Fulham vs Chelsea betting tips: Premier League preview, predictions & odds

By Stephen Drennan Published: January 14, 2021 3:59 pm
Last Updated: January 14, 2021 5:48 pm

Fulham FC

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1

Chelsea FC

Match ended

Show players

90'

Azpilicueta, Cesar

Lookman, Ademola

88'

Aina, Ola
Bryan, Joe

83'

Reid, Bobby
Kamara, Aboubakar

83'

82'

Silva, Thiago

Cavaleiro, Ivan
Onomah, Joshua

79'

78'

Mount, Mason

75'

Giroud, Olivier
Werner, Timo

75'

Ziyech, Hakim
Hudson-Odoi, Callum

72'

Ziyech, Hakim

Reid, Bobby

69'

65'

Jorginho
Abraham, Tammy

Robinson, Antonee

44'

Starting lineup

Areola, Alphonse1

Andersen, Joachim5

Adarabioyo, Tosin16

Aina, Ola34

Tete, Kenny2

Zambo Anguissa, Andre-Frank29

Reid, Bobby14

Reed, Harrison21

Robinson, Antonee33

Lookman, Ademola19

Cavaleiro, Ivan17

16Mendy, Edouard

28Azpilicueta, Cesar

2Rudiger, Antonio

6Silva, Thiago

21Chilwell, Benjamin

17Kovacic, Mateo

19Mount, Mason

5Jorginho

10Pulisic, Christian

18Giroud, Olivier

22Ziyech, Hakim

Substitutes

Rodak, Marek12

Hector, Michael3

Odoi, Denis4

Ream, Tim13

Bryan, Joe23

Kebano, Neeskens7

Onomah, Joshua25

Kamara, Aboubakar47

1Arrizabalaga, Kepa

15Zouma, Kurt

24James, Reece

33Emerson

23Gilmour, Billy

29Havertz, Kai

9Abraham, Tammy

11Werner, Timo

20Hudson-Odoi, Callum

Fulham vs Chelsea betting tips

This article covers Fulham vs Chelsea betting tips and predictions.

Also included is a thorough Fulham vs Chelsea betting preview.

Note: All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Fulham vs Chelsea: Match details

Match: Fulham vs Chelsea

Competition: Premier League

Date: January 16, 2021

Kick-off time: 5:30 pm, January 16, 2021 (UK time)

Stadium: Craven Cottage

LONDON, ENGLAND – APRIL 03: Aleksandar Mitrovic of Fulham celebrates after scoring his sides second goal during the Sky Bet Championship match between Fulham and Leeds United at Craven Cottage on April 3, 2018 in London, England. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Betting prediction: Fulham 1 – 2 Chelsea

Chelsea to beat Fulham 2-1

Betting odds: 8/1

The Cottagers welcome Chelsea to Craven Cottage on Saturday for this London Derby match in the Premier League.

Chelsea have enjoyed almost complete dominance of this fixture in the Premier League, with Fulham winning only 1 of the 28 matches between them since the competition’s rebranding in the 1990s.

The Blues are currently enjoying a 19-match unbeaten run against Fulham; they have won each of the last 5 matches.

Fulham vs Chelsea: Recommended bets

The Cottagers are one of only three sides in the Premier League currently unbeaten in their last 5 matches. Despite this, they start the match as the 13/2 underdogs to pick up their second home win of the season on Saturday.

Fulham have drawn each of their last 5 league games putting them on 6 draws in total for the season. Odds of 7/2 are available if you see Fulham holding Chelsea to a point in this London derby.

Chelsea have won only 1 of their last 6 league matches. Yet they are the 2/5 on favourites to get back to winning ways on Saturday.

Chelsea to win vs Fulham & both teams to score

Betting odds: 9/4

BRIGHTON, ENGLAND – AUGUST 29: Timo Werner of Chelsea celebrates after scoring his team’s first goal during the pre-season friendly between Brighton & Hove Albion and Chelsea at Amex Stadium on August 29, 2020 in Brighton, England. (Photo by Darren Walsh/Chelsea FC via Getty Images)

Fulham vs Chelsea: What are the betting odds?

Chelsea won 1-2 on their last visit to Craven Cottage back in March 2019. 101 Great Goals’ prediction of another Fulham 1-2 Chelsea scoreline is available at odds of 8/1.

Fulham have recorded just 1 home victory over Chelsea in 21 matches. Luís Boa Morte was the scorer of the game’s only goal in their 1-0 win here over Mourinho’s Chelsea back in March 2006. A repeat of this score on Saturday is available at odds of 20/1.

Three of Fulham’s last five league matches have finished 1-1, including their midweek trip to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Odds of 17/2 are available for another 1-1 match here.

Fulham vs Chelsea has typically been a low scoring game lately with 7 of the 10 matches between them in the last decade seeing under 2.5 goals scored. You can back another low scoring game here on Saturday with odds of 11/10 for under 2.5 goals.

Timo Werner ended his goal drought of 827 minutes in Chelsea’s last match against Morecambe in the FA Cup. He had failed to score in his previous 13 matches for club and country and hadn’t scored for Chelsea since the 4-1 win against Sheffield United at the start of November. The German international is 3/1 to score the game’s opener on Saturday. Or 5/6 on to bag a goal at any time during the game against Fulham.

Fulham vs Chelsea – recent form and head to head statistics

LONDON, ENGLAND – MARCH 03: Calum Chambers of Fulham celebrtes after he scores his sides first goal during the Premier League match between Fulham FC and Chelsea FC at Craven Cottage on March 03, 2019 in London, United Kingdom. (Photo by Clive Rose/Getty Images)

Fulham vs Chelsea: Match preview

This match could prove a lot trickier for Lampard’s Chelsea than it would first appear.

Typically, this season, Chelsea’s superior quality has been making easy work of teams at the bottom end of the table. Brighton, Crystal Palace, Burnley, Sheffield United, Newcastle, Leeds and West Ham are the teams Chelsea have beaten this season. All of whom they beat by at least 2 clear goals and all sit 10th place or lower in the Premier League table.

The only team to take points off Chelsea from the bottom 6 are West Brom, which many will dismiss as solely due to Mendy not being in goal. The fact that 3 goals were conceded from an expected goals total for the match of 0.91 suggests there could be some truth in that.

The pattern is clear though, Chelsea have become flat-track bullies of the bottom half of the table. This is considered a requirement of any side with title ambitions. However, their abysmal performances and results against the 8 teams above them in the table remains a concern. Chelsea have collected just 4 points in 8 games against the top 8 sides in the table.

LONDON, ENGLAND – JANUARY 03: Frank Lampard, Manager of Chelsea looks on during the Premier League match between Chelsea and Manchester City at Stamford Bridge on January 03, 2021 in London, England. The match will be played without fans, behind closed doors as a Covid-19 precaution. (Photo by Darren Walsh/Chelsea FC via Getty Images)

Fulham vs Chelsea: What does the data suggest

Looking at this season’s data, Fulham look like the perfect opponent for this Chelsea. However, a problem we see many people encountering when using data in football is the use of season aggregated numbers.

The most recent games for both teams tell a different story. Three of Fulham’s 5 best defensive performances in terms of expected goals against have all come in the last 4 matches. They are unbeaten in their last 5 games and have conceded just 3 goals in that period.

Likewise, 4 of Chelsea’s last 6 attacking performances have been below their seasonal average of 1.8 expected goals per 90. They have collected just 4 points from a possible 18 from those matches. This equates to 0.67 points per game (PPG); a 25-point season extrapolated over 38 games.

Ordinarily, any Chelsea side performing this poorly under Abramovich over a period of games would have already seen a change in manager. Lampard will be hoping Fulham are the perfect side to help him dig his side out of this rut. He will know a failure to land 3 points here will likely see the calls for him to be replaced intensified.

The match will likely be much closer than many predict. However, the attacking quality such as Giroud, Abraham, Werner, Havertz, Ziyech, Pulisic and Hudson-Odoi will be too much for Fulham to hold out against.

LONDON, ENGLAND – MARCH 03: Scott Parker, manager of Fulham during the Premier League match between Fulham FC and Chelsea FC at Craven Cottage on March 03, 2019 in London, United Kingdom. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Fulham team news vs Chelsea

Under Premier League rules governing loans, Ruben Loftus-Cheek is ineligible to face his parent club.

Aleksandar Mitrovic wasn’t named in Fulham’s squad for the midweek match against Tottenham. The striker is currently self-isolating after breaching lockdown over New Year. Mitrovic has also been linked with a winter move to Anderlecht in Belgium. He is expected to only be involved from the bench on Saturday.

Mario Lemina has been in and out of the squad this season due to injuries. He has missed the last two matches and with just a 2-day gap between matches, it is unlikely he will be available here.

Netherlands international right-back Kenny Tete started for the first time since September in midweek. He had been out with a calf injury and will be a welcome return for Scott Parker.

Tom Cairney was absent from the matchday squads to face both QPR and Spurs this week. No timeframe has been given yet for his return to action.

Chelsea’s Ben Chilwell receives treatment for an injury before being substituted during the Premier League match at Stamford Bridge, London. (Photo by John Walton/PA Images via Getty Images)

Chelsea team news vs Fulham

Charly Musonda Jr is the only long-term injury concern for Chelsea, following his knee surgery.

N’Golo Kante is suspended for one match and will miss the trip across London to face Fulham.

Reece James has been out with a small hamstring problem as of late. It is unlikely he will be rushed back by Lampard. Although, he could be introduced from the bench here.

Andreas Christensen recently made his first start since mid-October against Villa on Blues’ final match of 2020. Since then, he has been ruled out with a knee injury but is expected back in training before Saturday’s match against Fulham. Although similar to James, it is unlikely he will start here but could offer some defensive depth from the bench.

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Predicted Fulham line-up vs Chelsea

Fulham’s predicted XI to face Chelsea.

Predicted Chelsea line-up vs Fulham

Chelsea’s predicted XI to face Fulham.

Fulham vs Chelsea – Official videos

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This article was edited by Benjamin Newman.

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