Southampton vs Liverpool betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Southampton vs Liverpool prediction: Southampton 0-3 Liverpool

Liverpool have the upper-hand in the historical head-to-head against Southampton, with twenty wins to Southampton’s ten from their forty Premier League encounters.

More recently, matches between these two have been dominated by Liverpool. They have won each of their last four matches against Southampton, in the Premier League.

The Reds have also scored at will in these fixtures, with at least two goals in each of those four matches.

However, they have been unusually suspect at the back in their opening two games of the season, giving up fourteen shots on target in just three games.

Southampton vs Liverpool: Who will win?

SOUTHAMPTON, ENGLAND – APRIL 05: Mohamed Salah of Liverpool celebrates with team mates Roberto Firmino of Liverpool and Andy Robertson of Liverpool after scoring their team’s second goal during the Premier League match between Southampton FC and Liverpool FC at St Mary’s Stadium on April 05, 2019 in Southampton, United Kingdom. (Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images)

Southampton have failed to win any of their last six Premier League matches. You can get odds of 11/2 for them to end that winless streak here on Saturday.

The Saints drew three of their final four matches of last season. Can they pick up their first Premier League point of the season here with a stalemate? Odds of 10/3 are available to see the sides share the points.

Liverpool have won their last ten Premier League matches. Therefore, it is no surprise to see them as odds-on favourites to win here at 1/2.

Southampton vs Liverpool: Who will score?

SOUTHAMPTON, ENGLAND – DECEMBER 16: Danny Ings of Southampton scores his team’s first goal under pressure from Laurent Koscielny of Arsenal during the Premier League match between Southampton FC and Arsenal FC at St Mary’s Stadium on December 16, 2018 in Southampton, United Kingdom. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Former Red, Danny Ings, is the bookies favourite to get off the mark for Southampton at the weekend, against his former club. He wasn’t able to play against his parent club last season prior to his deal becoming permanent. Now that he can, will he finally score against Liverpool at the third time of asking? He is 3/1 to score during the game, or 10/1 to score the first goal of the game.

Sadio Mané was in excellent scoring form for Liverpool as they saw off Chelsea to win the UEFA Super Cup in mid-week. He bagged both the Reds goals before being withdrawn to save something in the tank for the weekend. Can last season’s Golden Boot winner grab his first Premier League goal of this season here? Mané is evens to score during the match, or 15/4 to score the game’s opening goal.

Mohamed Salah wasted no time in starting his pursuit for his third consecutive Golden Boot award. He scored one and created another for the Reds last weekend in a 4-1 win against Norwich. The Egyptian King is the 3/1 favourite to keep his scoring going with the first goal of this match. Or 4/5 to score at any time during the game.

Southampton vs Liverpool: Match preview

James Ward-Prowse

SOUTHAMPTON, ENGLAND – MARCH 09: James Ward-Prowse of Southampton celebrates after scoring his team’s second goal during the Premier League match between Southampton FC and Tottenham Hotspur at St Mary’s Stadium on March 09, 2019 in Southampton, United Kingdom. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Southampton suffered a heavy loss last Saturday, away to Burnley. The final score of the match was 3-0.

Perhaps the final score here doesn’t tell the full story of the game though. Most of the underlying numbers suggest it was a very even match. Both teams created just one big chance apiece. They each had two shots in the 6-yard box apiece. The expected goals models put the value of Burnley’s chances at 0.91 to Southampton’s 1.09.

The big difference between the two teams seems to be Burnley have a top-tier shot stopper, in Nick Pope. While Angus Gunn didn’t save a single shot that he faced. This won’t come as a huge surprise to Southampton fans given that the data suggests he performs below average in stopping shots in the Premier League last season.

It was also noticeable how many individual errors were made in the build-up to Burnley’s chances. Vestergaard getting under the flight of a long ball before Ashley Barnes’ goal was perhaps the most memorable of them.

This will be a big concern as they come into a game to face a Liverpool side famed for forcing errors due to their pressing and high-intensity approach in the final third.

One other noticeable feature from last weekend was Hasenhüttl’s decision to switch back to a 3-4-2-1 formation. He seemed to abandon it after five defeats in nine games at the end of last season, one of which was their 1-3 defeat to Liverpool here. He reverted to a 4-4-2 with two holding midfielders for the final few games of the season.

Will he persist with three at the back here? Or will he look to avoid a repeat of last season by trying a back four against Liverpool?

A look at the visitors

ISTANBUL, TURKEY – AUGUST 14: Liverpool Head Coach / Manager Jurgen Klopp looks on during the UEFA Super Cup match between Liverpool and Chelsea at Vodafone Park on August 14, 2019 in Istanbul, Turkey. (Photo by Chris Brunskill/Fantasista/Getty Images)

Liverpool, on the other hand, started their season with a 4-1 home win against Norwich. Although, that is perhaps not as comfortable as the score-line suggests either.

They followed this up with a UEFA Super Cup win against Chelsea in mid-week, albeit on penalties. However, their performance was rather disappointing in parts. In particular, their midfield looked wide open and easy to play through.

This has been a noticeable feature when Klopp has used Henderson and Milner as a pairing in midfield. Possibly due to how both drift onto either flank to find space in the build-up phase of play resulting in Fabinho being alone in the middle of the pitch when attacks break down.

The situation improved for them when Wijnaldum and particularly Firmino were introduced. Both are very central players and Firmino dropping deeper to support the midfield prevented Chelsea simply over-running Liverpool on every transition.

With Milner looking likely to miss the game and Henderson in need of a rest having played more than 210 minutes of football in a week, Liverpool are expected to solve this midfield issue for the weekend.

Southampton team news vs Liverpool

Ralph Hasenhutt

SOUTHAMPTON, ENGLAND – DECEMBER 16: Ralph Hasenhuttl manager of Southampton celebrates the win during the Premier League match between Southampton FC and Arsenal FC at St Mary’s Stadium on December 16, 2018 in Southampton, United Kingdom. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Sam McQueen remains the only absentee for Southampton following his cruciate ligament rupture.

Regardless, we may still see a number of changes by Ralph Hasenhüttl to the side that were thumped 3-0 by Burnley on the opening weekend.

Kevin Danso, who was a deadline day signing from Augsburg, may be one player to benefit from such changes as he looks to make his first appearance for his new club.

Predicted Southampton team vs Liverpool

Predicted Southampton team vs Liverpool

Predicted Southampton team vs Liverpool

Liverpool team news vs Southampton

ISTANBUL, TURKEY – AUGUST 14: Adrian of Liverpool celebrates victory after saving the final penalty taken by Tammy Abraham of Chelsea (not pictured) in the penalty shoot out following the UEFA Super Cup match between Liverpool and Chelsea at Vodafone Park on August 14, 2019 in Istanbul, Turkey. (Photo by Alex Caparros – UEFA/UEFA via Getty Images)

Nathaniel Clyne remains an absentee for Liverpool following his cruciate ligament rupture.

Alisson Becker picked up a suspected tear in his calf muscle in the first-half of Liverpool’s season opener against Norwich. He is expected to be out for between three to six weeks. Penalty saving hero, Adrián, will continue in his place for the Reds.

Naby Keita was pencilled in to start Wednesday’s UEFA Super Cup match against Chelsea. However, he pulled out of the final training session due to a slight muscle strain. He may be in contention to make the bench on Saturday though.

James Milner is also a doubt for the game. He was seen holding an ice pack to his knee after being withdrawn against Chelsea.

Jurgen Klopp looks likely to shuffle his squad after many of his side played over 120 minutes of football in mid-week. Joe Gomez, Jordan Henderson and Mohamed Salah look the most likely three to be rested.

Predicted Liverpool team vs Southampton

Predicted Liverpool team vs Southampton

Predicted Liverpool team vs Southampton

The latest tweets from Southampton pre-Liverpool

The latest tweets from Liverpool pre-Southampton

https://twitter.com/LFC/status/1161987803150004227

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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