Liverpool vs Arsenal betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction: Liverpool 3-1 Arsenal

Saturday’s evening kick-off in the Premier League pits the only two teams against each other with perfect starts to the season. One, if not both, of these records need to end here.

This fixture is usually one of the highlights of the Premier League calendar, with goals looking almost guaranteed here. There have been over 2.5 goals in each of the last six matches between Liverpool and Arsenal, at Anfield, in the Premier League.

Unfortunately for the Gunners, it is Liverpool who have been doing most of the scoring. They have scored twenty-two goals in their last six home matches against Arsenal. The Reds have also conceded eight goals in those matches.

Arsenal come into the game hoping to end a run of eight straight matches against Liverpool, home or away, without a victory. While Liverpool will be hoping to keep their thirty-nine-game unbeaten run at Anfield alive.

Liverpool vs Arsenal: Who will win?

Liverpool have won each of their last three home matches against Arsenal, in the Premier League. They are odds-on favourites at 1/2 to keep that run going here with another home win.

Two of the last three matches between them have ended in stalemate. Odds of 18/5 are available if you think both sides will come out of the game with their unbeaten starts to the season intact.

Arsenal have won their last three matches in the Premier League. However, the Reds are undefeated in their last 39 home matches.

Will Arsenal be the side to end that run on Saturday? They are 5/1 outsiders to do so.

Liverpool vs Arsenal: Who will score?

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – DECEMBER 29: Roberto Firmino of Liverpool celebrates after scoring his sides first goal during the Premier League match between Liverpool FC and Arsenal FC at Anfield on December 29, 2018 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)

Liverpool have scored at least three goals in each of their last four home matches against Arsenal, in all competitions.

Roberto Firmino is usually involved in the scoring. He was the hat-trick hero for the Reds when they last faced Arsenal and has eight goals in as many appearances against Arsenal.

At Anfield, Bobby’s record is even more impressive with three goals and two assists in just four matches. He is 5/1 to open the scoring on Saturday. Or you can get 6/5 odds of him scoring at any time.

Mohamed Salah has also scored in every home appearance against Arsenal in his career; one goal for Chelsea and two goals and two assists for Liverpool.

The two-time Premier League Golden Boot winner is the 8/11 favourite to score at any time in this match. You can back him at 10/3 to get the opening goal of the game.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang was the joint recipient of the Premier League Golden Boot last season along with Liverpool’s Sadio Mané and Mo Salah.

Aubameyang has started the new season in fine form, already bagging two goals in as many games.

However, he is yet to score against the Reds in his two appearances for the Gunners. Will he change that on Saturday? Auba is 13/2 to open the scoring, or 13/8 to score at any time.

Liverpool vs Arsenal: Match preview

The early pacesetters in the Premier League face-off on Saturday. It is also the first match for each of them against one of the ‘big-six’ in the league this season.

They were the bottom two sides in this mini table in 2017/18; Liverpool with two wins and ten points while Arsenal had just one win and six points.

However, last season saw both make a massive improvement in their performances against the other top sides in the Premier League, as shown in the mini table above.

Liverpool saw a 90% improvement here as they went from accumulating 1.0 points per game (PPG) to 1.9 PPG last season. While Arsenal saw a 100% improvement as their PPG went from 0.6 to 1.2 in these matches.

Liverpool vs Arsenal: Key men

Liverpool are aware of Firmino’s importance to the system. It is something Jurgen Klopp has hammered home many times when eulogising about the Brazilian, usually after his end product is questioned in the press.

He is a player who is difficult to quantify statistically. How exactly do you measure the impact of a player who excels off the ball in using movement to create space when all public data on him relates to actions on the ball?

This was be exemplified in the UEFA Super Cup against Chelsea where Liverpool looked a completely different side after half-time when he stepped off the bench.

Beforehand they struggled to play out from the back, create chances or prevent counter attacks when their own attacks broke down. This all changed once Firmino entered the field.

Lacazette is viewed in similar vein by Arsenal fans. The guy who fills spaces to make sure their attack and midfield connects; supporting the midfield in the build-up phase while also being a key component in the penetration and finishing phases for his side.

This head-to-head comparison between the two players shows how statistically similar they are with the ball. It is also notable that Arsenal have never lost to the Reds when Lacazette has started for them. Likewise, Liverpool have never lost to the Gunners with Firmino in the team.

Liverpool team news vs Arsenal

NAPLES, ITALY – OCTOBER 03: Naby Keita of Liverpool receives medical treatment during the Group C match of the UEFA Champions League between SSC Napoli and Liverpool at Stadio San Paolo on October 3, 2018 in Naples, Italy. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Alisson Becker and Nathaniel Clyne remain side-lined for Liverpool due to calf and knee injuries respectively.

Naby Keita has been unavailable for the past two games due to a muscle strain. He looks set to miss the match against Arsenal with Jurgen Klopp stating they aren’t sure exactly how long it will take to clear up.

Adrian recovered from his ankle injury to start against Southampton at the weekend. He had been struggling after being kicked on the ankle by a fan whilst celebrating Liverpool’s UEFA Super Cup win against Chelsea. He is expected to continue in place of Alisson here despite his howler gifting Danny Ings a goal.

James Milner also recovered from a knee complaint to start against Southampton. However, Fabinho looks set to replace him here after being rested after playing 120 minutes against Chelsea just days beforehand.

Predicted Liverpool team vs Arsenal

Predicted Liverpool team vs Arsenal

Predicted Liverpool team vs Arsenal

Arsenal team news vs Liverpool

ST ALBANS, ENGLAND – JULY 31: Arsenal unveil new signing Nicolas Pepe at London Colney on July 31, 2019 in St Albans, England. (Photo by Stuart MacFarlane/Arsenal FC via Getty Images)

Rob Holding (Knee), Héctor Bellerín (Knee), Kieran Tierney (Hip) and Konstantinos Mavropanos (Groin) remain side-lined for Arsenal for the foreseeable future.

Mesut Özil is available for selection once more for the Gunners. Ozil, had missed the weekend’s match against Burnley due to illness. This came after missing the Newcastle win due to concerns for their safety after he was targeted in an attempted carjacking.

Granit Xhaka missed the Burnley match due to bruising to his back. However, he is available for selection once more. Will Unai Emery disrupt the trio of Joe Willock, Dani Ceballos and Mattéo Guendouzi that gelled so well together against Burnley?

Mohamed Elneny and Lucas Torreira haven’t featured much for Arsenal this season following their heavy involvement for their national teams in the summer. They are expected to be involved only from the bench at best.

The big question is whether club record signing, Nicolas Pepe, is ready to start his first game for the Gunners.

Predicted Arsenal team vs Liverpool

Predicted Arsenal team vs Liverpool

Predicted Arsenal team vs Liverpool

The latest tweets from Liverpool pre-Arsenal

https://twitter.com/LFC/status/1163318423390060545

The latest tweets from Arsenal pre-Liverpool

https://twitter.com/Arsenal/status/1164213839845580802

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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Back Liverpool at 7/1 or Arsenal at 40/1!