Brighton vs Everton betting tips
This article covers Brighton vs Everton betting tips and predictions. These are the betting odds:
o – Brighton win 13/10
o – Draw 11/5
o – Everton win 9/4
Note: All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Brighton vs Everton: Match details
Match: Brighton vs Everton
Competition: Premier League
Date: August 28, 2021
Kick-off time: 3:00 pm, August 28, 2021 (UK time)
Stadium: American Express Community Stadium
Betting prediction: Brighton 1 – 1 Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion welcomes Everton to the Falmer Stadium in Brighton on Saturday for this Premier League match.
Everton have the upper hand in the head-to-head, with 4 wins to Brighton’s 2, from their 8 encounters in the Premier League.
However, home advantage seems to play a huge role when these sides face each other, as evidenced by the fact there has never been an away win in this fixture in the Premier League. Both of Brighton’s wins, and all 4 of Everton’s, came as the home side in this head-to-head.
Brighton vs Everton: Recommended bets
101 Great Goals’ prediction of Brighton 1 – 1 Everton is available at odds of 11/2.
3-2 Brighton win. Brighton’s last home victory over Everton came back in 2019 by a scoreline of 3-2. A repeat of this score on Saturday is available at odds of 40/1.
0-0 draw. The last time that these sides met in Brighton the game finished as a scoreless draw. Odds of 7/1 are available if you see this match finishing with the same result.
2-1 Everton win. Everton’s last win in Brighton was back in the early 1980s in the old First Division. You can back them at 12/1 for the same 1-2 scoreline here on Saturday.
Under 2.5 goals. When Everton visit Brighton in the Premier League era, it usually results in a low-scoring game, with 3 of the 4 matches producing under 2.5 goals. You can back another low scoring game here on Saturday with odds of 4/6 on for under 2.5 goals.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Goalscorer. Calvert-Lewin (pictured above) scored the opening goal the first time that these sides met last season, heading in Gylfi Sigurdsson’s corner in the opening quarter-hour of the match. The 24-years-old striker has started this season in good form too, with a goal in each of Everton’s games so far. The England international is 11/2 to score the game’s opener once again on Saturday. Or 2/1 to bag a goal at any time during the game against Brighton.
Brighton vs Everton: What are the betting odds?
The Seagulls have won 2 of their last 3 home matches against Everton, and are 13/10 favourites to take all 3 points once again on Saturday.
Whereas, the Blues are 9/4 to pick up a first ever away win at Falmer Stadium in the Premier League.
Odds of 11/5 are available if you see Brighton and Everton cancelling each other out on Saturday.
Brighton vs Everton – recent form and head to head statistics
Norwich City vs Brighton & Hove Albion - 0:0
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal FC - 0:0
Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion - 1:1
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Swansea City - 2:0
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leicester City - 2:1
|Latest match form, last 5 games:||
Everton FC vs West Ham United - 0:1
Manchester United vs Everton FC - 1:1
Everton FC vs Norwich City - 2:0
Queens Park Rangers vs Everton FC - 2:2
Aston Villa vs Everton FC - 3:0
|October 16, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Norwich City||0 - 0||Brighton & Hove Albion|
|October 2, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Brighton & Hove Albion||0 - 0||Arsenal FC|
|September 27, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Crystal Palace||1 - 1||Brighton & Hove Albion|
|September 22, 2021||EFL Cup 21/22||Brighton & Hove Albion||2 - 0||Swansea City|
|September 19, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Brighton & Hove Albion||2 - 1||Leicester City|
|October 17, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Everton FC||0 - 1||West Ham United|
|October 2, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Manchester United||1 - 1||Everton FC|
|September 25, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Everton FC||2 - 0||Norwich City|
|September 21, 2021||EFL Cup 21/22||Queens Park Rangers||2 - 2||Everton FC|
|September 18, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Aston Villa||3 - 0||Everton FC|
|Brighton & Hove Albion||Everton FC|
|28||Shots on goal||36|
|32||Shots off goal||32|
|50%||Average ball possession||42%|
|6||Goals by foot||11|
|2||Goals by head||2|
|Brighton & Hove Albion||Everton FC|
|0.89||Average Goals Scored||1.67|
|August 28, 2021||Premier League 21/22||Brighton & Hove Albion||0 - 2||Everton FC|
|April 12, 2021||Premier League 20/21||Brighton & Hove Albion||0 - 0||Everton FC|
|October 3, 2020||Premier League 20/21||Everton FC||4 - 2||Brighton & Hove Albion|
|January 11, 2020||Premier League 19/20||Everton FC||1 - 0||Brighton & Hove Albion|
|October 26, 2019||Premier League 19/20||Brighton & Hove Albion||3 - 2||Everton FC|
Brighton vs Everton: Match preview
If you have ever worked with data, you will have heard the term ‘regression to the mean’.
It is used when there is an extreme outlier in the dataset suggesting that with a bigger sample of data in the future, you can reasonably expect that data point to move towards the others.
In the past, this was used when discussing Mason Greenwood’s finishing, when he was outperforming his expected goals at a rate of 10x that of Lionel Messi. It wasn’t to say that Greenwood wasn’t a good player or good finisher, just that such an extreme over-performance wasn’t sustainable and in future we expected him to move (or regress) towards the mean.
Greenwood then went from overperforming his expected goals by 295% in the 2019/20 season to overperforming it by 1% in 2020/21 – a perfect example of regression to the mean.
The 2021/22 case study for this will likely be Brighton & Hove Albion. While they finished the 2020/21 campaign with 41 points, their expected points total was 61. This was based on the number of goals they were expected to score and concede based on the quality of chances created.
Of course, there are many flaws with this metric – actual goals change games, expected goals change nothing. If you score at the start of the game you may sit behind the ball and not create many more chances as you protect what you have. Therefore, in expected goals, your score will remain pretty low as you are no longer prioritising trying to score. In contrast, your opponent will rack up expected goals whilst chasing the game, and this will have no bearing on the outcome of the match.
However, it is an indicator that the overall quality of the team’s play was perhaps better than what results were suggesting. Therefore, people who use data were predicting a strong season for Brighton this time around, based purely on the fact that such an under performance in both boxes likely wasn’t sustainable. Much in the same way as Jurgen Klopp’s Borussia Dortmund in their final season were in a relegation battle at the halfway point, despite the quality of chances at both ends placing them as a top-3 side. Thus, they rocketed up the Bundesliga table after the winter break.
Currently, Brighton are one of only 5 teams to boast a 100% start to the Premier League season. The other 4 all finished in the top-7 in the Premier League last season; Brighton were a top-7 team based on expected points projections. They are currently the 7th best team on expected points once again this season.
While it is far too early to be talking European football for Brighton this campaign, they are the dark horses to pay attention to. If you are someone who uses advanced metrics and looks at the underlying numbers, the Seagulls are the ‘surprise package’ that you likely saw coming.
Brighton team news vs Everton
The Seagulls still have a number of players out who likely won’t be involved until after the September international break at the earliest.
Dan Burn is ruled out with the Medial Knee Ligament injury picked up last season.
Danny Welbeck is also ruled out with a recurrence of the thigh injury he picked up at the end of last season.
Joel Veltman is another who is yet to feature this campaign for Brighton. He is also out for Saturday.
Kjell Scherpen will be sidelined with an ankle ligament injury for the foreseeable future.
Tariq Lamptey is still out with the thigh issue that kept him out of last season’s run-in. He is another that won’t be seen on the pitch until late September.
There is some good news regarding Neal Maupay, though. Neal only managed half of a recent match against Watford due to a shoulder injury. There were concerns that he may have required surgery, but the injury is not as serious as first feared, and he has an outside chance to be involved against Everton.
Enock Mwepu only managed a brief cameo appearance against Watford last weekend. Thankfully, his injury has settled down, and Mwepu is expected to start here with Alexis Mac Allister or Adam Lallana the most likely players to make way.
Everton team news vs Brighton
Following Moise Kean’s red card in the 2-1 Carabao Cup win over Huddersfield in midweek, he will be suspended for this match. Although, the Italian likely would have only made the bench if available.
Cenk Tosun is the only Everton player on the long-term injury list, with a patella problem.
Andre Gomes is also ruled out with the same knock that has prevented him from making any of Everton’s squads this season.
James Rodriguez’s ongoing absence will be resolved one way or another before the transfer window shuts. Whether he features for Everton or not before then remains to be seen. He isn’t expected to be involved again here on Saturday.
Alex Iwobi gave a good account of himself last weekend against Leeds, setting up a big chance for Calvert-Lewin. The attacker will hope that he did enough to keep his place over Andros Townsend.
Predicted Brighton line-up vs Everton
Predicted Everton line-up vs Brighton
Brighton vs Everton – Official videos
– 101 Great Goals may earn commission from links on this page. Our content is always original. Note that all of our reviewers are compensated for contributing content to 101 Great Goals. Learn more.
The Premier League table as it stands:
|4||Brighton & Hove Albion||8||4||3||1||8||5||3||15|
|7||West Ham United||8||4||2||2||15||10||5||14|
This article was edited by Conor Laird.
Brighton vs Everton live streaming & betting tips FAQs
What time is kick off between Brighton vs Everton?
3:00 pm on Saturday Aug 28, 2021 (UK Time)
What are the betting odds for Brighton vs Everton?
Brighton win 13/10 | Draw 11/5 | Everton win 9/4
What is the 101 Great Goals prediction for Brighton vs Everton?
101 Great Goals predicts: Brighton 1 – 1 Everton