Watford vs Wolves betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Watford vs Wolves prediction: Watford 2-2 Wolves

Watford welcome Wolves to Vicarage Road on Wednesday for this New Year’s day clash in the Premier League.

Watford start the day in the relegation zone. However, seven points from nine for Nigel Pearson’s side over the festive period has moved them off bottom and given everyone belief that they can survive the drop under his stewardship.

For Wolves, they start the day in seventh aiming to secure European football once again this season.

Back-to-back wins against Norwich and Manchester City were followed up with a 1-0 defeat at Anfield on Sunday. However, with none of the sides around him picking up maximum points over the festive period, they haven’t lost ground on any of their direct rivals.


Watford vs Wolves: Who will win?

WATFORD, ENGLAND – AUGUST 10: Gerard Deulofeu of Watford runs with the ball away from Davy Propper of Brighton and Hove Albion during the Premier League match between Watford FC and Brighton & Hove Albion at Vicarage Road on August 10, 2019 in Watford, United Kingdom. (Photo by Jordan Mansfield/Getty Images)

Watford are looking to match their record of three consecutive home wins since returning to the Premier League in 2015. They are 9/4 to pick up their third home win of the season on Wednesday.

Historically, the most common result between these sides has been a draw. There have been twenty-five matches between them with nine ending in stalemate. Odds of 12/5 look good value if you believe they will cancel each other out once more.

Wolves hammered the Hornets 1-4 here back in 1993 when they met for the first game of the New Year. They met in the FA Cup third round on the 2nd January. Wolves are the 6/5 favourites to start 2020 with a win.

Watford vs Wolves: Who will score?

While he has struggled in front of goal this season, Troy Deeney looked back to his imposing best against Villa. He bagged a brace, taking him up to three Premier League goals for the season. Deeney is the favourite to get a goal for the home side, at 15/8. Or 11/2 to score the game’s opening goal.

Raul Jimenez has been in fine form for Wolves this season, with eight Premier League goals already. This is double the amount of any other Wolves player so far this season. The Mexican international was rested at the weekend but is expected to be restored to the starting XI here. Jimenez is the favourite to score first in this match, at 4/1. Or you can back Raul Jimenez at 13/10 to score at any time.

Pedro Neto looked a threat against Liverpool at the weekend, in only his second league start this season. He had the ball in the net, only for VAR to rule it out for the most marginal of offside calls. Should the Portuguese teenager retain his place, he is 15/8 to grab a goal for Wolves. Or 11/2 to score the game’s opening goal.

Watford vs Wolves: Match preview

Watford look an entirely different side since the appointment of Nigel Pearson as manager.

They have picked up seven points from nine from their last three matches; bettered only by Liverpool in the Premier League.

The Hornets are also aiming to turn Vicarage Road into a fortress, having gone three games unbeaten there, keeping a clean sheet in each and winning both of the last two.

The graph above shows the defensive side of their game improving under Pearson, since implementing a more aggressive high press. Under Pearson, sides are now completing an average of 166 passes in the Watford half, compared to 208 prior to his appointment.

Of course, the price for this is showing in their mounting injury list; they could be without as many as eight first team players here.

At the other end, things are starting to click for the Hornets also. Troy Deeney is finally finding himself amongst the goals, while Sarr looks a threat in every match for the first time since his summer move from Rennes.

Watford vs Wolves: A look at the previous match

When they faced each other at Molineux Stadium back in September, Wolves ran out 2-0 winners. However, as you can see above, perhaps the score-line didn’t tell the whole story that match.

The Expected Goals (xG) of 1.16 to Wolves compared to 1.09 for Watford suggests a very close match in which a 1-1 score-line would have been a fair result.

The difference appeared to be that Watford had a lot of low quality chances and failed to convert their only big chance. While at the other end, Wolves created little, having only six shots in the match.

However, the few shots they did have were of good value, with half coming in the 6-yard box. They also converted their only big chance of the game, as well as receiving a boost with Janmaat’s own goal.

Watford team news vs Wolves

Henrikh Mkhitaryan

WATFORD, ENGLAND – APRIL 15: Henrikh Mkhitaryan of Arsenal is tackled by Will Hughes of Watford during the Premier League match between Watford FC and Arsenal FC at Vicarage Road on April 15, 2019 in Watford, United Kingdom. (Photo by Marc Atkins/Getty Images)

The injuries are really starting to pile up for Nigel Pearson’s Watford. José Holebas, Danny Welbeck, Tom Cleverley, Sebastian Prödl and Daryl Janmaat have all been ruled out for their first match of 2020.

Will Hughes has been struggling with the hip injury which forced him off against Villa. He is a major doubt for the game also.

Craig Cathcart picked up a knock against Aston Villa that saw him removed five minutes from full time. This match may come too soon for him, with Masina expected to replace him forcing a defensive reshuffle.

Adrian Mariappa will also miss this match through suspension following his red card at the weekend.

Predicted Watford team vs Wolves

Predicted Watford team vs Wolves

Predicted Watford team vs Wolves

Wolves team news vs Watford

Raul Jimenez

LONDON, ENGLAND – APRIL 07: Raul Jimenez of Wolverhampton Wanderers wears a mask as he celebrates scoring his team’s second goal during the FA Cup Semi Final match between Watford and Wolverhampton Wanderers at Wembley Stadium on April 07, 2019 in London, England. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Willy Boly, Phil Ofosu-Ayeh and Morgan Gibbs-White are ruled out of this one for Wolves.

Patrick Cutrone has been suffering with illness this week. He is touch and go for the trip to Watford.

All three goalscorers against Manchester City were rested for the trip to Anfield on Sunday. Matt Doherty, Adama Traore and Raul Jimenez are all expected to be restored to the starting XI here.

Predicted Wolves team vs Watford

Predicted Wolves team vs Watford

Predicted Wolves team vs Watford

The latest tweets from Watford pre-Wolves

https://twitter.com/WatfordFC/status/1211663481583423488

https://twitter.com/WatfordFC/status/1211625732612321281

The latest tweets from Wolves pre-Watford

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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