)

Barcelona are undefeated in their last ten matches in the Champions League. However, they have never defeated Liverpool in the Camp Nou in four attempts.

Can Barcelona finally beat the Reds at the 5th time of asking? They are odds on at 10/11 to get the job done here on Wednesday night.

Barcelona are yet to draw a Champions League match at the Camp Nou this season. Likewise, Liverpool have yet to see an away match end in stalemate in the competition this season. However, two of Liverpool’s four visits here in the past ended 0-0. If you think a draw is on the cards here, you can get odds of 14/5.

Liverpool have won each of their last three matches in the Champions League. They also won here on their last visit in 2007. They are big outsiders to repeat that result, with odds of 16/5 available for a Liverpool win.


Barcelona vs Liverpool: Who will score?

Bar chart showing the top goalscorers of both clubs, in their domestic leagues, filtered on total goals scored (Orange Bar). Expected Goals per 90 (Charcoal) and Goals per 90 (Silver) are also shown. Data as At 26 April 2019. Click to Expand.

Bar chart showing the top goalscorers of both clubs, in their domestic leagues, filtered on total goals scored (Orange Bar). Expected Goals per 90 (Charcoal) and Goals per 90 (Silver) are also shown. Data as At 26 April 2019. Click to Expand.

Lionel Messi is the tournament’s top scorer with ten goals so far this season. The next highest scorer, who still remains in the competition, is Dusan Tadic, with six. Liverpool are the only English side Messi has played against and failed to score. He is the 11/4 favourite to score first on Wednesday, or 8/11 at any time.

Luis Suárez has twenty-four goals in forty-seven appearances, in all competitions, for Barcelona this season. However, he is yet to find the net in the Champions League this season. Can he end his drought in this competition against the club he left almost five years ago? Luis Suarez is 4/1 to score first on Wednesday, or 11/10 at any time.

Mohamed Salah ended his year-long wait for an away goal in this competition with the 2nd goal, in a 1-4 win, in Porto two week ago. Salah followed this up with a brace at the weekend, against Huddersfield. This hints that the Egyptian forward could be coming into form at the best possible time for Liverpool. Salah is 11/2 to score first here; 8/5 to score at any time.

Barcelona vs Liverpool: Match preview

Graph showing the Expected Goal Difference (Gold) and non-shot Expected Goal Difference (Grey) for Barcelona and Liverpool. Click to expand.

Graph showing the Expected Goal Difference (Gold) and non-shot Expected Goal Difference (Grey) for Barcelona and Liverpool. Click to expand.

Both sets of fans seem apprehensive about this fixture, and for good reason.

For Barcelona, Liverpool perhaps represent a bad matchup for them, stylistically. They were shocked by the 3-4 defeat against Real Betis before Christmas. A combination of aggressive pressing, counter attacking in large numbers and at pace, while clinically finishing the handful of big chances they created.

A similar open, high-scoring match here on Wednesday night would likely play right into Liverpool’s hands. Jurgen Klopp has literally made a career out of such games.

While for Liverpool, they represent a target for Lionel Messi. The only English club he is yet to slay. A side that has visited the Camp Nou on four separate occasions and are yet to taste defeat. It is a record that must end at some point. Will that time come on Wednesday night though?

Barcelona will likewise be looking at exploiting the time and space sides have been finding to attack Liverpool’s right side in recent weeks. It is an area where Jordi Alba has been running riot for Barcelona this season with a remarkable three goals and sixteen assists.

They may also look to use the raw pace of Dembele to exploit that area in a similar way Wilfried Zaha and Marcus Rashford have done this season. And even Huddersfield’s Karlan Grant managed to at the weekend.

Regardless of the winner, it looks a very evenly matched tie between two sides capable of scoring a high number of goals, if given the opportunities.

Barcelona team news vs Liverpool

BARCELONA, SPAIN – MARCH 14: Ousmane Dembele of Barcelona celebrates with Lionel Messi as he scores their second goal during the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 Second Leg match FC Barcelona and Chelsea FC at Camp Nou on March 14, 2018 in Barcelona, Spain. (Photo by Shaun Botterill/Getty Images)

Barcelona’s starting XI for Wednesday night’s semi-final largely picks itself.

Having seen Trent Alexander-Arnold’s struggles against quicker, more physical wingers in recent weeks, Ernesto Valverde may choose Ousmane Dembele in attack over Philippe Coutinho.

Nélson Semedo may also be preferred at right-back ahead of Sergi Roberto to help combat the pace of Liverpool’s front three.

Valverde is likely to otherwise opt for the same players that started here against Manchester United two weeks ago.

Liverpool team news vs Barcelona

Roberto Firmino

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – APRIL 09: Roberto Firmino of Liverpool celebrates after scoring his team’s second goal during the UEFA Champions League Quarter Final first leg match between Liverpool and Porto at Anfield on April 09, 2019 in Liverpool, England. (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images)

Alex Oxlade Chamberlain made his long-awaited comeback at the weekend with a brief cameo against Huddersfield. However, given his lack of match sharpness, he is unlikely to be involved here.

Fabinho missed Friday night’s game as a concussion precaution. He is likely to be available for the trip to the Camp Nou.

Having played for the full 90 minutes on Friday, both Naby Keita and Jordan Henderson are likely candidates to be rotated out of the starting XI for the fresh legs of James Milner.

Roberto Firmino also missed Friday’s 5-0 win over Huddersfield due to a minor muscle injury. He is also expected to be available to play a part on Wednesday.

Dejan Lovren got a rare start at the weekend. However, Joel Matip looks the clear first choice at Liverpool to start alongside PFA Player of the Year, Virgil van Dijk.

Any fears over the fitness of Mo Salah were allayed when the Egyptian trained on Tuesday.

Predicted Barcelona team vs Liverpool

Predicted Barcelona team vs Liverpool

Predicted Barcelona team vs Liverpool

Predicted Liverpool team vs Barcelona

Predicted Liverpool team vs Barcelona

Predicted Liverpool team vs Barcelona

The latest tweets from Barcelona pre-Liverpool

The latest tweets from Liverpool pre-Barcelona

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Related: FC Barcelona vs Liverpool live streaming: Watch online, preview, prediction and odds.

Get notified!
About the best football betting tips from industry experts!
Thank you!

Back Barcelona at 8/1 or Liverpool at 28/1 in the CL 1st leg!