Napoli vs Liverpool betting tips: Champions League preview & predictions

Lorenzo Insigne Napoli Liverpool

Napoli vs Liverpool prediction: Napoli 1-2 Liverpool

The Champions League kicks off once again on Tuesday evening. The reigning champions of Europe, Liverpool, are in action against a familiar foe in Napoli.

These sides have only been drawn against each twice in the history of European competition; both times in the last ten years.

They met in the Europa League group stage back in 2010. The sides played out a uneventful 0-0 draw in Naples. Liverpool then ended up topping the group thanks to a 3-1 win at Anfield in the return fixture.

It was a game memorable for Steven Gerrard stepping off the bench at half-time, to bring his side back from a goal down, with a hat-trick.

Of course, they met in the Champions League for the first time last season. They exchanged 1-0 home wins, with Napoli’s loss at Anfield ultimately eliminating them from the competition, on the final matchday.

MADRID, SPAIN – JUNE 1: Virgil van Dijk of Liverpool FC, with the trophy during the UEFA Champions League match between Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool at the Wanda Metropolitano on June 1, 2019 in Madrid Spain (Photo by David S. Bustamante/Soccrates/Getty Images)

Napoli vs Liverpool: Who will win?

Three of the four matches between these teams have ended in a home win, including both matches between them last season. This makes Napoli’s 2/1 odds look a tempting offer.

The first meeting between these sides in Naples, back in 2010, ended in a 0-0 draw. Odds of 5/2 are available if you see them sharing the points once more.

Liverpool have won five of their last six matches in the UEFA Champions League. Can they keep this going with an away win for the first time in here? They are favourites at 13/10 to do it.

Napoli vs Liverpool: Who will score?

Lorenzo Insigne has started the season in good form with two goals and two assists in just 150 minutes of football. He was the goalscoring hero when the sides last met here last October. Can Insigne repeat the feat once more? He is 6/1 to score first and 7/4 to score at any time.

Sadio Mané has continued his fine goalscoring form from last season with six goals and an assist already this season, in all competitions. He scored two goals at the weekend in the Reds’ 3-1 win against Newcastle, the first of which was a screamer into the top corner from the edge of the box. Mané is 5/1 to score first on Tuesday night, or 7/5 to score at any time in the match.

Mohamed Salah was Liverpool’s top scorer in the competition last season with 5 goals. He scored his fourth goal of the season at the weekend, after a wonderful one-two backheel pass from Firmino to set it up. Can the Egyptian King score on his return to Italy? Salah is 4/1 to score first and 11/10 to score at any time.

Napoli vs Liverpool: Match preview

Regardless of what happens on Tuesday night, Liverpool will come here demanding a better performance than last year from themselves.

When these two sides met in Naples less than a year ago, Liverpool failed to register even a single shot on target. At the time, a lot of the blame for this was placed upon the Milner-Henderson-Wijnaldum trio which Klopp liked for big away games. When the same trio were dismantled by PSG later in the group stages, the message seemed louder and clearer than ever.

However, just last month, Klopp opted for a similar trio for the European Super Cup final in Turkey with Fabinho joining Milner and Henderson in midfield. After watching his side get torn to shreds by Chelsea in the first half, the introduction of Firmino and Gini in the second seemed to change the game.

The issue seems to stem from Liverpool’s inability to stay compact in midfield with players such as Milner and Henderson who tend to drift towards the flanks to find space to receive the ball outside of pressure.

In doing so, when attacks break down, it leaves Liverpool open and outnumbered in midfield. Likewise, your ability to counter-press – a key facet of Liverpool’s identity – falls apart when you are leaving huge holes in your net.

Napoli vs Liverpool: An Eye on Liverpool’s Opponents

All the signs coming into this match are hinting towards a home win.

Jurgen Klopp has faced Carlo Ancelotti four times in his career, with all four matches ending in a home win. As well as the 1-0 matches last season between Liverpool and Napoli, his Dortmund side faced Ancelotti’s Real Madrid in the Champions League Quarter Finals back in 2014. They lost 3-0 at the Bernabeu before winning the return leg in Dortmund 2-0.

Klopp’s Dortmund side also faced Napoli in the group stages of the Champions League that same season with the matches also ending in home wins. Napoli winning 2-1 at the legendary San Paolo stadium. Dortmund then winning 3-1 later in the group when the sides met in Germany.

So despite Liverpool coming into the match as the favourites, they will be under no illusion of the task facing them and Napoli’s fantastic record here. However, English sides have won here in recent times. Guardiola’s Man City won here 2-4 back in 2017. Then just last April, Unai Emery’s Arsenal won their Europa League quarter final 2nd leg here 0-1.

Napoli have started the season in good form though. Their only dropped points so far are from losing to Juventus. Even then, they had the positive of fighting back from 3-0 behind to get the game back to 3-3. It was only Koulibaly’s unfortunate last-minute own goal that cost them a well-earned point.

Liverpool will need to be at their best to get anything from the game here on Tuesday. After watching their second-half performance against Newcastle at the weekend, it seems likely the Reds will be.

Napoli team news vs Liverpool

Lorenzo Insigne

NAPLES, ITALY – AUGUST 10: Player of SSC Napoli Lorenzo Insigne vies with Espanyol players during the pre-season friendly match between SSC Napoli and Espanyol at Stadio San Paolo on August 10, 2017 in Naples, Italy. (Photo by Francesco Pecoraro/Getty Images)

Arkadiusz Milik is the only player ruled out for Napoli, with a groin injury. Liverpool fans will remember him as the player whose shot was saved by Alisson in the dying moments at Anfield. Had he scored, Liverpool would have been eliminated from the Champions League instead of Napoli.

Insigne is a doubt for the game after he withdrew from the recent Italy squad with a muscle injury. After making a brief cameo at the weekend, he is expected to play. Although, if he is not fully fit or able to play only part of the game, that would be a huge boost to Liverpool.

Kostas Manolas has had a rough start to his Napoli career following his summer move from Roma. Nikola Maksimovic started in his place at the weekend and helped Napoli to a clean sheet. He is expected to retain his place on Tuesday over Manolas.

Predicted Napoli team vs Liverpool

Predicted Napoli team vs Liverpool

Predicted Napoli team vs Liverpool

Liverpool team news vs Napoli

Alisson Becker and Nathaniel Clyne remain side-lined for Liverpool due to calf and knee injuries respectively.

Although, on a more positive note for the Reds, Klopp has confirmed that Naby Keita is expected back in training this week. He will be unavailable on Tuesday but he could make his first appearance for them in the coming games. The League Cup tie against MK Dons looking the most likely bet.

Divock Origi limped out of this weekend’s win against Newcastle just before half time with an ankle problem. The injury doesn’t appear too serious, but he will miss out here with Rhian Brewster confirmed to be taking his place in the squad travelling to Naples.

Jordan Henderson was rested at the weekend after a heavy workload with England over the international break. Oxlaide-Chamberlain started in his place but is expected to drop back onto the bench for this one.

Predicted Liverpool team vs Napoli

Predicted Liverpool team vs Napoli

Predicted Liverpool team vs Napoli

The latest tweets from Napoli pre-Liverpool

The latest tweets from Liverpool pre-Napoli

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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