Who Liverpool & Man City may get in the Champions League draw

BayernForum.com has run a simulator for the Champions League group stage draw, and found the most likely probabilities.

The Twitter account ran the simulator 50 million times and, according to the results, it is bad news for Tottenham Hotspur.

Liverpool, Manchester City and Chelsea’s most likely outcomes from Thursday’s 5pm draw have also been revealed.

Champions League Pot 1 confirmed, Pot 2 provisional

Champions League draw simulated 50 million times

Liverpool most likely to start defence vs Atletico or Shakhtar

MADRID, SPAIN – JUNE 01: Players of FC Liverpool celebrate with the trophy after winning the UEFA Champions League Final between Tottenham Hotspur and Liverpool at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano on June 1, 2019 in Madrid, Spain. (Photo by TF-Images/Getty Images)

Liverpool’s pot 2 most likely outcomes:

Atletico Madrid – 16.08%

Shakhtar Donetsk – 15.28%

Real Madrid – 14.07%

Borussia Dortmund – 13.70%

Napoli – 13.68%

Ajax – 13.60%

Benfica – 13.58%

For the competition’s defending champions Liverpool, Atletico Madrid is the most likely outcome from pot 2.

The Spanish side have made a solid start to their La Liga campaign, beating both Getafe and Leganes 1-0.

The Reds’ second most likely outcome is a trip to Ukraine to face Shakhtar Donetsk.

The Ukrainian outfit would be a favourable draw for Jurgen Klopp’s men, but would also be the furthest distance to travel.

Manchester City facing similar outcome as Liverpool

MANCHESTER, ENGLAND – MAY 06: Vincent Kompany of Manchester City celebrates after scoring his team’s first goal with Bernardo Silva of Manchester City during the Premier League match between Manchester City and Leicester City at Etihad Stadium on May 06, 2019 in Manchester, United Kingdom. (Photo by Matt McNulty – Manchester City/Man City via Getty Images)

Manchester City’s pot 2 most likely outcomes:

Atletico Madrid – 16.13%

Shakhtar Donetsk – 15.25%

Real Madrid – 14.06%

Napoli – 13.71%

Borussia Dortmund – 13.67%

Benfica – 13.60%

Ajax – 13.58%

Manchester City are also expected to face a similar fate to their domestic rivals.

Atletico Madrid or Shakhtar Donetsk are the teams that they are also most likely to face.

City’s percentage of drawing Atletico was higher than Liverpool’s, so for the Reds, it could most likely be Shakhtar.

A mouth-watering clash between Real Madrid and City is also a fairly possible outcome.

Chelsea expected to face one of the two Madrid teams

BAKU, AZERBAIJAN – MAY 29: Andreas Christiansen of Chelsea celebrates with the Europa League Trophy following his team’s victory in the UEFA Europa League Final between Chelsea and Arsenal at Baku Olimpiya Stadionu on May 29, 2019 in Baku, Azerbaijan. (Photo by Dan Mullan/Getty Images)

Chelsea’s pot 2 most likely outcomes:

Atletico Madrid – 15.61%

Real Madrid – 14.79%

Shakhtar Donetsk – 14.65%

Borussia Dortmund – 14.38%

Napoli – 14.36%

Ajax – 13.08%

Benfica – 13.13%

For Chelsea, they too are most likely to be drawn against Atleti.

However, the Blues have almost a 15 percent chance of facing the 13-time winners of the competition, Real Madrid.

Shakhtar Donetsk and Borussia Dortmund are also strong potential outcomes for the Europa League winners.

Tottenham expected to face group of death

Harry Kane

MADRID, SPAIN – JUNE 01: Harry Kane of Tottenham Hotspur looks dejected during the UEFA Champions League Final between Tottenham Hotspur and Liverpool at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano on June 1, 2019 in Madrid, Spain. (Photo by TF-Images/Getty Images)

Tottenham’s pot 1 most likely outcomes:

FC Barcelona – 21.56%

Zenit Saint Petersburg – 21.05%

Paris Saint-Germain – 19.33%

Bayern Munich – 19.03%

Juventus – 19.03%

For Mauricio Pochettino, once again, a Spanish giant in FC Barcelona is the most likely outcome from their pot 1 draw, according to the simulation.

Spurs drew the Catalan giants in over 21 percent of the simulations.

Both sides were drawn with one another last season, and the year before that, Tottenham drew Real Madrid.

The north London club also have over a 19 percent chance of facing either Juventus, Bayern Munich or Paris Saint-Germain.

However, Zenit Saint Petersburg is their second most likely outcome, just behind Barca.


Read more related news here:

Jurgen Klopp ramps up Liverpool exit talk, German doesn’t want a new contract

Danny Murphy makes his Premier League top four prediction

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