Football Betting Tips & Predictions

Germany vs Italy betting tips: UEFA Nations League preview, predictions and odds


Four of the last five meetings between these two, including the matchday one clash in Bologna, have all ended in draws. Italy have only played Germany on German soil twice in competitive fixtures, drawing 1-1 at Euro '88 before a famous 2-0 victory at the semi-final stage of World Cup 2006. Die Mannschaft have only lost two of their last 45 competitive fixtures on home soil, those defeats coming against North Macedonia and  Netherlands.

Both teams to score is 5/6.

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals is 13/10.

Germany to win and over 2.5 goals is 7/4.

Thomas Müller is 7/1 to break the deadlock and 9/4 to net anytime. 

Match preview

These two nations have won 14 major international trophies between them, so will either appear at next summer's UEFA Nations League Finals?

Just ten nights ago, they began their Nations League campaigns against each-other at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Lorenzo Pellegrini broke the deadlock in the second half, only for Joshua Kimmich to equaliser moments later, meaning it finished all square in Bologna.

As these two international football heavyweights reconvene in Mönchengladbach, will there be a winner this time?

At the mid-way points of Group A3, it's Italy who lead the way, albeit only by a very fine margin.

Three days after that draw with Germany, Gli Azzurri overcame Hungary 2-1 in Cesena; Nicolò Barella and Pellegrini again getting the goals.

Then, on Saturday night, Roberto Mancini's men played out a dull, uneventful and unmemorable goalless draw with England at Molineux.

Of course, Italy are European Champions, but have simultaneously missed out on successive World Cups, eliminated by North Macedonia in March.

So, Mancini is in the process of rebuilding his squad, whilst also looking to take his team to the Nations League Finals for a second season running.

As for Germany, they're currently third in this section, having drawn all three matches 1-1 to date.

Jonas Hofmann has been the scorer on both matchday two and three as they've been held by England in Munich and Hungary in Budapest.

In the latter, at the Puskás Aréna on Saturday, Hungary took a shock lead before Hofmann rounded the goalkeeper and equalised shortly after.

So, Die Mannschaft have now only won two of 13 Nations League matches and are the only 'heavyweight' nation never to reach the finals.

Before this campaign, Hansi Flick had won all seven competitive games, scoring 31 goals, but they're yet to beat an elite team since he took over.

Will that change at Borussia-Park, or can Italy extend their lead at the top of this group?

Germany team news

Nico Schlotterbeck was shown his second yellow card of this Nations League campaign on Saturday, meaning he's serving a one-match suspension.

Antonio Rüdiger didn't make the trip to Budapest but, if fit, will come back in alongside Niklas Süle at centre-back.

The full-back positions are up for grabs with Lukas Klostermann, Benjamin Henrichs, David Raum and Thilo Kehrer all having started this month.

At the base of midfield, Leon Goretzka and Joshua Kimmich is the first-choice pairing, although İlkay Gündoğan could be rotated in.

Jonas Hofmann's goals against both England and Hungary could see him keep his place out-wide.

Thomas Müller is set to return to do raumdeuter things, in support of the very impressive Jamal Musiala.

Chelsea duo Timo Werner and Kai Havertz appear to be fighting it out for the number nine role right now, with the latter set to come in.

Italy team news

A.C. Milan midfielder Sandro Tonali will not feature in this game as he is suspended.

Roberto Mancini sent most of his experienced faces on holiday following the Finalísima drubbing by Argentina at Wembley.

These include Giorgio Chiellini, Emerson, Jorginho, Marco Verratti, Lorenzo Insigne, Federico Bernardeschi, Nicolò Zaniolo and Andrea Belotti.

In total, Mancini has used 39 different players during this five-game window, so to say he's experimenting is an understatment.

Federico Gatti and Salvatore Esposito made their senior international debuts at Molineux on Saturday.

Swiss title winner Wilfried Gnonto, who's only 18, has been the breakout start of this international window, impressing on the wing.

Goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma is the only guaranteed start, given that he has started the last 28 competitive games, dating back to 2019.

Nicolò Barella could return to the XI in midfield; he's the only real stalwart of last summer's Euro winning side available for this fixture.

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Ben Gray

Ben Gray

Arsenal fan – follow them over land and sea (and Leicester); sofa Celtic supporter; a bit of a football '"encyclopedia".



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