Southampton vs Burnley prediction: Southampton 2-0 Burnley
Two clubs, well on their way to Premier League survival, clash at St Mary’s.
Back on the opening day, an Ashley Barnes brace followed by a goal for Jóhann Berg Guðmundsson saw Burnley to a thumping 3-0 win.
A lot has happened to both clubs since then and, actually, they come into this meeting level on points in mid-table.
Who’s good form will continue in Hampshire?
Highlights of Burnley 3-0 Southampton
Highlights of Tottenham Hotspur 3-2 Southampton
Highlights of Burnley 0-0 Arsenal
Southampton vs Burnley: Who will win?
Hosts Southampton are odds on favourites to win this match at 3/4.
Burnley meanwhile are unbeaten in six against the Saints but are 19/5 to extend that run with a win.
A draw is 13/5.
Under 2.5 goals is 4/5.
Both teams to score no is 5/6.
Southampton to win and both teams to score no is 15/8.
Only two players have scored more Premier League goals than Danny Ings’ 14. He is 11/5 to open the scoring and 3/4 to add to his tally.
Moussa Djenepo could also start. He is 6/1 to score first and 5/2 to score anytime.
Chris Wood will lead the line for the visitors. The New Zealander is 9/2 to break the deadlock and 15/8 to net anytime.
Jay Rodriguez has been in great form of late. He is 13/2 to score first and 13/5 to net against his former club.
Both Djenepo and Ings to score is 11/2.
Both Nathan Redmond and Shane Long to score is 18/1.
Both Rodriguez and Wood to score is 10/1.
Both Dwight McNeil and Jeff Hendrick to score is 110/1.
Southampton vs Burnley: Match preview
Can Southampton get back on track?
Before the winter break, they suffered back to back defeats, first in the Premier League 4-0 at Anfield to Liverpool.
Then, three days later, they were dumped out of the FA Cup 3-2 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
That means they have lost three of their last four matches in all competitions, as many as they had in their previous 12.
Nevertheless, five league wins since 21 December has propelled them away from the relegation zone and all the way up to 13th place.
At one point, Ralph Hasenhüttl looked destined for the sack and the Saints doomed to the drop.
Now, a win here would see them move back into the top half.
Will Southampton record just their fourth home Premier League win of the season and just their 13th in 51 at St Mary’s?
Will Burnley extend their unbeaten run?
As for Burnley, their recent revival has eased any relegation fears they may have had.
Last time out, somehow Jay Rodriguez’s volley did not go over the line as they drew 0-0 at home to Arsenal.
That means they still haven’t lead for a single minute in 11 Premier League games against Arsenal.
The only team to have played more games against an opponent without ever leading is Portsmouth against Chelsea (14 games).
However, that draw was preceded by impressive back to back wins.
First, they came from behind to beat Leicester City 2-1 at home before ending their 48 year wait for a win at Old Trafford three days later.
That means the Clarets are 11th, level on points with their hosts.
Here, Burnley can complete the league double over Southampton for the first time since 1946/47.
Will they make it four unbeaten in the league for the first time since October?
Southampton team news vs Burnley
The majority of Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side is very settled and that will continue to be the case even after a nine day break.
Alex McCarthy will return in goal after Angus Gunn was given a run out at Spurs.
Also in that game, James Ward-Prowse suffered a pretty horrific knee injury.
However, despite being stretchered off, Ralph Hasenhuttl confirmed in his pre-match presser that James Ward-Prowse “looks good” and that hopefully he can play at the weekend.
So, with Cédric having gone to Arsenal, there is an opening at right-back.
Kyle Walker-Peters, who joined on loan from Tottenham, will make his Saints debut with Yan Valery the other option.
The rest of the defence Jan Bednarek, Jack Stephens and Ryan Bertrand is very settled.
In midfield, with no Ward-Prowse, Oriol Romeu will be captain Pierre-Emile Højbjerg’s partner.
Further forward, Stuart Armstrong returned from a short injury at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium off the bench.
The Scotland international is likely to start this one alongside Nathan Redmond in more advanced roles in the 4-2-2-2.
Sofiane Boufal will drop down to the bench where he’ll find Moussa Djenepo and Ché Adams.
In attack, in that FA Cup replay, Shane Long scored his first goal away from St. Mary’s since April 2019, ending a run of 12 appearances without finding the net away from home.
The Irishman is far from prolific but that goal should see him keep his place.
A man who can’t stop scoring though is Danny Ings.
He’s now scored 17 goals in all competitions in 2019/20.
That’s the most by a Southampton player in a single season since 2013/14 when Jay Rodriguez, now of Burnley, also reached 17.
Can Ings fire his side to a win over his former club?
Burnley team news vs Southampton
As for Burnley, the majority of their XI picks itself too as Sean Dyche relies on his tried and trusted players.
Goalkeeper Nick Pope has now kept nine Premier League clean sheets; the joint-most.
In fact, as a team, only Liverpool with 11, have kept more clean sheets this season than Burnley.
Some credit has to go the defence in front of him for that.
James Tarkowski and Ben Mee are ever presents and both rank in the top five for blocks and clearances.
The full-backs do sometimes change either side of them.
Matt Lowton and Charlie Taylor started against Arsenal and are likely to keep their places over Phil Bardsley and Erik Pieters respectively.
In midfield, Jack Cork and Ashley Westwood have both racked up over 1,980 minutes in the centre.
Dwight McNeil almost always starts on the left but the right flank has been up for grabs all season.
Jeff Hendrick is likely to keep his place over Robbie Brady, Aaron Lennon and Jóhann Berg Guðmundsson who’s only goal this season was in the reverse fixture.
Josh Brownhill, who joined from Bristol City on 30 January, could make his debut but it’ll probably have to come off the bench.
Up front, Dyche has a decision to make.
Ashley Barnes could be back after a hernia operation.
However, Chris Wood and Jay Rodriguez are likely to continue their partnership; both scored in Burnley’s last win which was at Manchester United.
Will the Clarets defeat the Saints?
Predicted Southampton line-up vs Burnley
(James Ward-Prowse is likely to come in for Romeu, on the graphic below.)
Predicted Burnley line-up vs Southampton
Highlights of Southampton 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur
Highlights of Leicester City 1-2 Southampton
Highlights of Crystal Palace 0-2 Southampton
Highlights of Bournemouth 0-1 Burnley
Highlights of Burnley 2-1 Leicester City
Highlights of Manchester United 0-2 Burnley
All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Premier League table:
|15||Brighton & Hove Albion||26||6||9||11||31||38||-7||27|
|18||West Ham United||26||6||6||14||30||45||-15||24|