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World Cup day 15 betting tips round up: England vs Senegal & France vs Poland

Double of the day:


England vs Senegal


England are unbeaten in 20 internationals against African nations, winning 14 of them, so are fully expected to extend that record here.

The Three Lions cruised through the group phase, topping a World Cup group for the first time in 16 years.

By putting six past Iran and then scoring three against Wales, England scored 9+ goals in a single group phase campaign at a major tournament for the first time ever.

So, the 2018 semi-finalists and Euro 2020 runners-up could hardly come into this tie in better form.

However, under Gareth Southgate, their knockout phase matches tend to be low-scoring affairs.

Excluding extra time, their seven knockout fixtures under Southgate have produced just 16 goals, four of which came in last year’s demolition of Ukraine in Rome.

Secondary tip of the day


Both of England’s last two matches, against USA and Wales, have been goalless at the break.

Similarly, Senegal’s opener with Netherlands was 0-0 at the break, before they’ve netted on the cusp of the interval against both Qatar and Ecuador.

Aliou Cissé’s team did win AFCON back in February, but their last 16 competitive outings have produced a measly 31 goals, an average of a goal every 48.4 minutes.

So, do not be surprised one bit if the game is scoreless at the break at Al-Bayt Stadium.

Goalscorer tip of the day


If someone is to make the breakthrough, Harry Kane seems the most likely source doesn’t he?

The 2018 golden boot winner has had four shots so far, none of which have been on target, but has registered three assists, putting the ball on a plate for Phil Foden on Tuesday.

At the Euros last year, Kane looked lacklustre and, frankly, unfit during the group phase, but came alive in the round of 16 against Germany, heading home the decisive second clincher.

Expect another key contribution from captain Kane in Al Khor.

France vs Poland


France are unbeaten in seven meetings with Poland, dating back 40 years, although, their sole World Cup meeting did go the Poles way, prevailing 3-2 in the third-place play-off at Spain ‘82.

This time round, the reigning world champions come into this tie as overwhelming favourites to advance.

Les Bleus beat both Australia and Denmark in the group phase, so already had top spot, pretty much, sown up, allowing Didier Deschamps to field a reserve XI against Tunisia.

His team were beaten 1-0 in that game, suggesting that, perhaps, Deschamps doesn’t have quite as much squad depth as he might like.

Nevertheless, France have won nine of their last 11 knockout games, reaching a Euros final and winning both the Nations League and the World Cup in this period.

Their only such defeats in the last eight years have come against Portugal in extra time and at the hands of Switzerland, the latter on penalties.

In fact, since 2004, France have only lost two knockout matches in 90 minutes, these against Spain in 2012 and Germany two summers later.

So, expect the reigning and defending world champions to come through this one relatively easily.

Secondary tip of the day


On the flip side, Poland have been generally dire in Qatar.

The Eagles only group stage win came over Saudi Arabia, needing Wojciech Szczęsny to save a penalty before Robert Lewandowski was presented with a late gift.

In the end, Czesław Michniewicz’s team qualified at Mexico’s expense on goal difference, but were only going through on disciplinary points, the seventh tie-breaker, for long periods of a nervy final night.

This is the first time since Mexico ‘86 they’ve reached the round of 16, with Poland’s only knockout win, at any tournament, in the last four decades coming over Switzerland in a shootout at Euro 2016.

So far, Poland have recorded an xG figure of just 2.8 across three games, around a third of which is due to the fact they were awarded but missed a penalty against Mexico.

Overall, having mustered just five shots on target, including none against Argentina, they’re unlikely to pose too much of an attacking threat here.

Goalscorer tip of the day


Poland’s defence, specifically Kamil Glik, love to defend crosses, which may stifle Olivier Giroud’s attempts to break Thierry Henry’s French goal-scoring record.

This makes Kylian Mbappé, who’s already scored three times in just two starts, France’s primary threat, if he wasn’t already.

The PSG forward looked on top form against Denmark, netting twice, so he’ll be confident of adding to his seven World Cup goals here.


Picture of Ben Gray

Ben Gray

Arsenal fan – follow them over land and sea (and Leicester); sofa Celtic supporter; a bit of a football '"encyclopedia".

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