Burnley vs Newcastle betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Burnley vs Newcastle prediction: Burnley 2-1 Newcastle

Burnley welcome Newcastle United to Turf Moor on Saturday knowing a defeat could see them nervously looking over their shoulders once more at the relegation zone as they head into the busy Christmas period.

While a win would put a nice buffer of up to six points between themselves and the sides battling it out at the bottom.

For Newcastle, a win on Saturday could steer them into the upper half of the table putting them amongst the likes of Manchester United, Wolves, Spurs and Arsenal vying for European qualification come the end of the season.

Burnley vs Newcastle: Who will win?

Dwight McNeil of Burnley during the Premier League match between Burnley and Arsenal at Turf Moor, Burnley on Sunday 12th May 2019. (Photo by Mark Fletcher/MI News/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Burnley have won only one of the six matches between these sides in the Premier League era. Despite this they are the favourites to secure a win over Steve Bruce’s side at Evens.

Half of the matches between these sides in the Premier League era have ended in stalemate. Odds of 12/5 can be found if you believe they will cancel each other out once again.

Newcastle completed a league double over Burnley last season. These marked the first victories for the Geordies in this head to head since the mid-seventies. They are the 11/4 outsiders to secure back-to-back victories at Turf Moor.

Burnley vs Newcastle: Who will score?

Newcastle United’s Jonjo Shelvey celebrates scoring his sides second goal w Newcastle United v Manchester City – Premier League – St James’ Park 30-11-2019 . (Photo by Richard Sellers/EMPICS/PA Images via Getty Images)

With Ashley Barnes still doubtful for this match with injury, Chris Wood will be the main man to grab the goals for Burnley here. Barnes and Wood are Burnley’s joint top scorers this season with six goals apiece.

However, after a run of six goals in six games, Wood has now gone three games without a goal. Despite this, he is the favourite to open the scoring at the weekend at 9/2. He is 6/4 to score at any time.

Jonjo Shelvey is Newcastle’s top scorer this season, with five league goals. He has scored in each of Newcastle’s last three league games, including that stunning equaliser against Manchester City. Shelvey’s odds of scoring again here are surprisingly high, at 13/2, or 18/1 as first scorer.

Joelinton has struggled for goals since becoming Newcastle’s record signing in the summer. He has just one league goal in sixteen appearances. However, the luck has to change at some point for the big Brazilian. Perhaps that will be on Saturday, when he is the 13/5 favourite to get a goal for Newcastle. Or you can back him to be the game’s first scorer at 15/2.

Burnley vs Newcastle: Match preview

Just a few weeks ago, back to back victories over West Ham and Watford had steered Sean Dyche’s side into 6th place in the Premier League table.

Since then, three consecutive defeats at home to Crystal Palace, Manchester City and away to Spurs has seen them slide back down the table into 13th before this weekend’s games. On the balance of play, they deserved at least a point, or perhaps even all three, against Crystal Palace.

The same cannot be said about their games against City and Spurs, in which they were absolutely battered from start to finish and were comfortably beaten in both games.

This leaves them now three points above the relegation zone. However, they have tended to fare better against the weaker sides in the Premier League this season.

Dyche’s side have picked up just one point from matches against the top half sides in the league this season; in a 1-1 draw at Wolves at the start of the season. This averages out at just 0.11 points per game.

In contrast, against the bottom half they have seventeen points from seven matches; an average of 2.43 points per game.

Burnley vs Newcastle: A look at the visitors

Newcastle picked up an excellent win at the weekend. Although, the match stats above suggest they were more than a little fortunate.

The difference between the teams could be put down to simply Newcastle taking their chances while Southampton did not. Southampton had almost double Newcastle’s expected goals (xG).

We can see above; this has been a recurring pattern for Newcastle this season. They have managed to squeeze out points that their play perhaps didn’t deserve. In fact, on only two occasions this season – versus West Ham and Bournemouth – have they actually outperformed their opponents in terms of xG.

As the old adage goes though, it is better to be lucky than good. Newcastle fans will no doubt be hoping they get lucky again at the weekend.

Burnley team news vs Newcastle

BURNLEY, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 26: Sean Dyche, Manager of Burnley looks on prior to the Premier League match between Burnley FC and Newcastle United at Turf Moor on November 26, 2018 in Burnley, United Kingdom. (Photo by Gareth Copley/Getty Images)

Johann Gudmundsson is the only player officially ruled out for the weekend at this moment in time. However, a number of players have been battling to get fit for the festive period.

Charlie Taylor, Phil Bardsley, Ashley Barnes, Kevin Long and Ashley Westwood are among those who will be given every chance to prove their fitness prior to the matchday squad being named for this one.

Bardsley, Barnes and Westwood in particular are proving to be big losses for Dyche’s side. Matt Lowton, Robbie Brady and Jay Rodriguez will be the likely starters if they are absent once more.

Predicted Burnley team vs Newcastle

Predicted Burnley team vs Newcastle

Predicted Burnley team vs Newcastle

Newcastle team news vs Burnley

NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE, ENGLAND – DECEMBER 08: Allan Saint-Maximin of Newcastle United goes off injured during the Premier League match between Newcastle United and Southampton FC at St. James Park on December 08, 2019 in Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom. (Photo by Nigel Roddis/Getty Images)

Jamaal Lascelles and Matt Ritchie are still ruled out for the Geordies.

Allan Saint-Maximin left the pitch in the sixth minute of injury time of the victory against Southampton last weekend. The club have now revealed the player suffered a torn hamstring and has been ruled out for up to a month. Christian Atsu looks set to deputise for him.

Ciaran Clark is also doubtful for the trip to Burnley. He was withdrawn at half-time versus Southampton with a calf problem. Fabian Schar will come in to replace him.

DeAndre Yedlin and Florian Lejeune are both close to a return for Newcastle. Although the match this weekend could come a little too soon for them.

Predicted Newcastle team vs Burnley

Predicted Newcastle team vs Burnley

Predicted Newcastle team vs Burnley

The latest tweets from Burnley pre-Newcastle

The latest tweets from Newcastle pre-Burnley

https://twitter.com/NUFC/status/1204828308363456512

https://twitter.com/NUFC/status/1204787671622651905

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.


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