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Southampton vs Brighton betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

This article provides a preview, prediction and betting tips for Southampton vs Brighton in the Premier League on December 4, 2021.
Southampton vs Brighton betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds
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Southampton vs Brighton betting tips

This article covers Southampton vs Brighton betting tips and predictions. These are the betting odds:

o – Southampton win 2.45/1 favourites.

o – Draw 3.4/1

o – Brighton win 2.75/1

Note: All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Southampton vs Brighton betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

WHICHFORD, ENGLAND – APRIL 17: Nike Premier League Strike Football photographed on April 23, 2020 in Whichford, Warwickshire, United Kingdom. No Premier League matches have been played since March 9th due to the Coronavirus Covid-19 pandemic. (Photo by VISIONHAUS)

Southampton vs Brighton: Match details

Match: Southampton vs Brighton

Competition: Premier League

Date: December 4, 2021

Kick-off time: 3:00 pm, December 4, 2021 (UK time)

Stadium: St. Mary’s Stadium

Southampton vs Brighton betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

SOUTHAMPTON, ENGLAND – APRIL 28: Dusan Tadic of Southampton celebrates scoring his side’s first goal during the Premier League match between Southampton and AFC Bournemouth at St Mary’s Stadium on April 28, 2018 in Southampton, England. (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images)

Betting prediction: Southampton 2 – 2 Brighton

Southampton welcomes Brighton to St Mary’s Stadium on Saturday for this Premier League match.

Due to the absence of both Portsmouth and Bournemouth from the Premier League, this match is dubbed the ‘South Coast derby’ by some sections of the media with the clubs separated by just 60 miles.

The Saints have the upper hand in the head-to-head, with 3 wins to Brighton’s 1, from their 8 encounters in the Premier League.

However, Brighton’s victory actually came the last time they faced each other back in March. It ended a run of 8 games without a win in this head-to-head in all competitions.

Southampton also have the upper hand in all competitions, with 36 wins to 21 dating back to when they first faced each other in the Southern League back in 1903.

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Southampton vs Brighton betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

BRIGHTON, ENGLAND – AUGUST 17: Leandro Trossard of Brighton & Hove Albion in action during the Premier League match between Brighton & Hove Albion and West Ham United at American Express Community Stadium on August 17, 2019 in Brighton, United Kingdom. (Photo by Steve Bardens/Getty Images)

Southampton vs Brighton: Recommended bets

101 Great Goals’ prediction for this match is Southampton 2 – 2 Brighton and is available at odds of 17/1.

3-0 Southampton win. Despite Southampton’s dominance in this head-to-head, you have to go back to 2012 when they faced each other in the Championship to find their last home win in this fixture. A repeat of the 3-0 score from that day is available at odds of 26/1.

1-2 Brighton win. Brighton’s last visit to St Mary’s Stadium back in March ended in a 1-2 away win. You can back them at 12/1 for the same scoreline here on Saturday.

Under 2.5 goals. Both matches in this head-to-head finished with over 2.5 goals scored last season. However, 6 of the 7 matches prior to that ended with under 2.5 goals. You can back a return to low scoring games in this head-to-head on Saturday with odds of 1.66/1 for under 2.5 goals.

Neal Maupay Goalscorer. After something of a barren spell, Maupay returned to the scoresheet last time out at West Ham. The 25-year-old striker is the 7/1 favourite to score the game’s opener on Saturday. Or 3.1/1 to bag a goal at any time during the game against Southampton.


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Southampton vs Brighton betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

SOUTHAMPTON, ENGLAND – SEPTEMBER 17: Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg of Southampton (2R) celebrates after scoring his team’s first goal with team mates during the Premier League match between Southampton and Brighton & Hove Albion at St Mary’s Stadium on September 17, 2018 in Southampton, United Kingdom. (Photo by Clive Rose/Getty Images)

Southampton vs Brighton: What are the betting odds?

The Saints are 2.45/1 favourites to get their first home win in this head-to-head in the Premier League on Saturday.

Whereas, the Seagulls are 2.75/1 to pick up back-to-back away wins at St Mary’s Stadium.

Odds of 3.4/1 are available if you see Southampton and Brighton cancelling each other out on Saturday, as they have done in 3 out of 4 Premier League matches here.

Southampton vs Brighton – recent form and head to head statistics

Southampton FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion form
l
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Southampton FC - 3:1
w
Southampton FC vs Brentford FC - 4:1
w
Swansea City vs Southampton FC - 2:3
d
Southampton FC vs Tottenham Hotspur - 1:1
w
West Ham United vs Southampton FC - 2:3
Latest match form, last 5 games:
d
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC - 1:1
d
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace - 1:1
w
West Bromwich Albion vs Brighton & Hove Albion - 1:2
w
Everton FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion - 2:3
d
Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion - 1:1
Last 5 games for Southampton FC
January 15, 2022 Premier League 21/22 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3  - 1 Southampton FC
January 11, 2022 Premier League 21/22 Southampton FC 4  - 1 Brentford FC
January 8, 2022 FA Cup 21/22 Swansea City 2  - 3 Southampton FC
January 2, 2022 Premier League 21/22 Southampton FC 0  - 0 Newcastle United
December 28, 2021 Premier League 21/22 Southampton FC 1  - 1 Tottenham Hotspur
Last 5 games for Brighton & Hove Albion
January 18, 2022 Premier League 21/22 Brighton & Hove Albion 1  - 1 Chelsea FC
January 14, 2022 Premier League 21/22 Brighton & Hove Albion 1  - 1 Crystal Palace
January 8, 2022 FA Cup 21/22 West Bromwich Albion 1  - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion
January 2, 2022 Premier League 21/22 Everton FC 2  - 3 Brighton & Hove Albion
December 29, 2021 Premier League 21/22 Chelsea FC 1  - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion
Southampton FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League 21/22 form
Southampton FC Brighton & Hove Albion
21 Matches played 21
5 Matches won 6
201 Goal attempts 229
75 Shots on goal 81
77 Shots off goal 90
124 Corner kicks 114
48% Average ball possession 54%
49 Shots blocked 58
43 Cards given 42
257 Free kicks 198
18 Offsides 23
1 Shots on post 2
1 Shots on bar 2
19 Goals by foot 16
4 Goals by head 5
25 Goals scored 22
33 Goals conceded 22
Southampton FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion statistics for most recent head to head matches
Southampton FC Brighton & Hove Albion
19 Matches 19
9 Home Matches 10
10 Away Matches 9
28 Total Goals 20
1.47 Average Goals Scored 1.05
9 Wins 3
3 Losses 9
7 Draws 7
Last 5 games & match results between Southampton FC and Brighton & Hove Albion
December 4, 2021 Premier League 21/22 Southampton FC 1  - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion
March 14, 2021 Premier League 20/21 Southampton FC 1  - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion
December 7, 2020 Premier League 20/21 Brighton & Hove Albion 1  - 2 Southampton FC
July 16, 2020 Premier League 19/20 Southampton FC 1  - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion
August 24, 2019 Premier League 19/20 Brighton & Hove Albion 0  - 2 Southampton FC

Southampton vs Brighton betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

Arsenal’s French midfielder Matteo Guendouzi (R) challenges Brighton’s French striker Neal Maupay after the English Premier League football match between Brighton and Hove Albion and Arsenal at the American Express Community Stadium in Brighton, southern England on June 20, 2020 (Photo by RICHARD HEATHCOTE/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

Southampton vs Brighton: Match preview

Last season’s 1-2 win for Brighton was their first over the Saints since 2012. Fans of the Albion believed it was a sign that their club had caught up to and passed their South Coast rivals.

The league table 1/3rd of the way through the season would support that, too, with Brighton in the conversation for playing European football next season at the moment. Southampton, at the other end of the table, are doing everything they can to stay out of the relegation conversation.

Perhaps this is misleading, though, with Brighton’s 4 wins from 5 to start the season propping up their points total at the moment. Their form over the last 9 games tells a completely different story. Only Newcastle have a longer run of games without a win at present, having not won a Premier League match since September 19th. A run of 10 games without a victory in all competitions.

In contrast, Southampton had an awful start to the season and had to wait until matchday 8 to register their first Premier League win of the 2021/22 campaign. Their record since that 1-0 win against Leeds on October 16th is 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Only 6 sides have registered more Premier League points in that time.

So, if the league table is misleading, does expected goals shine the light on these two clubs any better? Well, expected goals models all vary but the one at Understat.com suggests that Brighton and Southampton are the 8th and 9th best teams in the league this season respectively, and should both be sitting on 19 points at present.

Ultimately, it is Southampton’s attack that is separating the sides at the moment, with the Saints underperforming their xG by more than 5 goals already this season. When you have just 13 league goals to your name, 5 goals is a lot.

Adam Armstrong, Mohamed Elyounoussi, Nathan Redmond and Moussa Djenepo are the players mostly culpable for this. The attacking quartet scoring just 3 goals between them with a combined xG of roughly 9.4.

This suggests that who wins on Saturday could simply come down to which side takes their chances. It is a little cliché of course, but Brighton were famously wasteful last season and Southampton have picked up that baton this time round. Which club will still be carrying it come Sunday morning, though?


Southampton vs Brighton betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

MANCHESTER, ENGLAND – FEBRUARY 02: Jan Bednarek of Southampton argues with Mike Dean, the match referee during the Premier League match between Manchester United and Southampton at Old Trafford on February 02, 2021 in Manchester, England. Sporting stadiums around the UK remain under strict restrictions due to the Coronavirus Pandemic as Government social distancing laws prohibit fans inside venues resulting in games being played behind closed doors. (Photo by Phil Noble – Pool/Getty Images)

Southampton team news vs Brighton

Stuart Armstrong is still ruled out with a calf strain. The Saints have plenty of depth in midfield, though, with Will Smallbone and Ibrahima Diallo playing no part in the 2-2 draw with Leicester in midweek.

Sam McQueen is also out with a ruptured cruciate ligament. Given the fact that he has been out for 3 years now, it is doubtful he will ever play again at a Premier League level.

Jack Stephens is back in training after an injury to the tendon in his knee against Manchester City. There is no rush and Southampton will be cautious with how and when they introduce him back into competitive action.

Jan Bednarek (above) is the only fresh injury concern following the match against Leicester. The central defender came off 5 minutes from time with a minor lower leg problem and faces a late fitness test to be involved here. Lyanco will be ready to start in his absence if required.

Southampton vs Brighton betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

MANCHESTER, ENGLAND – OCTOBER 20: Adam Lallana of Liverpool celebrates after scoring his sides first goal during the Premier League match between Manchester United and Liverpool FC at Old Trafford on October 20, 2019 in Manchester, United Kingdom. (Photo by Alex Livesey/Getty Images)

Brighton team news vs Southampton

Danny Welbeck and Steven Alzate are ruled out after hamstring and ankle surgeries respectively. Both are expected back in team training and hopefully even matches by the New Year.

Tudor Baluta is also on the long-term injury list and hasn’t featured for the club this season.

Brighton added 3 new names to the injury list following their match against West Ham in midweek.

Jeremy Sarmiento was making his full Premier League debut for the Seagulls but lasted just 12 minutes. He hobbled off with a hamstring injury and was replaced by Solly March.

Adam Webster joined him in the treatment room before half-time, suffering a calf injury and needing to be replaced by Shane Duffy.

It went from bad to worse when Adam Lallana (above) was forced to leave the pitch before the end of the match resulting in Brighton playing out the final minutes with only 10 men.

Predicted Southampton line-up vs Brighton

Southampton's predicted XI to face Brighton.

Southampton’s predicted XI to face Brighton.

Predicted Brighton line-up vs Southampton

Brighton's predicted XI to face Southampton.

Brighton’s predicted XI to face Southampton.


Southampton vs Brighton – Official videos

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The Premier League table as it stands:

# Team MP W D L F A D P
1 Manchester City 22 18 2 2 54 13 41 56
2 Liverpool FC 21 13 6 2 55 18 37 45
3 Chelsea FC 23 12 8 3 46 18 28 44
4 West Ham United 22 11 4 7 41 30 11 37
5 Arsenal FC 20 11 2 7 33 25 8 35
6 Tottenham Hotspur 18 10 3 5 23 20 3 33
7 Manchester United 20 9 5 6 32 29 3 32
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 20 9 4 7 17 15 2 31
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 21 6 11 4 22 22 0 29
10 Leicester City 18 7 4 7 31 33 -2 25
11 Crystal Palace 21 5 9 7 30 31 -1 24
12 Southampton FC 21 5 9 7 25 33 -8 24
13 Aston Villa 20 7 2 11 27 32 -5 23
14 Brentford FC 21 6 5 10 24 33 -9 23
15 Leeds United 20 5 7 8 24 39 -15 22
16 Everton FC 19 5 4 10 24 34 -10 19
17 Watford FC 19 4 2 13 23 37 -14 14
18 Norwich City 21 3 4 14 10 45 -35 13
19 Newcastle United 20 1 9 10 20 43 -23 12
20 Burnley FC 17 1 8 8 16 27 -11 11
Last updated: 1 min ago

This article was edited by Conor Laird.

Southampton vs Brighton live streaming & betting tips FAQs

What time is kick off between Southampton vs Brighton?

3:00 pm on Saturday Dec 4, 2021 (UK Time)

What are the betting odds for Southampton vs Brighton?

Southampton win 2.45/1 | Brighton win 2.75/1 | Draw 3.4/1

What is the 101 Great Goals prediction for Southampton vs Brighton?

101 Great Goals predicts: Southampton 2 – 2 Brighton

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