Naby Keita

Liverpool vs Wolves betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Liverpool vs Wolves prediction: Liverpool 3-1 Wolves

The final week of the Premier League season is here and what a season it has been.

We come into the final weekend with the Premier League title still in the balance. Manchester City currently lead Liverpool by a solitary point, with ninety-five points to Liverpool’s ninety-four.

As a result, all fans with a desire to see Liverpool crowned Champions will be watching this match with one eye on the proceedings in Brighton.

The Reds have almost dominated proceedings when these sides have faced each other in the English top-flight. They have won six of the nine encounters between them, losing only once.

However, Wolves won when the teams last faced each other back in January in the FA Cup Third Round. Although, it was largely a second-string side for Liverpool with a number of academy players making their professional debuts for the club.

Mohamed Salah Liverpool

WOLVERHAMPTON, ENGLAND – DECEMBER 21: Mohamed Salah of Liverpool celebrates scoring the opening goal of the game during the Premier League match between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Liverpool FC at Molineux on December 22, 2018 in Wolverhampton, United Kingdom. (Photo by Richard Heathcote/Getty Images)

Liverpool vs Wolves: Who will win?

Liverpool come into this match with the strongest home record in the top-five European leagues. They are undefeated in their last thirty-nine home matches, in the Premier League.

The Reds are also the only side in the Premier League undefeated at home this season. This sees them come into the game as 3/10 favourite to extend their Anfield winning streak here to seven straight games.

Wolves have won each of their last three matches in the Premier League. Although, on their travels recently they have only managed to collect five points from a possible eighteen. They are the 10/1 underdogs to win this match.

The Wanderers have the second highest number of draws in the Premier League this season, with nine. Odds of 5/1 are available for them to take this into double figures on Sunday.

Bar chart showing the top goalscorers of both clubs filtered on total goals scored (Orange Bar). Expected Goals per 90 (Charcoal) and Goals per 90 (Silver) are also shown. Click to Expand.

Bar chart showing the top goalscorers of both clubs filtered on total goals scored (Orange Bar). Expected Goals per 90 (Charcoal) and Goals per 90 (Silver) are also shown. Click to Expand.

Liverpool vs Wolves: Who will score?

Mohamed Salah has seven goals and two assists from Liverpool’s last eight games. However, he missed the midweek clash against Barcelona due to a concussion.

Salah is expected to return to the starting line-up on Sunday. He is the favourite to open the scoring at 11/4 and 4/6 to score at any time.

Divock Origi has scored in each of his two appearances against Wolves. Unfortunately for him, both were consolation goals in a 2-1 defeat for the Reds.

Tuesday night’s goalscoring hero looks set to retain his place here. He is 4/1 to score first, or 11/10 to score at any time.

Diego Jota has been Wolves’ big-game goalscorer this season. He has scored for them in wins against Chelsea, Arsenal and Manchester United (twice).

Can he add Liverpool’s name to his list and help his side to yet another win against the top six this season? He is 14/1 to score first and 9/2 to score at any time.

Graph showing the 5-game rolling average of Expected Goals For (xG) and Against (xGA) for Liverpool (Red) and Wolves (Gold). Click to expand.

Graph showing the 5-game rolling average of Expected Goals For (xG) and Against (xGA) for Liverpool (Red) and Wolves (Gold). Click to expand.

Liverpool vs Wolves: Match preview

Liverpool come into this match knowing they must beat Wolves here on Sunday and hope Brighton can do them a favour and avoid defeat to Manchester City.

It is a difficult match to predict given the situation both clubs find themselves in.

Liverpool have a Champions League final on the horizon which they would be loathe to see key players become unavailable for due to injury. Coupled with this, they have just played three matches in a six day period. Not to mention the physically and emotionally exhausting nature of those games.

They suffered a crushing 3-0 defeat in Barcelona, despite the feeling at the club they had actually performed well on the night.

This was followed up with a gruelling 2-3 win at Newcastle last weekend. Origi grabbed the winning goal for the Reds just minutes before full time to keep slim hopes of winning the Premier League alive.

Then, on Tuesday night, they defied all odds to come back from that 3-0 defeat in Barcelona. This despite missing key attacking players such as Salah, Firmino, Keita and Oxlade-Chamberlain.

Will Sunday’s game be one hurdle too many for a side that could be running on fumes, both physically and mentally?

Or will Klopp’s ‘mentality giants’ be ready for one more push to make sure they are there ready to capitalise should Manchester City falter, in Brighton?

WOLVERHAMPTON, ENGLAND – JANUARY 29: Raul Jimenez of Wolverhampton Wanderers celebrates a goal during the Premier League match between Wolverhampton Wanderers and West Ham United at Molineux on January 29, 2019 in Wolverhampton, United Kingdom. (Photo by Clive Mason/Getty Images)

Liverpool vs Wolves: Wolverhampton Wanderers – The best of the rest

They face, in Wolverhampton Wanderers, a team that has been a thorn in the side of all the top-six sides at some point this season.

Only Liverpool and Manchester City have a better record against sides in the top-six than Wolves this season.

Wolves have won four and drawn three of their eleven games against the teams who will finish the season above them.

Liverpool remain the only member of the top-six that they have yet to take points from this season. Although, they did inflict defeat upon them in the FA Cup, back in January.

Ending the season knowing none of the sides above them completed a league double over them would be another big achievement, in a season of many.

However, having secured a seventh-place finish in the table, it remains to be seen what side shows up, both physically and metaphorically.

We have seen many times in the past how a team can mentally check-out for their summer break once the season goal has been achieved.

Likewise, many sides play with an added freedom and upset the odds when there is nothing on the line for them.

On top of this, Nuno Espírito Santo has been talking about giving minutes to some fringe players such as Will Norris before the season ends.

Would he really start a goalkeeper who has played almost the entirety of his career at League Two and non-league level, for a trip to Anfield though?

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – MAY 07: Divock Origi of FC Liverpool celebrates after scoring his team’s fourth goal during the UEFA Champions League Semi Final second leg match between Liverpool and Barcelona at Anfield on May 7, 2019 in Liverpool, England. (Photo by TF-Images/Getty Images)

Liverpool team news vs Wolves

Roberto Firmino, Naby Keita and Adam Lallana remain unavailable for the Reds, due to injury.

After a hectic schedule of 3 games in 6 days, Klopp will be unlikely to risk any of his heroes from Tuesday night who are carrying knocks after the game.

Therefore, expect both Andy Robertson and Jordan Henderson to be given a precautionary rest due to calf and knee injuries respectively.

This could see Alberto Moreno pick up a farewell start at Anfield before his contract expires in June. Although, James Milner looks the more likely option to start in the left-back berth.

Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain may get his first start of the season here in place of the injured Henderson. He could be a crucial impact sub for Liverpool in Madrid. Therefore, getting some first team minutes into his legs now may pay dividends in a few weeks’ time.

Salah is expected to return to the starting XI having sat out 7 days of football under concussion protocols.

Divock Origi is expected to be rewarded with another start following his brace against Barcelona, in midweek.

Joe Gomez is also a candidate to start his first game in central defence, in 2019, for the club, should Klopp look to rotate further at the back.

LONDON, ENGLAND – APRIL 07: Wolverhampton Wanderers fans show their support prior to the FA Cup Semi Final match between Watford and Wolverhampton Wanderers at Wembley Stadium on April 07, 2019 in London, England. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Wolves team news vs Liverpool

Nuno Espirito Santo has a full squad fit and available for selection.

Therefore, the same starting XI from last weekend’s game against Fulham is expected to take to the field once more.

Wolves are guaranteed to finish in 7th place, regardless of Sunday’s result. It is rumoured Nuno may take the opportunity to reward some fringe players with a start for the final game of the season.

Max Kilman and Will Norris were introduced in injury time last weekend to play their first league minutes this season. They could be surprise starters for Wolves here in defence and goalkeeper respectively.

Predicted Liverpool team vs Wolves

Predicted Liverpool team vs Wolves

Predicted Liverpool team vs Wolves

Predicted Wolves team vs Liverpool

Predicted Wolves team vs Liverpool

Predicted Wolves team vs Liverpool

The latest tweets from Liverpool pre-Wolves

The latest tweets from Wolves pre-Liverpool

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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Back Liverpool at 30/1 to beat Wolves!