West Ham vs Liverpool betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

West Ham vs Liverpool prediction: West Ham United 0-2 Liverpool

West Ham welcome Liverpool to the London Stadium to close Matchday 25.

They won`t have many fond memories of their recent encounters with Liverpool. West Ham have lost each of the last four matches against Liverpool by at least three clear goals. They also have conceded four goals in each of the four defeats.

However, prior to this, West Ham went five games without defeat in this fixture in all competitions; a run that included three victories.

West Ham vs Liverpool: Who will win?

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – AUGUST 12: Sadio Mane of Liverpool celebrates after scoring his team’s third goal during the Premier League match between Liverpool FC and West Ham United at Anfield on August 12, 2018 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by Laurence Griffiths/Getty Images)

Liverpool have won each of their last four matches against West Ham by at least three clear goals. They have also won five of their last six Premier League away matches. The only points dropped in that run coming at the Etihad. They are 2/5 favourites to keep the wins coming with another here.

Matches between these two teams in London rarely end in stalemate. Only three of the twenty-two meetings here in the Premier League have ended with the sides sharing the points. If you think a draw is overdue in this fixture, you can get odds of 17/4.

West Ham have already defeated both Manchester United and Arsenal at the London Stadium this season. Can they take another big scalp here? They are 15/2 outsiders if you think they can.

West Ham vs Liverpool: Who will score?

Bar chart showing the top goalscorers of both clubs filtered on total goals scored (Orange Bar). Expected Goals per 90 (Charcoal) and Goals per 90 (Silver) are also shown. Click to Expand.

Bar chart showing the top goalscorers of both clubs filtered on total goals scored (Orange Bar). Expected Goals per 90 (Charcoal) and Goals per 90 (Silver) are also shown. Click to Expand.

Mohamed Salah is the Premier League’s top goal-scorer at present, with sixteen goals. He has nine goals and three assists from his last ten Premier League games. He has also scored in every appearance against West Ham so far; four goals in three games. He is the 3/1 bookies favourite to open the scoring. Or 8/11 to score at any time.

Sadio Mané was Liverpool’s danger man on Wednesday against Leicester. He scored their only goal and looked a constant threat throughout. He has two goals now in his last two Premier League games; ten in total this season. He is 9/2 to open the scoring. Or 6/5 to score at any time.

Andy Carroll looks set to lead the line against his former club on Monday night. He has just one goal against them in six West Ham appearances. He also hasn’t scored a Premier League goal since April 2018. He is 11/1 to open the scoring. Or 10/3 to score at any time.

Felipe Anderson looks the most likely player to get on the score-sheet for the home side. He has eight Premier League goals already this season. However, he hasn’t scored in any of his last five Premier League appearances. He is 14/1 to open the scoring. Or 9/2 to score at any time.

West Ham vs Liverpool: Match preview

Graph showing the 5-game rolling average of Expected Goals For (xG) and Against (xGA) for Liverpool (Red) and West Ham (Purple). Click to expand.

Graph showing the 5-game rolling average of Expected Goals For (xG) and Against (xGA) for Liverpool (Red) and West Ham (Purple). Click to expand.

Liverpool travel to London to face West Ham for Monday Night Football.

They do so aware that they need to turn around a recent slump in their performances against Crystal Palace and Leicester. Although, they only dropped two points from those games, they showed a lack of control that is uncharacteristic of their season so far. Particularly in defence.

Although, interestingly, the xG model above doesn’t really support this media narrative. Which suggests sides are not creating a larger quantity and/or quality of chances against them. Instead, Liverpool are failing at preventing those chances in becoming goals, as they were earlier in the season.

This could be equally worrying for them, as it was this new-found ability this season to grind out 1-0 wins which many believe propelled into being genuine challengers to Manchester City this season.

Graph showing the key players for West Ham (Purple) and Liverpool (Red) who have played at least 630 minutes this season. Click to expand.

Graph showing the key players for West Ham (Purple) and Liverpool (Red) who have played at least 630 minutes this season. Click to expand.

West Ham vs Liverpool: West Ham’s Season of Transition

West Ham had a rough start to the season. This was quite understandable though as transition in football equals chaos. A change of manager. An entirely new system; one that was miles away from the football served up by the likes of Allardyce, Bilić and Moyes before. A large overhaul of the playing staff.

The xG graph above illustrates the impact of being a team in transition at both ends of the pitch. Their xGA dropping from over 4.0 goals per game down to 1.5 goals per game around Matchday 7. There it has stayed relatively constant. Their xG is even more illustrative of this, as it gradually increases throughout the season up to around November where it peaked. This coincided with the likes of Lucas Perez and Chicharito finding their feet in the side and contributing some goals to the team.

Since then, it has declined to a point almost in line with the lows at the start of the season. Injuries to key personnel. Arnautovic’s head being turned by the promise of millions to end his career in China. Lucas Perez and Chicharito falling out of form once more. There are certainly many contributing factors.

However, it may be the lack of rotation for Felipe Anderson that is having the largest impact of all. He is very much the linchpin in this West Ham side. Hence why he is the only outfield player to have started every league match for West ham this season.

This has started to show recently, as he has just one goal involvement in his last seven games. That goal, a mere consolation goal against League One side, AFC Wimbledon.

West Ham team news vs Liverpool

HULL, ENGLAND – APRIL 01: Andy Carroll of West Ham United shouts towards the linesmen during the Premier League match between Hull City and West Ham United at KCOM Stadium on April 1, 2017 in Hull, England. (Photo by Alex Morton/Getty Images)

Jack Wilshere, Andriy Yarmolenko, Carlos Sanchez, Manuel Lanzini, Winston Reid, and Fabian Balbuena remain on the long-term injury list for West Ham.

Pellegrini revealed that while Marko Arnautovic has not broken his foot, it has a lot of bruising and swelling.

It looks likely Monday’s match may come too soon for him. Expect Andy Carroll to replace him in the starting line-up against his former club.

Lukasz Fabianski, Samir Nasri, Aaron Cresswell and Lucas are also facing a race against time to be fit for the match.

Liverpool team news vs West Ham

BURY, ENGLAND – JULY 14: Naby Keita of Liverpool in action during a pre-season friendly match between Bury and Liverpool at Gigg Lane on July 14, 2018 in Bury, England. (Photo by Nathan Stirk/Getty Images)

Joe Gomez, Rhian Brewster and Alex Oxlade Chamberlain remain on the long-term injury list for Liverpool.
Jurgen Klopp has ruled out Trent Alexander-Arnold for Monday night’s game. However, he hopes to see him back in action against Bournemouth the following Saturday.

James Milner is available once again. He missed the Leicester City game last Wednesday due to suspension following his sending off against Crystal Palace. He is expected to go straight into the starting line-up at right back in place of Henderson.

Fabinho was only able to start the Leicester game on the bench due to illness. He is expected to start here though having fully recovered.

Predicted West Ham team vs Liverpool

Predicted West Ham team vs Liverpool

Predicted West Ham team vs Liverpool

Predicted Liverpool team vs West Ham

Predicted Liverpool team vs West Ham

Predicted Liverpool team vs West Ham

The latest tweets from West Ham pre-Liverpool

The latest tweets from Liverpool pre-West Ham

https://twitter.com/LFC/status/1091374030249254916

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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Massive odds on Liverpool to beat West Ham: 25/1!!!!