Naby Keita

Wolves vs Liverpool betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Wolves vs Liverpool prediction: Wolves 1-2 Liverpool

Sixth-placed Wolverhampton Wanderers welcome runaway league-leaders Liverpool to the Molineux Stadium for this Thursday night Premier League clash.

Wolves have yet to secure a home league victory over Liverpool during the Premier League era. Although, they did win 0-1 at Anfield in December 2010.

They come into this match on the back of an impressive come-from-behind win against Southampton at the weekend. Wolves overturned the Saints’ 2-0 half-time lead to win 2-3. It ended a poor run of just one point in nine for Nuno Espirito Santo’s side.

Liverpool, on the other hand, are the team to beat in world football at the moment. They are still undefeated in the league this season and have won thirteen league matches on the bounce.


LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – MAY 12: (THE SUN OUT, THE SUN ON SUNDAY OUT) Trent Alexander-Arnold of Liverpool during the Premier League match between Liverpool FC and Wolverhampton Wanderers at Anfield on May 12, 2019 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by Andrew Powell/Liverpool FC via Getty Images)

Wolves vs Liverpool: Who will win?

Only four Premier League teams have won fewer home matches this season than Wolves. Unsurprisingly then, they are 19/4 outsiders to grab their fifth home win of the season against league-leaders Liverpool.

Two of the five Premier League meetings between these sides at the Molineux have ended in stalemate. Odds of 14/5 are available for them to cancel each other out once more.

The Reds have the superior head-to-head having won each of the last six Premier League matches between the them, including a 1-0 win at Anfield back in December. They are the 8/13 favourites to extend their Premier League winning streak to fourteen on Thursday.

Wolves vs Liverpool: Who will score?

Wolves’ top scorer this season, Raúl Jiménez, was rested for their trip to Anfield earlier this season. However, after a brace of goals in their comeback win at Southampton at the weekend, there is no doubt he will start on Thursday night. The Mexican international is 2/1 to score against the Reds and 13/2 to grab the opening goal of the game.

Mohamed Salah raced towards the Kop end and slid the ball under David De Gea to score his eleventh league goal this season on Sunday. He now has two goals and an assist in his last three games for the club. The Egyptian King is the 10/11 favourite to score on Thursday. Or you can back Salah at 10/3 to be the game’s opening scorer.

Sadio Mané is Liverpool’s joint-top league goal-scorer this season, with Salah. He has three goals in three league games against Wolves in his career, including the only goal of the game at Anfield back in December. The African player of the year looks good value at 4/1 to be the game’s first goal-scorer for the third time in a row. Or you can back Mané to score at any time at 6/5.

Wolves vs Liverpool: Match preview

“It’s a game of two halves” is an often used cliché that has never been more accurate than when these two sides last met back in December.

Liverpool dominated the first half, with eight shots before Wolves could manage their only shot in the half; a blocked shot in first half injury time. The roles were almost completely reversed in the second half, with Wolves dominating the shot count by nine to two. The Reds failed to register a single shot after the hour-mark of the match.

However, perhaps basic shot stats don’t tell the full story here. As we can see from the expected goals numbers, Liverpool had 1.49 to 0.36 for Wolves. They created two big chances, one of which Mané converted to give his side all three points. The other was missed by Salah in the opening minutes of the game.

So, despite Wolves create the same quantity of chances as Liverpool, they failed to create the same quality of chances. The probability of the average Liverpool shot in open play resulting in a goal was 14.3% to Wolves’ 3.9%.

Wolves vs Liverpool: A look at the home side

A poor first half followed by an improved second half has been the story of Wolves’ season so far. This has been true of their season as a whole as well as in specific matches. In fact, they had to come from 2-0 behind to Southampton in their last match to win 2-3 with a fantastic second half comeback.

When you look at the stats for Wolves at home this season, we can see that only four out of seventeen goals scored at the Molineux Stadium have come in the first half. Likewise, for eleven of the fifteen goals conceded.

While they were able to make up for their poor first half at the weekend, you suspect that won’t be the same outcome should they let Liverpool dominate the first half as they did at Anfield.


WOLVERHAMPTON, ENGLAND – DECEMBER 21: Adama Traore of Wolverhampton Wanderers during the Premier League match between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Liverpool FC at Molineux on December 21, 2018 in Wolverhampton, United Kingdom. (Photo by Sam Bagnall – AMA/Getty Images)

Wolves team news vs Liverpool

Willy Boly hasn’t featured for Wolves since the 1-1 draw against Southampton back in October. He is progressing well and is back on the grass and running, but he won’t be available for Thursday night’s visit of Liverpool.

Ruben Vinagre missed Saturday’s 2-3 win at Southampton with a thigh injury. He is expected to be out for some time yet and is ruled out for this match.

Diogo Jota has missed Wolves’ last two matches with a calf injury. However, he is progressing well and has an outside chance at being involved against Liverpool.

The four days rest between Saturday and Thursday’s matches should be enough for Nuno Espirito Santo’s side to recover. This means he is likely to name the same starting XI from the 2-3 win at Southampton.

Predicted Wolves team vs Liverpool

Predicted Wolves team vs Liverpool

Predicted Wolves team vs Liverpool

Dejan Lovren

WOLVERHAMPTON, ENGLAND – JANUARY 07: Dejan Lovren of Liverpool receives help before leaving the pitch injured during the Emirates FA Cup Third Round match between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Liverpool at Molineux on January 7, 2019 in Wolverhampton, United Kingdom. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Liverpool team news vs Wolves

Naby Keita, Nathaniel Clyne and James Milner are all ruled out for Thursday’s trip to the Black Country.

Dejan Lovren has missed the last six league matches with a thigh injury. He returned to full training last Monday and should be available for selection if required. However, with Gomez in fantastic form and Joel Matip also back from injury, there may not be a space for him in the matchday squad.

Xherdan Shaqiri’s second season at Liverpool has been seriously hampered with injuries, managing just two starts, or six league appearances in total. His latest setback was a slight calf problem in training causing him to miss the 2-0 against Manchester United. He is touch and go to be available in midweek.

Fabinho and Joel Matip may be in line to start in midweek having returned to the matchday squad at the weekend. While Matip was an unused sub, Fabinho played the final seven minutes of the match after missing the last eight league matches with a high-ankle sprain.

Divock Origi and Adam Lallana will be hopeful to start the game should Klopp opt to rotate his side to keep things fresh. While Takumi Minamino and Curtis Jones are in with an outside chance of starting their first league matches for the club.

Predicted Liverpool team vs Wolves

Predicted Liverpool team vs Wolves

Predicted Liverpool team vs Wolves

The latest tweets from Wolves pre-Liverpool

https://twitter.com/Wolves/status/1219589912166531072

https://twitter.com/Wolves/status/1219320183514370049

https://twitter.com/Wolves/status/1219302064288780288

https://twitter.com/Wolves/status/1219256924736303105

The latest tweets from Liverpool pre-Wolves

https://twitter.com/LFC/status/1219016684792664066

https://twitter.com/LFC/status/1219583221077348352

https://twitter.com/LFC/status/1219552620794253313

https://twitter.com/LFC/status/1219321189967024128

https://twitter.com/LFC/status/1218985252686901249

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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