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Data scientists predict team with highest probability of winning World Cup

The team with the highest chance of winning the 2022 World Cup has been revealed.


Each team has now played at least one group game, with the second round of fixtures kicking off on Friday.

There were some major shocks in matchweek 1, with Argentina and Germany falling to defeat vs Saudi Arabia and Japan.

Elsewhere, both England and Spain impressed, beating Iran 6-2 and Costa Rica 7-0.

Now, it has been revealed who has the highest chance of winning the tournament.

Brazil have the maximum probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2022, according to Serasa Experian’s DataLab. Using machine learning techniques, the data scientists at DataLab projected the World Cup qualification and tournament winners. As per the results, the South American team have a 20.9% chance of winning the FIFA World Cup in 2022 and a 53.4% chance of making it to the semifinals.

Argentina are in second spot with a 14.3% chance, followed by France (11.4%), Spain (9%) and Germany (3.4%)

How it works

Based on information from the previous three football World Cup cycles, a machine learning model was developed.

DataLab set up a machine learning system that forecasts the likelihood of the outcome of each match between two countries using algorithms that are similar to those used by streaming services to recommend shows to users.

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Josh Barker

Josh Barker

Middlesbrough fan from the North East of England. @JoshBarker979 on Twitter.



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