Liverpool vs West Ham betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

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Liverpool vs West Ham prediction: Liverpool 4-0 West Ham

Liverpool to beat West Ham 4-0

Liverpool welcome West Ham United to Anfield for Monday Night Football.

It is usually a joyless voyage for Hammers’ fans. They have made the trip to Anfield forty-seven times since 1964, witnessing just one victory in that time. That victory was a 0-3 win here in August 2015; a result that spelt the beginning of the end of the Brendan Rodgers era.

The Hammers’ last two visits here have seen their side thrashed 4-1 and 4-0. Given the respect form and league placings of the two sides, it would be brave to rule out another hammering.


Liverpool vs West Ham: Who will win?

Liverpool vs West Ham recent form table courtesy of Craque Stats.

Liverpool vs West Ham recent form table courtesy of Craque Stats.

Liverpool have won their last twenty home matches in the Premier League. Another win would set a new record for the most home wins in the Premier League era. It would also match the English top-flight record of twenty-one, currently held by Bill Shankly’s 1972 Reds. Klopp’s side are huge 1/6 favourites to pick up all three points on Monday evening.

Two of West Ham’s last four visits to Anfield have ended in stalemate, in all competitions. The bookies think the chances of them cancelling each other out here are slim. Therefore, odds of 7/1 can be found for a sharing of the points at Anfield.

West Ham have lost each of their last four away matches in the Premier League. Anfield is also a famously tough ground for the Hammers to get a result at, with just one win in the last forty-seven visits. The odds of 14/1 reflect their status as massive underdogs here.

Liverpool vs West Ham: Who will score?

Liverpool vs West Ham top scorers bar chart courtesy of Craque Stats.

Liverpool vs West Ham top scorers bar chart courtesy of Craque Stats.

Sadio Mané was withdrawn at half-time in midweek over fears he would get sent-off. He scored the winner off the bench in their last Premier League outing, against Norwich. Mané has four goals in his last three appearances against the Hammers. This sees the Senegalese International set at 10/3 to be the game’s opening scorer. Or you can back Sadio at 4/6 to score at any time.

Mohamed Salah is Liverpool’s top scorer this season, with fourteen league goals. Salah has scored five goals in five appearances against the Hammers. Three of those goals were the opening goal of the game; a feat he is 13/5 to repeat on Monday. Or you can find odds of 1/2 for the Egyptian King to score at any time during the game.

Michail Antonio has a fantastic record against Liverpool, with five goals in seven appearances against the Reds. He has struggled to be amongst the goals so far this season, with just one Premier League goal to his name. However, Antonio will fancy his chances against a familiar foe and odds of 9/2 could be good value for him to find the scoresheet. Or you can back him at 18/1 to be the player to open the scoring.

Liverpool vs West Ham: Match preview

WEST BROMWICH, ENGLAND – APRIL 21: Mohamed Salah of Liverpool celebrates after scoring his sides second goal during the Premier League match between West Bromwich Albion and Liverpool at The Hawthorns on April 21, 2018 in West Bromwich, England. (Photo by Matthew Lewis/Getty Images)

Due to the rescheduling of fixtures caused by Liverpool’s involvement in the FIFA Club World Cup, Liverpool and West Ham find themselves meeting each other for the second time in just a matter of weeks.

Liverpool travelled to the London Stadium at the end of January, coming home with all three points. While it took a penalty to break the deadlock, the Reds were the far superior side and anything but a Liverpool win was never on the menu.

The Reds had four big chances to score, taking two of them, before West Ham could create their only decent chance of the game. Unfortunately for the Hammers, Angelo Ogbonna headed Robert Snodgrass’ set-piece wide from just five yards out.

Despite dominating the league this season, Liverpool’s forwards haven’t exactly been clinical in front of goal this season. Roberto Firmino is underperforming xG this season with eight non-penalty goals from an NP Expected Goals (NP xG) of 13.34. Mohamed Salah is in a similar position, with eleven non-penalty goals from an NP xG of 12.69.

There is a feeling that when their finishing clicks, a team will find themselves on the wrong end of a bad beating. Given the form of the two sides, plus the fact Liverpool have stuck four past West Ham four times in the last three years, nobody would be shocked if that was the Hammers.

It could also be the perfect response to Liverpool’s 1-0 defeat to Atletico Madrid in midweek.

Liverpool vs West Ham: A look at the visitors

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – OCTOBER 19: Declan Rice of West Ham United shows appreciation to fans after the Premier League match between Everton FC and West Ham United at Goodison Park on October 19, 2019 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by Ian MacNicol/Getty Images)

At West Ham, the concern must be real now that David Moyes is not the right man to turn things around. The euphoria of that 4-0 win against Bournemouth in his first game in charge must now look a distant memory.

Since that New Years Day win, no side has a worse record in the Premier League. The Hammers have managed just two points from six games in that time.

Their failure to find the net underpins this, failing to score in three of their last four matches, in all competitions. West Ham also have a problem holding onto results. Twenty-nine of the forty-five goals conceded this season have come in the second half. They have only won six of the fourteen matches in which they have taken the lead.

Liverpool average 2.5 points per game (PPG) won back from losing positions this season. The next best sides in the Premier League in this metric are Leicester, Manchester City and Wolves who all average 1.0 PPG after falling behind. Which means even if the Hammers do somehow take the lead at Anfield, they will have a real fight on their hands to hold onto it.

Liverpool team news vs West Ham

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – AUGUST 12: Sadio Mane of Liverpool celebrates after scoring his team’s third goal during the Premier League match between Liverpool FC and West Ham United at Anfield on August 12, 2018 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by Laurence Griffiths/Getty Images)

Yasser Larouci and Nathaniel Clyne remain ruled out for Liverpool since their games against Norwich and Atletico last week.

Xherdan Shaqiri also missed both matches due to a calf injury. It was believed he was close to a return over the international break. However, Jurgen Klopp confirmed this week that Shaqiri “is not close to team training”.

Jordan Henderson was forced off ten minutes from time in Liverpool’s 1-0 defeat in Madrid. It has now been confirmed this is due to a hamstring and will be out for three weeks or so. Naby Keita looks the most likely candidate to replace him in the XI that started against Atletico.

Predicted Liverpool team vs West Ham

Predicted Liverpool team vs West Ham

Predicted Liverpool team vs West Ham

West Ham team news vs Liverpool

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – SEPTEMBER 16: Pablo Zabaleta of West Ham United celebrates following his sides victory in the Premier League match between Everton FC and West Ham United at Goodison Park on September 16, 2018 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by Alex Livesey/Getty Images)

Jack Wilshere hasn’t started a match for West Ham since the 1-1 draw with Brighton back in August. He has been struggling with injury all season and is currently working his way back from a groin injury. David Moyes has confirmed that while an exact date can’t be confirmed at the moment, he is in the gym working on his return to fitness.

Andriy Yarmolenko has missed the last nine games with a thigh injury. While he is now involved in training, he is yet to return to the main sessions. He won’t be available for the trip to Anfield and is likely still some way off a return to action.

Ryan Fredericks was withdrawn after an hour during West Ham’s 2-0 defeat at Manchester City. Scans suggest he damaged the ligaments in his shoulder and he could be missing for some time. Pablo Zabaleta is the most likely to replace him.

After a string of poor performances and results, Moyes could be temped to further shuffle his options on Monday night. Manuel Lanzini, Felipe Anderson, Fabian Balbuena, Pablo Fornals and Sebastian Haller are among those hoping for a recall to the starting XI.

Predicted West Ham team vs Liverpool

Predicted West Ham team vs Liverpool

Predicted West Ham team vs Liverpool

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.


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