Premier League ‘Luck Table’
An eye-catching report has been released this week looking into the luckiest teams in the Premier League.
The study was conducted in conjunction with ESPN, Intel and the University of Bath.
The old adage in football is that luck plays out over the course of a season.
But was that true in 2017-18?
According to the data, Liverpool were the most unlucky club in the Premier League last season.
By contrast, Liverpool’s eternal enemies Man United were deemed the ‘luckiest’ Premier League club.
Liverpool are the unluckiest
Liverpool finished in fourth spot last season behind Tottenham, Man United and champs Man City.
While Liverpool booked their spot in this season’s Champions League, the Reds also lost last season’s Champions League final to Real Madrid.
Yet, according to the latest report, Liverpool could have finished the year as runners-up to Man City had decisions gone their way:
Liverpool should have been 12 points better off than their final league total of 75 points: with 14 incidents reviewed, our analysis shows that adjustments would have put them second place overall instead of fourth.
Man United are the luckiest
Jose Mourinho likes to complain. But should the Special One really be thanking his lucky stars?
According to the data, Man United could have finished last season in fourth instead of second:
After reviewing 16 incidents throughout the campaign, Man United should have had six fewer points than they did, leading to a fourth-place finish instead of second.
Stoke, Brighton & Huddersfield
Looking at the other data, Man City remain top of the ‘Luck Table’. But Huddersfield can count themselves lucky to still be in the Premier League. The data shows the Terriers benefitted from Stoke’s bad luck to beat the drop.
As for Brighton, Chris Hughton’s side missed out on 12 million pounds as the Seagulls could have finished 9th last term had decisions gone their way.
See the adjusted 2017-18 Premier League table below.