Bayern Munich v Real Madrid: Line-ups, stats and preview

Leon Goretzka has likened Bayern Munich to a “locomotive” before the Bundesliga record-breakers start their Champions League quarter-final second leg with a 2-1 lead at home to Real Madrid on Wednesday.

Midfielder Goretzka scored Bayern’s second goal in their 5-0 win at St. Pauli on Saturday, ensuring Die Roten had found the net on an unmatched 102 occasions in a German top-flight campaign with five games to spare.

“We just want to keep it rolling,” added Goretzka, via Bayern’s website. “It’ll still be a huge challenge against Real Madrid.

“We’re playing at home, where we feel very comfortable and the opponents usually don’t. We’ve put ourselves in a good position, but there’s still work to be done.”

Madrid’s engine has spluttered with a three-match winless run, losing at Mallorca and drawing at home to Girona in La Liga either side of that first-leg defeat.

Kylian Mbappe replied against Bayern with the Champions League top scorer’s first club goal since February 8 and head coach Alvaro Arbeloa says his side will need an “enormous effort” to turn the tie around.

“I want my players to believe,” said Arbeloa. “That’s all I want. I’m convinced that the 25 of us going there will believe we can win and rise to the occasion.

“In Munich, they are convinced that, with the advantage they have and playing at home, they are favourites.

“But they will face white shirts, a round badge, and I’m sure we’ll put up a strong fight.”

The winners of the tie will face Liverpool or Paris Saint-Germain in the semi-finals. Those teams meet in their quarter-final decider at Anfield on Tuesday (20:00 BST), with PSG leading 2-0 from the first leg.

Bayern Munich v Real Madrid team news

Lennart Karl scored a 99th-minute winner for Bayern at Freiburg in their Bundesliga match preceding the first leg, but the 18-year-old Germany newcomer is out with a hamstring injury, as is goalkeeper Sven Ulreich (groin).

Winger Serge Gnabry (knee) is a doubt. Manuel Neuer, Konrad Laimer, Jonathan Tah and Dayot Upamecano will incur suspensions in the competition if they are booked.

Goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois (hamstring) and winger Rodrygo (knee) are sidelined for Madrid, who have midfielder Aurelian Tchouameni suspended.

Alvaro Carreras, Dean Huijsen, Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior and Kylian Mbappe are each a caution away from bans.

Bayern Munich v Real Madrid predicted line-ups

Bayern Munich starting XI: Manuel Neuer, Konrad Laimer, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Josip Stanisic, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Michael Olise, Serge Gnabry, Luis Diaz, Harry Kane

Real Madrid starting XI: Andriy Lunin, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Rudiger, Eder Militao, Fran Garcia, Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Arda Guler, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior

Bayern v Madrid: TV channel, live online streams

Kick-off on Wednesday is at 20:00 BST (15:00 ET / 12:00 PT). Live TV coverage in the UK is on TNT Sports 2.

Streaming is on the HBO Max app. TNT Sports costs £30.99 a month and is available on a vast range of devices including smart TVs and gaming consoles.

Bayern Munich v Real Madrid stats

• Bayern’s victory in the first leg ended a nine-game winless run for them against Madrid in the Champions League (D2 L7)
• Only once before have they won both legs of a knockout stage tie against Madrid in the competition, in the 2000/01 semi-finals (1-0 away, 2-1 at home)
• The two players who have made the most defensive line-breaking passes in the Champions League this season are Bayern’s Joshua Kimmich (17) and Madrid’s Arda Guler (16)
• Eight of Kimmich’s 17 have been for Michael Olise, which is the most from one player to a team-mate in this edition
• Bayern’s Harry Kane has scored in his last four Champions League games (6 goals) and could equal the longest scoring streak by an English player in the competition (5, by Steven Gerrard in 2007/08)
• Kane could also become the first player to score or assist in five consecutive Champions League appearances against Real Madrid (2 goals, 2 assists in his last 4)
• Nine of Mbappe’s 14 goals in the Champions League this season have been away from home. Should he find the net in this game, the forward would be the first player ever to score at least 10 away goals in a single edition of the competition
• Since the start of the 2013/14 season, Madrid (3) have the joint-most away wins against Bayern Munich across all competitions, despite only playing there four times during the period (also 3 wins in 17 games for Borussia Dortmund and 3 wins in 13 games for Borussia Monchengladbach)
• Madrid are unbeaten in their last four away games against Bayern (W3 D1). In the Bundesliga era (since 1963/64), only two sides have managed to go five in a row without losing away to Bayern: Werder Bremen (5, from 1989/1992 and 2007/2010) and Koln (5, from 2003-2010)
• Los Blancos have the most semi-final appearances in the history of the competition (33). If they are eliminated here, however, they will have failed to reach the semi-finals as many times in the last two seasons (2) as they did in the previous 14 editions combined, between 2010/11 and 2023/24 (2)
• Vinicius Junior made 17 runs in behind the opposition defensive line during the first leg; the most by a player against Bayern in the Champions League this season
• The winger has made the most runs in behind in this edition overall (150), as well as in the knockout stages (76)

Bayern Munich v Real Madrid prediction

Bayern 2-2 Madrid

Bayern have scored in all 45 games they have played in all competitions this season, so keeping the hosts at bay looks a daunting task even if Madrid’s performance significantly improves.

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