West Ham United vs Crystal Palace betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

West Ham United vs Crystal Palace prediction: West Ham United 2-1 Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace have only managed 4 wins in the Premier League against West Ham in 14 meetings. Their last win was back in the 2014/15 season when Alan Pardew’s Palace ran out 1-3 winners here. A Glenn Murray brace and a trio of assists from Jason Puncheon were the key to their victory that evening.

Since then, West Ham have gone undefeated when facing Palace in the English top-flight; a run of 6 games. There have been 3 draws in that time, including both games between the pair last season.

West Ham come into the game as the form side having picked up 10 points from their last 15. Their only defeat in that run of games was against the league leaders, Manchester City.

Whereas Crystal Palace have managed just 1 win from their last 10 games. A run that has seen serious questions start to get asked of Roy Hodgson by some sections of the Palace fanbase.

HUDDERSFIELD, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 10: Felipe Anderson of West Ham United celebrates with teammate Aaron Cresswell after scoring his team’s first goal during the Premier League match between Huddersfield Town and West Ham United at the John Smith’s Stadium on November 10, 2018 in Huddersfield, United Kingdom. (Photo by Marc Atkins/Getty Images)

West Ham United vs Crystal Palace: Who will win?

West Ham are the form team coming into the tie. If you feel their form and home advantage will see them over the line here, you can get odds of 13/10 on a home win.

These sides played out 2 draws last season. The bookies favourite here is for another draw, at 12/5.

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Crystal Palace haven’t beaten West Ham in their last six attempts. Odds of 2/1 are available for them to end that run on Saturday.

West Ham United vs Crystal Palace: Who will score?

Graph showing the top 3 scorers for each side who are likely to be involved in the game. Click to expand.

Graph showing the top 3 scorers for each side who are likely to be involved in the game. Click to expand.

Marko Arnautovic will be a big miss for West Ham in attack. However, they seem to have goals spread throughout their squad now to somewhat replace him.

Lucas Pérez grabbed two goals off the bench in midweek. Will he finally start his first league match for West Ham? If you believe he can and will also get amongst the goals too, the odds are 2/1. They rise to 6/1 if he does so as first scorer.

Throughout his career, Chicharito has been lethal in and around the box. If he gets the chances, he will score goals. Do you think he will get chances here? He is 11/2 to open the scoring and 15/8 to score at any time.

Wilfred Zaha has now gone 952 minutes without a goal for club and country. He seems long overdue a goal for a player of his ability. Will he end this drought on Saturday? Odds of 11/5 are available if he does; 13/2 as first scorer.

With a dribbler like Zaha in your side, a penalty is never far away. Luka Milivojevic is the man to step up when they do to slam them away. He is 11/2 to score for Palace on Saturday. 16/1 as first scorer.

West Ham United vs Crystal Palace: Match preview

Graph showing the 3-game rolling average of Deep Completions For and Against for West Ham (Purple) and Crystal Palace (Red). Click to expand.

Graph showing the 3-game rolling average of Deep Completions For and Against for West Ham (Purple) and Crystal Palace (Red). Click to expand.

It is clear to see from this why the bookies may be backing a draw coming into this game. In recent weeks in terms of territory, there seems very little to separate these two sides. Not to mention the heavy injury list West Ham are carrying at the moment.

Both sides are doing a good job in restricting the number of times an opponent will get the ball in dangerous positions per game. Palace are doing so marginally better than West Ham here.

At the other end of the pitch, after a couple of big dips this season already, Palace’s deep completion numbers are showing signs of recovery. Whereas, after staying around or above 8 all season, West Ham are starting to dip. With two key members of their attack, Arnautovic & Yarmolenko, now injured, will that dip continue?

However, stylistically, this feels like a bad matchup for Palace. West Ham have very clever technical players adept at playing in tight spaces and playing short, through balls. This can be like kryptonite to a coach that tries to limit space rather than time on the ball such as Roy Hodgson.

In addition, Palace have struggled all season against sides who can counter attack at pace. This has been a main feature of this West Ham sides play as of late.

Ones to Watch

Graph showing the key players for West Ham (purple) and Crystal Palace (red) who have played at least 360 minutes this season. Click to expand.

Graph showing the key players for West Ham (purple) and Crystal Palace (red) who have played at least 360 minutes this season. Click to expand.

You can see here clearly how important both Arnautovic & Yarmolenko have been to West Ham this season. However, unlike Palace, West Ham seem to have much better depth with the likes of Antonio and Snodgrass coming in to have an impact on the game for them.

Lucas Perez, who isn’t shown here due to time played, has also looked good in cameos and showed he is capable of replacing Arnautovic’s goals in midweek with a brace.

For Palace, their main trio of Zaha, Meyer and Townsend are having the same input in games as their West Ham counterparts. However, the output just isn’t comparable. This is likely due to the types of chances they are looking to fashion and the positions they are trying to open sides up from.

Therefore, while I see the game being quite equal in terms of possession and attacks, I believe West Ham have the tactical and technical superiority to make more out of their chances than Palace will.

West Ham United team news vs Crystal Palace

LONDON, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 24: Marko Arnautovic of West Ham United react during the Premier League match between West Ham United and Manchester City at London Stadium on November 24, 2018 in London, United Kingdom. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Marko Arnautovic is ruled out until the New Year with a hamstring injury. He will likely be replaced by Lucas Perez, who came off the bench to net a brace in midweek.

Winston Reid, Manuel Lanzini, Carlos Sanchez, Andriy Yarmolenko, Ryan Fredericks and Aaron Cresswell all remain on the injury list for the foreseeable future.

Jack Wilshere will also miss the game due to an ankle injury. However, he is nearing a comeback.

Fabian Balbuena & Pablo Zabaleta look likely to replace Ogbonna & Antonio in the starting XI having missed the midweek game.

Crystal Palace team news vs West Ham United

LONDON, ENGLAND – DECEMBER 12: Roy Hodgson, Manager of Crystal Palace looks on during the Premier League match between Crystal Palace and Watford at Selhurst Park on December 12, 2017 in London, England. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Scott Dann and Connor Wickham are unlikely to feature on Saturday. Although, both are closing in on a return to training.

Christian Benteke remains absent due to an ongoing knee problem. He hopes to be available for selection before the end of the year.

Roy Hodgson tends to play a settled side where he can and looks unlikely to make changes.

Predicted West Ham United team vs Crystal Palace

Predicted West Ham United team vs Crystal Palace

Predicted West Ham United team vs Crystal Palace

Predicted Crystal Palace team vs West Ham United

Predicted Crystal Palace team vs West Ham United

Predicted Crystal Palace team vs West Ham United

The latest tweets from West Ham United pre Crystal Palace

The latest tweets from Crystal Palace pre West Ham United

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.


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