Germany vs Mexico betting tips: World Cup match preview & predictions

Germany vs Mexico prediction: Germany 2-1 Mexico

Mexico have nothing to lose against the defending world champions, whose form heading into the finals has been questionable at best.

Still, a new-look Germany side are expected to get their World Cup campaign off to a winning start.

Germany vs Mexico: Who will win?

Get Germany to win at 1/2 or back an unlikely Mexico win at 13/2.

Back Timo Werner to be the first goalscorer at 4/1.

If the RB Leipzig striker can cement a place in the Germany eleven, odds of 15/1 for him to be the tournament’s top scorer look really tempting.


Hirving Lozano

LAS VEGAS, NV – FEBRUARY 08: Hirving Lozano #8 of Mexico runs with the ball ahead of David Thor Vidarsson #10 of Iceland during their exhibition match at Sam Boyd Stadium on February 8, 2017 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Mexico won 1-0. (Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)

Germany vs Mexico match preview

Group F gets underway on Sunday when world champions Germany take on Mexico at the Luzhniki Stadium.

Germany’s two warm-up matches saw them lose 2-1 against Austria before beating Saudi Arabia 2-1 on June 8th.

Mesut Ozil and Timo Werner netted for Die Mannschaft in those matches. Their win over Saudi Arabia was their first in six matches, which included draws against England, France and Spain.

Germany cruised through their qualifying campaign and were the only European side to wen all ten of their matches.

Mexico managed just one goal in their three warm-up games. Juan Carlos Osario’s side drew 0-0 with Wales, beat Scotland 1-0 and finally lost 2-0 to Denmark.

Mexico were the first CONCACAF side to qualify for the World Cup, topping their fifth round table. PSV Eindhoven forward Hirving Lozano top-scored for Mexico in qualifying, scoring three goals.

Germany and Mexico have faced each other 11 times, with Germany winning six and losing 1. Germany beat Mexico 4-1 in their previous meeting at last year’s FIFA Confederations Cup. Sunday will be the two side’s fourth meeting at a World Cup finals.

MOSCOW, RUSSIA – JUNE 13: Joachim Loew, head coach of Germany talks to his palyer Mesut Oezil during the Germany training session ahead of the 2018 FIFA World Cup at CSKA Sports Base on June 13, 2018 in Moscow, Russia. (Photo by Alexander Hassenstein/Getty Images)

Defending champions

2014 World Cup winners Germany will be hoping to buck the trend of previous holders.

Three of the last four World Cup winners have failed to make it out of the group stage as defending champions: Spain in 2014, Italy in 2010 and France in 2002.

There are just nine players from 2014’s squad that have kept their place in Joachim Low’s squad.

Only two sides have ever managed to win the trophy back-to-back: Italy in 1934 and 1938 and Brazil in 1958 and 1962.

This World Cup will be Joachim Low’s fourth as Germany manager. The 58-year-old is the second-longest serving manager at the tournament, having taken the job in 2006.


RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – JULY 13: Philipp Lahm of Germany lifts the World Cup trophy with teammates after defeating Argentina 1-0 in extra time during the 2014 FIFA World Cup Brazil Final match between Germany and Argentina at Maracana on July 13, 2014 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. (Photo by Matthias Hangst/Getty Images)

Group F’s other sides, Sweden and South Korea, face each other on Monday.

Germany team news vs Mexico

Mesut Ozil has returned to training but the Arsenal midfielder remains a fitness doubt.

Marco Reus, who missed the 2014 World Cup through injury, could start behind Timo Werner, with Julian Draxler providing another option.

Manuel Neuer will captain the side and start in goal, despite missing the majority of last season through injury.

Mexico team news vs Germany

Wolves’ Raul Jimenez looks set to start up front for Mexico after Javier Hernandez failed to start Mexico’s last two matches.

Former Arsenal striker Carlos Vela is in the squad but is unlikely to start their opener.

Rafael Marquez is set to take part in his fifth World Cup.

Mexico have nine domestic-based players in their squad.

Germany predicted line-up vs Mexico

Predicted Germany XI vs Mexico

Predicted Germany XI vs Mexico

Mexico predicted line-up vs Germany

Predicted Mexico XI vs Germany

Predicted Mexico XI vs Germany

For more World Cup betting tips click here.

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Incredible World Cup free bet offers


The latest videos from Germany

The latest videos from Mexico

Why you need a VPN?
Cut chords:
Watch everything (Netflix, BBC iPlayer, Hulu) online using a VPN.
Unlock geoblocking:
A VPN gives you access to the best content from anywhere in the world.
Privacy & security:
A VPN keeps your information private, activity encrypted & data anonymous.
Just $6.67 a month + 3 months free!
Click here for more Premier League betting tips

Germany to win vs Mexico and both teams to score: 11/5