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Southampton vs Aston Villa prediction: Southampton 2-1 Aston Villa
Both sides head into this one in pretty poor form, particularly the hosts.
There appears to be little separating the two sides at the moment but recent history is in the host’s favour. Southampton are unbeaten in their last seven matches against Villa in all competitions.
Aston Villa are perilously close to the relegation zone and will feel in greater need of the three points.
Southampton vs Aston Villa: Who will win?
Southampton are 8/13 favourites to win the match while Aston Vill are priced at 4/1. The draw can be backed at 10/3.
Nine of Aston Villa’s last 11 away matches in the league have featured three or more goals. Bet on over 2.5 goals at 8/13.
Villa have managed to score in each of their last nine matches. Bet on both teams to score at 4/6.
Danny Ings has scored in consecutive matches, taking his tally for the season to 18. Ings is 3/1 to open the scoring and 8/11 to score anytime.
Southampton vs Aston Villa Premier League match preview
Southampton host Aston Villa at St. Mary’s on Saturday.
Following a superb end to 2019, Southampton’s form has dropped in recent weeks. The Saints have lost three on the spin in all competitions and are without a win in four. In their defence, two of their last three were away to Liverpool and Tottenham.
Last weekend Southampton were beaten 2-1 at home to Burnley. Southampton went behind early on but were back on level terms before the break through Danny Ings. Burnley scored the winner on the hour-mark.
Despite losing, Southampton actually moved up a position on goals scored, leapfrogging Newcastle into 12th following the Magpies’ 4-0 loss at Arsenal.
Aston Villa were beaten 2-3 at home to Spurs last weekend. A Toby Alderweireld own goal gave Villa an early lead but they conceded two before the break. Bjorn Engels scored an equaliser but Son Heung-Min (playing with a broken arm) broke Villa hearts with a stoppage-time winner.
Villa remain 17th on 25 points, one above West Ham and Watford in the drop zone. A win on Saturday could take Villa up to 15th.
Southampton have the worst home form in the Premier League, winning three and drawing two of their 13 matches. Only two sides have scored fewer goals at home than Southampton (14), while no side has conceded more (30). Aston Villa’s away record is not much better. Only Norwich have picked up fewer points on the road than Dean Smith’s side.
Saturday’s clash will be the 36th Premier League meeting between the two sides. Each has won on 13 occasions, split pretty evenly home and away. That said, Villa’s last top-flight win over Southampton was seven games ago – in 2013.
Southampton were 3-1 winners at the reverse fixture at Villa Park in December. Danny Ings (2) and Jack Stephens scored for the visitors before Jack Grealish scored a consolation.
Southampton team news vs Aston Villa
Jan Bednarek should return to the starting eleven in place of Jannik Vestergaard.
Shane Long could continue alongside Danny Ings in attack, although Michael Obafemi and Che Adams provide alternate options for Ralph Hasenhüttl.
Moussa Djenepo is expected to come in for the injured Sofiane Boufal who picked up an ankle injury last time out.
The Saints confirmed that Nathan Redmond will be out for at least a month.
Kyle Walker-Peters is out with a calf injury, so Frederic Guilbert is likely to start at right-back.
Left-back Ryan Bertrand had a loan spell at Aston Villa in 2014.
Aston Villa team news vs Southampton
Villa will play in the Carabao Cup Final at Wembley next Sunday, but Dean Smith can ill afford to make wholesale changes to his side.
Borja Baston will compete with Mbwana Samatta for a spot in attack.
Former Southampton youth player Tyrone Mings is expected to return to the starting eleven after recovering from Tonsillitis. Bjorn Engels could be the man to make way.
Marvelous Nakamba and Conor Hourihane will both be pushing for recalls following the average form of Danny Drinkwater.
John McGinn remains out with an ankle injury and is targeting a return for the Cup Final, as does Keinan Davis.
Wesley and Tom Heaton remain sidelined with long-term knee injuries.
Matt Targett should start against his old side, who he signed from in the summer.
Southampton predicted line-up vs Aston Villa
Aston Villa predicted line-up vs Southampton
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All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.