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When can Manchester City officially win the Premier League?

Pep Guardiola’s side are closing in on another title


Manchester City are seemingly on course for their fifth Premier League title win in six years as a 2-1 win over Leeds United took them further clear at the top of the Premier League.

Two goals from Ilkay Gundogan put the Cityzens four points clear of the Gunners having played the same number of games, meaning that they would need to drop points at least twice in their remaining four games to give chasing side Arsenal a chance of overtaking them, with the Gunners needing to be perfect in the meantime.

Mikel Arteta’s side face a tricky end to the season, with a trip to Newcastle United set to be followed by games against Nottingham Forest and Brighton before they host Wolves on the final day of the season.

And, having only just returned to winning ways after a spell of three draws and a loss in four consecutive games, going perfect for the final four games may be a challenge.

So, when could Manchester City win the title?

City celebrating next week?

Despite having trailed for much of the season, Manchester City could in theory lift the Premier League title with three games still to play, on Sunday 14th May.

Should Arsenal lose to Newcastle United at St James’ Park and follow it up with a defeat against a resurgent Brighton, while City manage to take three points against relegation-threatened Everton, they would sew up the title with a fortnight of the season left.

It would leave the Gunners seven points behind City with just six possible points left for Bukayo Saka and co. to play for.

A draw and a loss would not make City champions mathematically, but with a goal difference that is already 16 better than Arsenal and would only improve should Arsenal lose, it would all but crown Pep Guardiola’s side, who could then finish the job with a draw or better against Frank Lampard’s Chelsea.

For Arsenal, it is a long way back.

Even with two wins against Newcastle and Brighton, they would need Manchester City to lose to Everton to take the lead in the Premier League, and would need Guardiola’s side to also drop points against one of Chelsea, Brighton and Brentford in their final three games.

If Manchester City were to implode, and Arsenal hit form, then the earliest that they could lift the Premier League trophy would be when Manchester City face Brighton in the midweek before the end of the season.

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Ben Browning

Ben Browning

Football writer and analyst. Long-time writer of all things Arsenal and avid watcher of European football. Happy to discuss all things football over on Twitter.


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