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Euro 2020 Winner, Odds & Predictions

Welcome to the ‘who will win Euro 2020’ page on 101 Great Goals.

Here we provide a valuable, easy-to-digest page for anyone who wants information on the possible Euro 2020 outright winner.

Not only do we present our predictions and odds on the likely winner, but we also cover all the other favourites, dark horses and long shots.

Winning Candidates

Winning Candidates

dark horses

Dark Horses

Long Shot


Long Shots

mcNorth Macedonia

The lowest ranked team in the competition, grouped with Austria who beat Igor Angelovski’s side twice in the qualifying rounds. Concerning reading, however, more so when considering Ukraine and the Netherlands are their other competition. Little is expected from Goran Pandev’s side.

Prediction: Finish bottom of group with 0 points.

Player to watch: Eljif Elmas

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hu Hungary

Despite being the arguably most improved nation across 2020. The emergence of Dominik Szoboszlai has brought promise to Hungarian football. However, being placed in a group with France, Portugal and Germany was cruel and leaves them will little to no hope of progression.

Prediction: Finish bottom of group with 0 points.

Player to watch: Dominic Szoboszlai

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Czech Republic

There are promising signs coming from Czech football. West Ham specifically have benefitted from this poaching Tomas Soucek and Vladimir Coufal from Slavia Prague.

However, with group favourites England and Croatia likely to progress and Scotland beating the Czech Republic in both Nations League matches, a 4th group place finish is likely.

Prediction: Finish bottom of the group.

Player to watch: Tomas Soucek

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fn Finland

Only North Macedonia join Finland in the small club of countries outside of FIFA’s top 50 nations in the competition. When the best player in the team is the keeper, Bayer Leverkusen’s Lukáš Hrádecký, the focus will be keeping goals out rather than scoring.

A recent 2-0 friendly win over World champions France brings some hope, but in a tournament setting, a repeat should not be bet on against Belgium, Denmark and Russia.

Prediction: Finish bottom of the group.

Player to watch: Glen Kamara

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slSlovakia

Slovakia are a side whose best players are past their peak. Former Napoli talisman Marek Hamsik (33) and midfield stalwart Juraj Kucka (33) could possibly play out their final international tournament and join the now retired Martin Skrtel as onlookers.

However, ultimately Slovakia’s group contains Spain, Sweden and Poland and therefore the hopes of progression are slim.

Prediction: Finish bottom of the group.

Player to watch: Tomas Suslov

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wsWales

The promise of Wales has been present for some time and the standout players of Aaron Ramsey and Gareth Bale have been added to with talents such as David Brooks, Daniel James, Joe Rodon and Ethan Ampadu.

A tough group with Turkey, Switzerland and Italy will require some surprises, but Wales have come up with them in the past. However, with the fitness issues of Bale and Ramsey, much rests on their involvement and an absence of either player severely hampers their chances.

Prediction: Finish bottom of group.

Player to watch: David Brooks

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scScotland

Scotland find themselves in a tricky group alongside the Czech Republic who they beat twice in the Nations League. However, the presence of England and Croatia is likely to provide too tough of a challenge. The clash with the Czechs could see a draw occur and put them in danger of finishing in the bottom 2 worst 3 place teams.

Prediction: Fail to qualify for knockout stages.

Player to watch: Kieran Tierney

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Turkey

Turkey showed Europe in qualifying that they are not to be underestimated and with several younger players consistently performing across the continent. Lille’s Yusuf Yazici and AC Milan’s Hakan Calhanoglu provide an attacking threat whilst Caglar Soyuncu and Ozan Kabak look primed to be Turkey’s defensive pairing for years to come.

There is a hope of challenging group rivals Switzerland and Wales to progress alongside favourites Italy. The problem is, should they drop points to Wales and Switzerland, which is possible, the likelihood is they will miss out on one of the best 3rd place spots.

Prediction: Fail to qualify for knockout stages.

Player to watch: Yusuf Yazici

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Russia

Russia enjoyed a strong qualifying campaign, only World number 1 nation Belgium bested them. Stanislav Cherchesov’s side won all their other matches and continued the improvements from their home World Cup quarter-final finish in 2018.

However, with the dominant Belgium and a solid Denmark side in their group, 3rd place seemingly beckons followed by a swift elimination.

Prediction: Qualify as one of four best 3rd placed teams knocked out in last 16.

Player to watch: Anton Miranchuk

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Sweden

Despite a good qualifying campaign whereby they lost just once to Spain, drawing the reverse, Sweden endured a torrid 2020. They were tested in their Nations League group which included France, Portugal and Croatia. Losing 5 and winning just once at home to the Croats.

Some exciting youth are involved in the front line with Real Sociedad’s Alexander Isak and Juventus’ Dejan Kulusevski present but the challenge of a group with Spain, Poland and Slovakia puts the match with the latter a must-win to qualify as one of the best 3rd placed teams.

Prediction: Qualify as one of four best 3rd placed teams knocked out in last 16.

Player to watch: Dejan Kulusevski

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Ukraine

The Ukrainian national side have always posed a threat with some of their attacking talent. 2020 was mixed with an impressive 1-0 victory over Spain in their Nations League group. However, heavy defeats to Germany, Switzerland, and the reverse fixture against La Roja brought them back to Earth.

Compounded further by a 7-1 friendly loss to France in October, their group rivals the Netherlands and Austria could prove too much for a leaky defence.

Prediction: Qualify as one of four best 3rd placed teams knocked out in last 16.

Player to watch: Vitaliy Mykolenko

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Austria

With the Netherlands the favourites to top the group, Austria’s clash with Ukraine will likely decide the fate of both teams. Austria are somewhat of a nation bursting with potential which has so far failed to be realised.

David Alaba, Marcel Sabitzer and Martin Hinteregger to name but a few could yet prove doubters wrong and propel Austria to the knockout rounds but unlikely much further with too many overall stronger nations in the competition.

Prediction: Knocked out in last 16.

Player to watch: Marcel Sabitzer

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Switzerland

The Swiss national side has been a regular fixture of major international tournaments over the previous 15 years missing only the 2012 European Championship. A side which has matured is now positioned with plenty of prime talent.

Granit Xhaka is joined by the highly rated Denis Zakaria in midfield with Yann Sommer, Xherdan Shaqiri and Fabian Schar all providing experience and quality. Wales and Turkey will be stern tests to join group favourites Italy, but the Swiss squad has the strength to succeed in the group but their record against Europe’s elite will likely continue and prevent further progress.

Prediction: Knocked out in last 16.

Player to watch: Ruben Vargas

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Denmark

Denmark had an impressive 2020 and were a thorn in England’s side taking 4 points from 6 from Gareth Southgate’s team. The Danes are in a group with Belgium, who were the only side to beat them last year. However, with Russia and Finland their other competition, the squad’s quality is expected to see them through.

Christian Eriksen is joined by a glut of in form Premier League talent such as Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Jannik Vestergaard and Kasper Schmeichel. But should Eriksen endure a tournament like his 2020, Denmark could see their star man underperform and cost them progression in the knockouts.

Prediction: Knocked out in last 16.

Player to watch: Jonas Wind

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Dark Horses

Poland

Poland dominated their qualifying group for the European championships. Winning 8 of the 10 matches and losing just once. Robert Lewandowski’s presence in the squad makes them a threatening side to deal with.

Supported by further strikers Arkadiusz Milik and Krzysztof Piatek, Paulo Sousa’s squad is brimming with goals. The defensive third has been strengthened by the experience of Kamil Glik, Southampton’s Jan Bednarek and Juventus’ number one keeper Wojciech Szczesny.

The midfield talisman is Napoli’s Piotr Zielinski. The 26-year-old is entering his prime and has one of the best engines for a box-to-box midfielder in Europe.

Poland have been given a competitive group with favourites Spain, Sweden and Slovakia. As a nation, Poland typically do well against sides they are expected to beat, hence progression past Sweden and Slovakia should be achievable. However, their form against the world’s elite remains patchy. Yet, with an improving squad with arguably the world’s best striker, dark horses they certainly are.

Prediction: Knocked out in last 16.

Player to watch: Piotr Zielinski

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Croatia

The 2018 World Cup finalists are one of the most unpredictable sides in the tournament. Without Sevilla midfielder Ivan Rakitic, after his retirement in 2020, Croatia have a mixed squad which continues to hold the mercurial Luka Modric but also some budding talent.

Croatia’s qualifying was secured in an expectant fashion. Just a single loss in their group made for comfortable viewing off the back of a strong international tournament the year prior. However, 2020 was a difficult year.

Just one win in their Nations League group containing two of the tournament favourites France and Portugal, of which they lost all 4 matches. Sweden were the only side who fell to the Croats but returned the favour with a 2-1 victory in Stockholm.

The squad though has more than enough talent to turn a corner in the European Championships. The aforementioned Modric is joined by Matteo Kovacic and Mario Pasalic in midfield. The experienced Ivan Perisic has youth surrounding him with Josip Brekalo and Nikola Vlasic.

Their group reunites them with England whom they eliminated in the World Cup semi-final in 2018 with Scotland and the Czech Republic expected to provide little trouble.

Prediction: Knocked out in last 16.

Player to watch: Nikola Vlasic

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Germany

The German national side have been given a horrific group which will do little to forgive their recent struggles. Portugal and France will be feeling confident considering Joachim Low’s side’s poor form of late. Add the tenacity of Hungary into the mix and it could be a successive international tournament group stage elimination.

Winning just 3 games out of 9 in 2020, which included a horrific 6-0 thrashing from Spain, compounded the pressure mounting on Low. The DFB themselves felt compelled to come out in support of the national side’s coach who has been at the helm since 2006.

After the 2018 disaster, Low revealed that, at the time, Bayern Munich trio Thomas Muller, Jerome Boateng and Mats Hummels would not be selected for upcoming squads. A decision heavily criticised by Bayern.

The squad appears to be bursting with talent approaching their prime. Serge Gnabry, Timo Werner, Leroy Sane, Leon Goretzka, Niklas Sule and Kai Havertz are seemingly, on the surface, the makings of a formidable squad. However, a lack of experience, held only by Manuel Neuer, Toni Kroos and Ilkay Gundogan, could undermine their potential.

With the quality Germany possesses, progression is more than possible, but with the competition and questions both great in number, the low ranking by their standards is certainly justified.

Prediction: Qualify as one of four best 3rd placed teams and reach the quarter finals.

Player to watch: Serge Gnabry

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Netherlands

The runners up of the first UEFA Nations League competition appear to be clawing their way back to being amongst Europe’s elite having failed to qualify for both previous international summer tournaments.

This is predominantly down to a golden era of talent coming through at the Oranje. Barcelona and Juventus have already spent big on acquiring the Ajax production line’s talents Frenkie de Jong and Matthijs de Ligt respectively.

However, the Eredivisie continues to hold international level talent in the form of Ryan Gravenberch (Ajax), Teun Koopmeiners, Calvin Stengs (AZ Alkmaar) and Donyell Malen (PSV). Surely to be poached in upcoming transfer windows. The already established talent of Memphis Depay, Georginio Wijnaldum, Jasper Cillessen and Virgil van Dijk combine with these prodigies to form a formidable squad.

Their group containing Ukraine, Austria and North Macedonia should provide ample yet beatable competition to build momentum into the knock-out stages. However, the longevity of their challenge could be determined by the presence of Van Dijk whose long-term knee injury has stifled Liverpool’s title challenge and could threaten the Netherlands’ Euro dream.

Prediction: Knocked out in the quarter-finals.

Player to watch: Donyell Malen

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Italy

Having failed to qualify for the 2018 Russian World Cup, the first time since 1958, Italy are experiencing a resurgence thanks to the youth coming through the Azzurri.

An unbeaten two years in which they beat the Dutch, Poland and Bosnia in their UEFA Nations League group has built hope that Italy’s return to international competition could be promising.

Their last defeat came in September of 2018 against Portugal and Roberto Mancini’s side have not looked back since. Winning all 10 of their Euro 2020 qualification matches, Mancini’s formula of mixing youth with experience has been a resounding success so far.

Within the squad, the players of experience have been with the Azzurri for many tournaments. Giorgio Chiellini and Leonardo Bonucci remain but the prolific goalscorer Ciro Immobile will enter his third competition, this time, as the country’s main striking threat.

The youth is found through their midfield. Inter Milan’s Nicolo Barella, AC Milan’s Sandro Tonali and Sassuolo’s Manuel Locatelli join Chelsea’s Jorginho in the middle. One of the most enigmatic members of the squad is Napoli’s Lorenzo Insigne. Now 29, the diminutive wide man is having a stellar season in Naples and will be pushing to be a starter in Mancini’s eleven.

The group is a fantastic draw for the Azzurri. Switzerland, Wales and Turkey should, in theory, provide the foundation to build momentum and confidence within the group as Italy look to be the surprise package of the tournament.

Prediction: Knocked out in the quarter finals.

Player to watch: Nicolo Barella

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Winning Candidates

Spain

The Spanish national side is one of the trickiest to evaluate of those in the tournament. Having moved on from their World dominance between 2008 and 2012, there have been some difficult periods.

Famously sacking Julen Lopetegui prior to the 2018 World Cup, Spain were dumped out on penalties against the home nation Russia after what had promised to be a stellar tournament. Now, Luis Enrique has returned and is crafting another special group with plenty of new faces but with the successful experience still ingrained.

Sergio Ramos, Jordi Alba and Sergio Busquets could all feature ahead of the tournament, but the Barcelona and Real Madrid representation has dwindled and Spanish talent spreads throughout Spain and across Europe.

Atletico’s stellar La Liga season is likely to see Koke, Saul Niguez and Marcos Llorente all earn involvement. Yet other La Liga sides are boasting international class with Real Sociedad’s Mikel Oyarzabal, Villarreal’s Gerard Moreno and Sevilla’s Joan Jordan all excelling. The latter pushing for his first La Roja call-up.

But the talent from abroad is bursting at the seams. Ferran Torres, Rodri, Eric Garcia (Manchester City), Dani Olmo (RB Leipzig), Fabian Ruiz (Napoli) Sergio Reguilon (Spurs) and Alvaro Morata (Juventus) are all performing well for their clubs.

Spain have been paired with Sweden, Poland and Slovakia and are strong favourites to progress after an unbeaten qualifying group stage and a Nations League run which included the notable 6-0 win over Germany. Enrique has a massive pool of talent, leading to possibly the biggest challenge of sculpting the squad itself.

Prediction: Knocked out in quarter finals.

Player to watch: Mikel Oyarzabal

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England

The romanticisms around England and international football are effectively folklore by this stage. So much hope to be sent crashing back to reality with a hard thud. However, England’s performance at the 2018 World Cup with a very young squad gave reason for the rest of the world to take a second to consider the nation a true threat.

Eventually knocked out by Croatia in the semi-final, England have moved on from defeat and grown in quality and strength in depth since. Manager Gareth Southgate has a genuine problem on his hands choosing from an ever-increasing pool of talent. Especially in the attacking area.

Captain Harry Kane is arguably Europe’s top striker alongside Poland’s Lewandowski and Belgium’s Romelu Lukaku. Flanked by two of Raheem Sterling, Jadon Sancho, Bukayo Saka, Jack Grealish, Marcus Rashford and Phil Foden. Plus, the benefit of cover from Dominic Calvert-Lewin and several Premier League forwards all scoring regularly.

The strength of the squad was demonstrated in qualifying where they won 7 of the 8 matches losing just once in a freak game against the Czech Republic. 2020 was a mixed year which saw the highs of beating world number 1 nation Belgium but also failing to beat Denmark across two attempts.

Southgate must find out what his best team is before the tournament kicks off. It is all well and good having a brilliant squad, but if it cannot be pieced together correctly, it will not function. England’s group of Croatia, Scotland and the Czech Republic will provide a challenge but should be overcome expectantly. Their depth could take them far, but, as always, the pressure could prove too much.

Prediction: Reach the semi-finals with the tournament’s top scorer Harry Kane.

Player to watch: Phil Foden

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Portugal

Arguably the most exciting nation on the planet at the moment. Portugal are the most recent victors of the competition and have built on from their success, winning the inaugural UEFA Nations League.

Cristiano Ronaldo will be going into likely his last European Championships and, looking around the dressing room, will be confident his side could reclaim the title.

The Premier League has seen a wealth of Portuguese talent brought in over the last half decade. Bruno Fernandes is arguably the league’s most valuable player and the Manchester City and Wolves contingents are bursting with quality.

Fernando Santos’ side were only beaten by France in 2020 who they held away from home along with rivals Spain, both to 0-0 score lines. Proving not only do they have quality in the final third but are defensively astute to. The foundation on which all successful nations must be to win tournaments.

A group with Germany, France and Hungary will be testing, but should they progress, which there is an expectation that they will, it will set them up for a drive to the trophy.

Prediction: The money maker. Whilst Portugal are placed third on the list, their odds do not reflect their promise. Definitely a nation to consider backing.

Player to watch: Bruno Fernandes

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Belgium

The world’s number 1 side has always promised so much yet failed to deliver with the golden generation of talent in Roberto Martinez’s side. The next two tournaments will be Belgium’s best opportunity to claim glory for what could be some time after.

Their star talents are now in their prime. Kevin De Bruyne can make the difference for any squad he is in and their Spanish coach will be hoping Eden Hazard can get over his fitness problems which have plagued him since his arrival at Real Madrid. Romelu Lukaku has enjoyed a ruthless season at Inter, a golden boot could be on the cards.

Belgium’s toughest test in their group is a Danish side who can provide a shock to anyone. However, Russia and Finland should see easy progress into the knockouts. The quality of the squad is too great to ignore, however, despite being ranked number 1 in the world, the question mark over key players’ form and fitness along with their little experience of international success means they just miss out on being the favourites.

Prediction: Heartbreak in the final.

Player to watch: Romelu Lukaku

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France

France are the tournament’s favourites. It is difficult to debate the point. World champions, continually improving squad filled with the best talent on offer and a coach who knows how to get the best from them.

Didier Deschamps has mastered how to utilise the likes of Kylian Mbappe, Paul Pogba and the enigmatic Olivier Giroud. The system he has implemented means that, as shown in the World Cup final in 2018, France can simply blow teams away with their ferocious speed and clinical edge.

Despite having the toughest group with Portugal and Germany, being able to beat the competition early, eliminate a rival and build confidence gives such a strong squad an arguable edge despite the difficulty.

Winning all bar one of their Nations League matches has only strengthened the belief this French squad could achieve something similar to the Spanish side of a decade ago. A period of dominance is realistic and with the youthfulness of the squad and how relentless the continual production of stars is, it is almost unfair.

Prediction: Winners. The quality of the side is too strong for the competition and France win their second international tournament in succession.

Player to watch: Kylian Mbappe

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Who will win Euro 2020, Outright winner predictions FAQS

Which nation is favourite to win Euro 2020?
France
How far are England expected to get in Euro 2020?
We predict England will go out in the semi-finals
Which are the other likely winners of Euro 2020?
France 9/2, England 5/1, Belgium 6/1, Germany 7/1, Spain 15/2, Portugal 8/1