Lo Celso, Giovani
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa betting tips
This article covers Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa betting tips and predictions. These are the betting odds:
o – Tottenham Hotspur win 2.1/1
o – Draw 3.6/1
o – Aston Villa win 3.3/1
Note: All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa: Match details
Match: Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa
Competition: Premier League
Date: October 3, 2021
Kick-off time: 2:00 pm, October 3, 2021 (UK time)
Stadium: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Betting prediction: Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 2 Aston Villa
Tottenham Hotspur welcomes Aston Villa to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London on Sunday for this Premier League match.
The Lilywhites have the upper hand in the head-to-head, with 22 wins to Aston Villa’s 15, from their 52 encounters in the Premier League.
Spurs’ record is even stronger at home, winning exactly half of their 26 matches. Although, the pair traded away wins last season which included a 1-2 victory for Villa back in May.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa: Recommended bets
The last match in this head-to-head ended in a 1-2 win for Villa in London. 101 Great Goals’ prediction of Spurs 1 – 2 Aston Villa is available at odds of 13/1.
3-1 Spurs win. Spurs’ last home victory over Aston Villa came back in August 2019 by a scoreline of 3-1. A repeat of this score on Sunday is available at odds of 19/1.
1-1 draw. There hasn’t been a draw in this head-to-head in the last 14 matches, since a 1-1 stalemate in Birmingham during the 2011/12 season. Odds of 7.5/1 are available if you see this match finishing with the same 1-1 result.
Over 2.5 goals. Spurs’ last 3 home matches in this head-to-head have all been over 2.5 goal games. You can back another high scoring game here on Sunday with odds of 1.9/1 for over 2.5 goals.
Harry Kane Goalscorer. No player has more goals in this head-to-head than Harry Kane. He has 7 goals in 8 Premier League appearances against Villa and has scored in 4 of his last 5 games against them. The England captain is the 4/1 favourite to score the game’s opener on Sunday. Or 1.9/1 to bag a goal at any time during the game against Aston Villa.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa: What are the betting odds?
The Lilywhites are 2.1/1 to end their run of 3 consecutive league defeats by taking all 3 points from Aston Villa on Sunday.
Whereas, the Villans are 3.3/1 to pick up back-to-back away wins at Tottenham for the first time since 1995.
Odds of 3.6/1 are available if you see Spurs and Aston Villa cancelling each other out on Sunday for the first time in 15 games.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa – recent form and head to head statistics
Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea FC - 0:1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Morecambe FC - 3:1
Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur - 2:0
Watford FC vs Tottenham Hotspur - 0:1
Southampton FC vs Tottenham Hotspur - 1:1
|Latest match form, last 5 games:||
Aston Villa vs Manchester United - 2:2
Manchester United vs Aston Villa - 1:0
Brentford FC vs Aston Villa - 2:1
Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC - 1:3
Norwich City vs Aston Villa - 0:2
|January 16, 2022||Premier League 21/22||Tottenham Hotspur||0 - 0||Arsenal FC|
|January 12, 2022||EFL Cup 21/22||Tottenham Hotspur||0 - 1||Chelsea FC|
|January 9, 2022||FA Cup 21/22||Tottenham Hotspur||3 - 1||Morecambe FC|
|January 5, 2022||EFL Cup 21/22||Chelsea FC||2 - 0||Tottenham Hotspur|
|January 1, 2022||Premier League 21/22||Watford FC||0 - 1||Tottenham Hotspur|
|January 15, 2022||Premier League 21/22||Aston Villa||2 - 2||Manchester United|
|January 10, 2022||FA Cup 21/22||Manchester United||1 - 0||Aston Villa|
|January 2, 2022||Premier League 21/22||Brentford FC||2 - 1||Aston Villa|
|December 28, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Leeds United||0 - 0||Aston Villa|
|December 26, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Aston Villa||1 - 3||Chelsea FC|
|Tottenham Hotspur||Aston Villa|
|76||Shots on goal||76|
|65||Shots off goal||68|
|52%||Average ball possession||45%|
|1||Shots on post||2|
|1||Shots on bar||0|
|19||Goals by foot||22|
|2||Goals by head||3|
|Tottenham Hotspur||Aston Villa|
|1.47||Average Goals Scored||0.94|
|October 3, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Tottenham Hotspur||2 - 1||Aston Villa|
|May 19, 2021||Premier League 20/21||Tottenham Hotspur||1 - 2||Aston Villa|
|March 21, 2021||Premier League 20/21||Aston Villa||0 - 2||Tottenham Hotspur|
|February 16, 2020||Premier League 19/20||Aston Villa||2 - 3||Tottenham Hotspur|
|August 10, 2019||Premier League 19/20||Tottenham Hotspur||3 - 1||Aston Villa|
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa: Match preview
If Spurs’ 3 wins from 3 to start the season simply masked the problems they had, then last weekend’s defeat in the North London derby just laid them bare for the world to see.
It has been mentioned before that expected goals, or xG, can be prescient for an up-turn or down-turn in results for clubs. In fact, it was highlighted for Spurs prior to their appearance in the 2019 Champions League final. Their underlying xG numbers showed they weren’t creating chances in the same volume and quality, while at the other end they were giving up more frequent and better chances to opponents.
Good finishing and goalkeeping can have you outperforming underlying numbers over a period but it will catch up with you. The collapse Spurs suffered the following season, ultimately seeing Mauricio Pochettino replaced as manager, was the conclusion of this.
Based on xG, it is suggested that Spurs would ordinarily have picked up just 4 points from their opening 3 games of the season instead of the 9 they collected from a trio of 1-0 wins. Of course, the inherent flaw in xG is that it ignores game state. Once Spurs got a goal ahead in those games, the same impetus wasn’t there to attack. It is about keeping what you have instead of still searching for a goal. The same is also true of their opponents, who throw players forward and likely accumulate more xG while chasing a goal than the team already ahead.
To put this into more familiar language, goals change games. Unlike many other team sports, football is an incredibly low scoring game. There are usually 0-3 goal scoring events in a game that registers thousands of lines of events. Most games finish with a margin of a single goal or less. This sees huge tactical shifts from teams based on a single goal in games.
So, while a sample size of just three games, and with all this in mind about game states, it is difficult to make predictions based on those outings. Getting a goal, and then protecting what you have is an approach likely as old as the game itself. It has highlighted, though, a lot of unanswered questions for Tottenham.
What would happen if they didn’t get that goal to hold onto? What would happen if the opponent scored first? We now have the answers to these questions after seeing the games against Crystal Palace, Chelsea and now Arsenal.
This led to the club’s largest official supporters club, Tottenham Supporters’ Trust, contacting the club’s board of directors for a meeting to discuss the club’s vision.
On Sunday, Spurs face a Villa side who are on the up and full of confidence. After defeat on opening day against Watford, and losing their star player over the summer, there was a lot of concern over how the season would pan out. However, 10 points from their last 5 games, which included facing 3 of the sides in joint-second place as things stand, is a fantastic return.
It makes it hard to look past Villa at the moment, which leaves us predicting Nuno’s difficult start to life at Spurs continuing a while longer.
Tottenham Hotspur team news vs Aston Villa
Spurs don’t have any major injury worries at the moment, with only 2 players out, who are both being assessed game to game.
Ryan Sessegnon is yet to make a league appearance for Spurs this season. He was an unused substitute in the club’s first 3 games of the season, but has been ruled out since by injury. Sessegnon is out once again for this weekend, but hopefully can get back and build up some fitness over the coming international week.
Like Sessegnon, Steven Bergwijn hasn’t been involved in the last 3 Premier League squads for Spurs. He has a painful ankle injury which is preventing him from full training with the rest of the squad. Once the pain subsides, he will return to full-contact training. However, the Dutchman also won’t be available for Sunday’s game.
Sergio Reguilón and Dele Alli were the only players to start last weekend’s North London derby and the Europa League match on Thursday against Slovenia’s Mura. Nuno is expected to ring the changes again here, with most of the starting XI from last weekend being recalled.
Aston Villa team news vs Tottenham Hotspur
Axel Tuanzebe didn’t feature in last weekend’s 0-1 at Old Trafford due to Premier League loan rules prohibiting players from featuring against their parent clubs. Kortney Hause made his first league start of the season in his absence and scored the only goal of the game. Dean Smith now faces a selection headache on whether to recall Tuanzebe to the starting XI or reward Hause’s match-winning performance last weekend with another start here.
Trezeguet suffered a knee injury at Anfield towards the end of last season. He’s had a successful operation and is currently in rehab but won’t feature again this year.
Morgan Sanson impressed in his only appearance of the season against Chelsea in the EFL Cup. However, he has since been out due to a thigh injury. Sanson is ruled out again for this weekend, but he should be back shortly after the international break.
Leon Bailey is yet to start in the league for Villa but has made numerous impressive cameos. However, he was absent from the squad last weekend and is expected to be out again here with a minor muscle injury. He too should be back after the internationals.
Keinan Davis is yet to feature this season due to a knee injury. He is out of his knee brace, though, and is expected back in training this month. Of course, it will take some time to build up fitness to a level sufficient to be involved with the squad again.
Predicted Tottenham Hotspur line-up vs Aston Villa
Predicted Aston Villa line-up vs Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa – Official videos
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The Premier League table as it stands:
|4||West Ham United||21||11||4||6||39||27||12||37|
|9||Brighton & Hove Albion||20||6||10||4||21||21||0||28|
This article was edited by Conor Laird.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa live streaming & betting tips FAQs
What time is kick off between Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa?
2:00 pm on Sunday Oct 3, 2021 (UK Time)
What are the betting odds for Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa?
Tottenham Hotspur win 2.1/1 | Aston Villa win 3.3/1 | Draw 3.6/1
What is the 101 Great Goals prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa?
101 Great Goals predicts: Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 2 Aston Villa