Norwich City vs Wolves betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Norwich City vs Wolves prediction: Norwich City 1-2 Wolves

Norwich welcome Wolves to Carrow Road on Saturday for the first Premier League match between them in almost eight years. Although, they have met more recently in the Championship.

The Canaries start the day in desperate need for points if they are to avoid relegation come the end of the season. Even a win on Saturday wouldn’t lift them out of the relegation zone given Aston Villa’s much superior goal difference.

For Wolves, a win on Saturday could see them finish the weekend as high as fifth, should results elsewhere go their way.

Norwich City vs Wolves: Who will win?

Raul Jimenez

LONDON, ENGLAND – APRIL 07: Raul Jimenez of Wolverhampton Wanderers wears a mask as he celebrates scoring his team’s second goal during the FA Cup Semi Final match between Watford and Wolverhampton Wanderers at Wembley Stadium on April 07, 2019 in London, England. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Norwich have just eight wins in thirty-seven matches in this head-to-head. However, seven of those wins have come here at Carrow Road. Despite being a strong home side in this fixture, the Canaries recent form is being held against them. This sees them start the match at 13/5 for the win.

The last match between these sides in the Championship, back in February 2018, finished 2-2. Twelve of the thirty-seven matches between them to date have ended in stalemate. Odds of 13/5 are available if you feel they will cancel each other out once again.

Wolves won 0-2 on their last visit to Carrow Road. This result ended a sequence of four straight defeats here. Can they record their first ever win in the Premier League era against Norwich on Saturday? They start the day as 19/20 favourites.

Norwich City vs Wolves: Who will score?

It will be no surprise to see Teemu Pukki as the favourite to get on the scoresheet for the home side. He has nine league goals already this campaign and has scored six in his last seven matches for club and country. However, as third favourite overall behind both Raul Jiminez and Pedro Neto, perhaps Pukki is a little undervalued at 13/8 here. Or 11/2 to be the game’s opening scorer.

As mentioned above, Jiminez is the favourite to get a goal in this game from either side. Raul has five assists in his last five matches in all competitions for Wolves. Can he turn from goal provider to goal scorer on Saturday though? The Mexican international 15/4 to grab the game’s opener, or 21/20 to score at any time.

Diogo Jota has been on fire in front of goal in recent weeks, with five goals in his last three games. As the graph above shows, he has underperformed expected goals (xG) this season by nearly 50%. This all suggests the Portuguese forward could be incredible value at 15/8 to get on the scoresheet. He is 6/1 to be the game’s first goal-scorer.

Norwich City vs Wolves: Match preview

Norwich have a number of issues they will need to solve if they are going to fend off relegation at the first time of asking since their promotion last summer.

They are one of the worst sides in the league at holding onto a lead, having won just three of the six games in which they have taken the lead. All three of those matches in which the Canaries dropped points from a leading position came in their last four matches.

Daniel Farke’s team also have a problem conceding early in games, with fifteen of the thirty-three goals conceded this season coming in the opening thirty minutes of games. This is particularly problematic if they concede the opening goal, having lost all eleven games in which they have gone behind so far this season.

As we can see in the graph above, there are signs of them improving in this regard though. Two of their five best defensive performances (xGA, black line) have come in the last two games. However, as they look to prevent goals at one end, it seems to be stunting their attack, as evidenced by their xG line (orange) trending downwards at a similar rate.

Norwich City vs Wolves: A look at the visitors

In contrast, everything looks a lot more positive at the Molineux.

Wolves’ shaky start to the season, which many believed was due to the balancing act of managing UEFA Europa League football this season, seems to be a thing of the past. Their xG line is trending upwards as they create better quality and/or quantity chances.

While at the other end of the pitch, their xGA line is in sharp decline as it aims to drag the average below 1.0. They haven’t had an xGA above 1.5 in a game since their match against Manchester City on matchday eight.

This has been reflected in their results, with last weekend’s 1-2 defeat by Spurs marking their first league defeat since mid-September. At that time, they were second-bottom after six matches and still awaiting their first league win of the season.

Neutrals will also be hoping to see another exciting game involving these sides. Seven of Norwich’s last eight matches at Carrow Road have seen over 2.5 goals scored. While six of Wolves’s last eight matches have likewise produced over 2.5 goals, in all competitions.

Norwich City team news vs Wolves

Norwich City’s Max Aarons during the Sky Bet Championship match at Carrow Road, Norwich. (Photo by Joe Giddens/PA Images via Getty Images)

Josip Drmic and Timm Klose remain on the injury list for Norwich with hamstring and knee injuries respectively.

Grant Hanley could be named in his first matchday squad since September. He hasn’t played a minute for Norwich since August due to groin and hernia injuries. However, he joined first team training last Wednesday and he should now be available for selection once again.

Predicted Norwich City team vs Wolves

Predicted Norwich City team vs Wolves

Predicted Norwich City team vs Wolves

Wolves team news vs Norwich City

LONDON, ENGLAND – APRIL 07: Wolverhampton Wanderers fans show their support prior to the FA Cup Semi Final match between Watford and Wolverhampton Wanderers at Wembley Stadium on April 07, 2019 in London, England. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Phil Ofosu-Ayeh is the only player ruled out of this one for Wolves, with a heel injury.

Morgan Gibbs-White has been in and out of the matchday squad this season, as he continues to be troubled with a lower back injury. The 19-year-old hasn’t played for Wolves since to 2-0 win versus Watford in September. Morgan was named on the bench for the Arsenal match. However, he has been unavailable since then after a reoccurrence of his injury. Gibbs-White is expected to be available for selection again at some point over the Christmas period.

Ruben Neves has been walking the tight-rope ever since he collected his fourth booking of the season, in Wolves’ 1-1 at Newcastle back in October. He has so far avoided a fifth yellow card, which would see him suspended for one match. With big games approaching against Manchester City and Liverpool over the festive period, will Nuno Espírito Santo be tempted to rest his star midfielder here?

Predicted Wolves team vs Norwich City

Predicted Wolves team vs Norwich City

Predicted Wolves team vs Norwich City

The latest tweets from Norwich City pre-Wolves

https://twitter.com/NorwichCityFC/status/1207374976594202624

https://twitter.com/NorwichCityFC/status/1207323287111553024

https://twitter.com/NorwichCityFC/status/1207310790866427905

The latest tweets from Wolves pre-Norwich City

https://twitter.com/Wolves/status/1207405424078544896

https://twitter.com/Wolves/status/1207351065676410881

https://twitter.com/Wolves/status/1206956372484640769

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.


Advertisement
Why you need a VPN?
Cut chords:
Watch everything (Netflix, BBC iPlayer, Hulu) online using a VPN.
Unlock geoblocking:
A VPN gives you access to the best content from anywhere in the world.
Privacy & security:
A VPN keeps your information private, activity encrypted & data anonymous.
Just $6.67 a month + 3 months free!
Paddy Power's new customer offer: £20 risk free first bet!