Southampton vs Brighton betting tips
This article covers Southampton vs Brighton betting tips and predictions. These are the betting odds:
o – Southampton win 2.45/1 favourites.
o – Draw 3.4/1
o – Brighton win 2.75/1
Note: All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Southampton vs Brighton: Match details
Match: Southampton vs Brighton
Competition: Premier League
Date: December 4, 2021
Kick-off time: 3:00 pm, December 4, 2021 (UK time)
Stadium: St. Mary’s Stadium
Betting prediction: Southampton 2 – 2 Brighton
Southampton welcomes Brighton to St Mary’s Stadium on Saturday for this Premier League match.
Due to the absence of both Portsmouth and Bournemouth from the Premier League, this match is dubbed the ‘South Coast derby’ by some sections of the media with the clubs separated by just 60 miles.
The Saints have the upper hand in the head-to-head, with 3 wins to Brighton’s 1, from their 8 encounters in the Premier League.
However, Brighton’s victory actually came the last time they faced each other back in March. It ended a run of 8 games without a win in this head-to-head in all competitions.
Southampton also have the upper hand in all competitions, with 36 wins to 21 dating back to when they first faced each other in the Southern League back in 1903.
Southampton vs Brighton: Recommended bets
101 Great Goals’ prediction for this match is Southampton 2 – 2 Brighton and is available at odds of 17/1.
3-0 Southampton win. Despite Southampton’s dominance in this head-to-head, you have to go back to 2012 when they faced each other in the Championship to find their last home win in this fixture. A repeat of the 3-0 score from that day is available at odds of 26/1.
1-2 Brighton win. Brighton’s last visit to St Mary’s Stadium back in March ended in a 1-2 away win. You can back them at 12/1 for the same scoreline here on Saturday.
Under 2.5 goals. Both matches in this head-to-head finished with over 2.5 goals scored last season. However, 6 of the 7 matches prior to that ended with under 2.5 goals. You can back a return to low scoring games in this head-to-head on Saturday with odds of 1.66/1 for under 2.5 goals.
Neal Maupay Goalscorer. After something of a barren spell, Maupay returned to the scoresheet last time out at West Ham. The 25-year-old striker is the 7/1 favourite to score the game’s opener on Saturday. Or 3.1/1 to bag a goal at any time during the game against Southampton.
Southampton vs Brighton: What are the betting odds?
The Saints are 2.45/1 favourites to get their first home win in this head-to-head in the Premier League on Saturday.
Whereas, the Seagulls are 2.75/1 to pick up back-to-back away wins at St Mary’s Stadium.
Odds of 3.4/1 are available if you see Southampton and Brighton cancelling each other out on Saturday, as they have done in 3 out of 4 Premier League matches here.
Southampton vs Brighton – recent form and head to head statistics
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Southampton FC - 3:1
Southampton FC vs Brentford FC - 4:1
Swansea City vs Southampton FC - 2:3
Southampton FC vs Tottenham Hotspur - 1:1
West Ham United vs Southampton FC - 2:3
|Latest match form, last 5 games:||
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC - 1:1
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace - 1:1
West Bromwich Albion vs Brighton & Hove Albion - 1:2
Everton FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion - 2:3
Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion - 1:1
|January 15, 2022||Premier League 21/22||Wolverhampton Wanderers||3 - 1||Southampton FC|
|January 11, 2022||Premier League 21/22||Southampton FC||4 - 1||Brentford FC|
|January 8, 2022||FA Cup 21/22||Swansea City||2 - 3||Southampton FC|
|January 2, 2022||Premier League 21/22||Southampton FC||0 - 0||Newcastle United|
|December 28, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Southampton FC||1 - 1||Tottenham Hotspur|
|January 18, 2022||Premier League 21/22||Brighton & Hove Albion||1 - 1||Chelsea FC|
|January 14, 2022||Premier League 21/22||Brighton & Hove Albion||1 - 1||Crystal Palace|
|January 8, 2022||FA Cup 21/22||West Bromwich Albion||1 - 2||Brighton & Hove Albion|
|January 2, 2022||Premier League 21/22||Everton FC||2 - 3||Brighton & Hove Albion|
|December 29, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Chelsea FC||1 - 1||Brighton & Hove Albion|
|Southampton FC||Brighton & Hove Albion|
|75||Shots on goal||81|
|77||Shots off goal||90|
|48%||Average ball possession||54%|
|1||Shots on post||2|
|1||Shots on bar||2|
|19||Goals by foot||16|
|4||Goals by head||5|
|Southampton FC||Brighton & Hove Albion|
|1.47||Average Goals Scored||1.05|
|December 4, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Southampton FC||1 - 1||Brighton & Hove Albion|
|March 14, 2021||Premier League 20/21||Southampton FC||1 - 2||Brighton & Hove Albion|
|December 7, 2020||Premier League 20/21||Brighton & Hove Albion||1 - 2||Southampton FC|
|July 16, 2020||Premier League 19/20||Southampton FC||1 - 1||Brighton & Hove Albion|
|August 24, 2019||Premier League 19/20||Brighton & Hove Albion||0 - 2||Southampton FC|
Southampton vs Brighton: Match preview
Last season’s 1-2 win for Brighton was their first over the Saints since 2012. Fans of the Albion believed it was a sign that their club had caught up to and passed their South Coast rivals.
The league table 1/3rd of the way through the season would support that, too, with Brighton in the conversation for playing European football next season at the moment. Southampton, at the other end of the table, are doing everything they can to stay out of the relegation conversation.
Perhaps this is misleading, though, with Brighton’s 4 wins from 5 to start the season propping up their points total at the moment. Their form over the last 9 games tells a completely different story. Only Newcastle have a longer run of games without a win at present, having not won a Premier League match since September 19th. A run of 10 games without a victory in all competitions.
In contrast, Southampton had an awful start to the season and had to wait until matchday 8 to register their first Premier League win of the 2021/22 campaign. Their record since that 1-0 win against Leeds on October 16th is 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Only 6 sides have registered more Premier League points in that time.
So, if the league table is misleading, does expected goals shine the light on these two clubs any better? Well, expected goals models all vary but the one at Understat.com suggests that Brighton and Southampton are the 8th and 9th best teams in the league this season respectively, and should both be sitting on 19 points at present.
Ultimately, it is Southampton’s attack that is separating the sides at the moment, with the Saints underperforming their xG by more than 5 goals already this season. When you have just 13 league goals to your name, 5 goals is a lot.
Adam Armstrong, Mohamed Elyounoussi, Nathan Redmond and Moussa Djenepo are the players mostly culpable for this. The attacking quartet scoring just 3 goals between them with a combined xG of roughly 9.4.
This suggests that who wins on Saturday could simply come down to which side takes their chances. It is a little cliché of course, but Brighton were famously wasteful last season and Southampton have picked up that baton this time round. Which club will still be carrying it come Sunday morning, though?
Southampton team news vs Brighton
Stuart Armstrong is still ruled out with a calf strain. The Saints have plenty of depth in midfield, though, with Will Smallbone and Ibrahima Diallo playing no part in the 2-2 draw with Leicester in midweek.
Sam McQueen is also out with a ruptured cruciate ligament. Given the fact that he has been out for 3 years now, it is doubtful he will ever play again at a Premier League level.
Jack Stephens is back in training after an injury to the tendon in his knee against Manchester City. There is no rush and Southampton will be cautious with how and when they introduce him back into competitive action.
Jan Bednarek (above) is the only fresh injury concern following the match against Leicester. The central defender came off 5 minutes from time with a minor lower leg problem and faces a late fitness test to be involved here. Lyanco will be ready to start in his absence if required.
Brighton team news vs Southampton
Danny Welbeck and Steven Alzate are ruled out after hamstring and ankle surgeries respectively. Both are expected back in team training and hopefully even matches by the New Year.
Tudor Baluta is also on the long-term injury list and hasn’t featured for the club this season.
Brighton added 3 new names to the injury list following their match against West Ham in midweek.
Jeremy Sarmiento was making his full Premier League debut for the Seagulls but lasted just 12 minutes. He hobbled off with a hamstring injury and was replaced by Solly March.
Adam Webster joined him in the treatment room before half-time, suffering a calf injury and needing to be replaced by Shane Duffy.
It went from bad to worse when Adam Lallana (above) was forced to leave the pitch before the end of the match resulting in Brighton playing out the final minutes with only 10 men.
Predicted Southampton line-up vs Brighton
Predicted Brighton line-up vs Southampton
Southampton vs Brighton – Official videos
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The Premier League table as it stands:
|4||West Ham United||22||11||4||7||41||30||11||37|
|9||Brighton & Hove Albion||21||6||11||4||22||22||0||29|
This article was edited by Conor Laird.
Southampton vs Brighton live streaming & betting tips FAQs
What time is kick off between Southampton vs Brighton?
3:00 pm on Saturday Dec 4, 2021 (UK Time)
What are the betting odds for Southampton vs Brighton?
Southampton win 2.45/1 | Brighton win 2.75/1 | Draw 3.4/1
What is the 101 Great Goals prediction for Southampton vs Brighton?
101 Great Goals predicts: Southampton 2 – 2 Brighton