Liverpool vs Watford betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Mo Salah claims brilliant goal vs Watford

Liverpool vs Watford prediction: Liverpool 4-0 Watford

Premier League leaders Liverpool welcome bottom-placed Watford to Anfield on Saturday for a match many are tipping to be a Christmas stuffing.

Watford arrive hoping for an immediate ‘new manager bounce’ after the appointment of Nigel Pearson this week. He takes charge of his first Premier League match since his dismissal as Leicester City boss in the summer of 2015.

The Hornets certainly need a lift at the club. They are currently anchoring the Premier League table, with just one win in their last twenty league matches and having failed to score in each of their last two.

This is in stark contrast to high-flying Liverpool. They arrive in good spirits having secured their place in the UEFA Champions League knock-out rounds in midweek, topping the group after their win in Salzburg.

The Reds are undefeated in their last forty-six Premier League matches and have won twenty-four of their last twenty-five.

Liverpool vs Watford: Who will win?

WATFORD, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 24: Mohamed Salah of Liverpool celebrates after scoring his team’s first goal during the Premier League match between Watford FC and Liverpool FC at Vicarage Road on November 24, 2018 in Watford, United Kingdom. (Photo by Richard Heathcote/Getty Images)

Liverpool are looking for their sixteenth consecutive home win in the Premier League. They are huge favourites at 2/11 to win their final league game before jetting off for the Club World Cup in Qatar.

Watford drew at the weekend; their sixth draw already this season. Can they shut up shop and snatch a point at Anfield? The odds of 13/2 suggest they face an uphill battle to do so.

The Hornets only win this season so far came at fellow relegation battlers Norwich City. It is therefore no surprise to see them as 11/1 underdogs to grab just a second win of the season, at fortress Anfield.

Liverpool vs Watford: Who will score?

The Reds’ attacking trident of Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mané and Roberto Firmino have sixteen goals and eight assists between them in this fixture.

Mo Salah has six goals in the last two seasons against Watford. He is the 8/15 favourite to follow-up his goal in midweek against Salzburg with another here. Or you can back the Egyptian at 13/5 to score the game’s opening goal.

Mané is the Reds’ top scorer in the Premier League this season, with nine goals. He has four goals and three assists in his last five league matches. Can he continue his electric form on Saturday? The Senegalese is 10/3 to open the scoring at the weekend. Or 4/6 to find the net at any time.

Troy Deeney is the favourite to spoil the Reds’ day with a goal at the weekend. Despite failing to find the net in his five league appearances this season, he is 3/1 to score against Liverpool. Or 12/1 to do so as the game’s first scorer.

Liverpool vs Watford: Match preview

Liverpool were in terrific form last weekend, with Naby Keita, Mohamed Salah and Jordan Henderson shining in particular, as demonstrated above. They also achieved victory while affording key players such as Sadio Mané and Trent Alexander-Arnold either a full or partial rest.

This is also a fixture that rarely causes them any trouble, particularly at Anfield. The first meeting between these two sides in the Premier League era, which ended in a 0-1 win for Watford at Anfield, remains their only victory at Anfield in fourteen visits.

The other thirteen matches have produced twelve wins and a draw, in all competitions. The Reds have won each of the last three matches here against Watford by five clear goals; a 16-1 score-line on aggregate. They have also managed to keep a clean sheet in eight of the last ten matches against the Hornets.

Liverpool vs Watford: A look at the visitors

A look at Watford’s underlying numbers this season show a side that has been struggling to do enough in games to pick up points. The concern is they may be regressing further still.

Their Expected Goals (xG, orange line) indicates the quantity and/or quality of chances being created is actually decreasing as the season goes on. While at the other end of the pitch three of their five worst defensive performances this season have come in the last four matches (xGA, black line).

However, maybe there is a glimmer of light at the end of the tunnel. Last weekend’s performance against Palace was actually their third best attacking performance in terms of xG, despite not getting on the scoresheet. At the other end of the pitch, they put in their best defensive performance of the season, restricting Palace to scraps.

While Liverpool will obviously be an entirely different prospect to Roy Hodgson’s Palace, when you are at the bottom of the table fighting for survival, you need to cling onto any little positive you can to maintain some hope.

Unfortunately, being hammered at Anfield has become the norm for Watford. You fear for what another 5+ goal drumming would do to their already fragile morale here.

Liverpool team news vs Watford

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – FEBRUARY 27: Sadio Mane of Liverpool celebrates after scoring his team’s first goal during the Premier League match between Liverpool FC and Watford FC at Anfield on February 27, 2019 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)

Joel Matip, Fabinho and Nathaniel Clyne have all been ruled out for the foreseeable future due to injury.

Dejan Lovren was withdrawn having played less than an hour against Salzburg. Likewise, he was removed before half-time in Liverpool’s 0-3 win at Bournemouth last weekend.

Jurgen Klopp believes it is nothing serious but is unlikely to rush him back again. This should mean Joe Gomez is preferred to partner Virgil van Dijk at the back.

Adam Lallana has been absent from the last two matchday squads due to muscle tightness. With Curtis Jones giving a good account of himself on his Premier League debut last weekend, Klopp has no need to rush Lallana back and risk putting him in a perpetual injury cycle once more.

Klopp continues to be cautious in using Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain this season after a lengthy lay-off. He is avoiding starting him in back-to-back games and he was rotated out of the side for the midweek trip to Austria. Despite putting in two man of the match performances in a week, Naby Keita may be rested here in favour of the Ox.

Xherdan Shaqiri, Divock Origi and James Milner will also be hoping to pick up any additional starting spots made available by rotation here.

Predicted Liverpool team vs Watford

Predicted Liverpool team vs Watford

Predicted Liverpool team vs Watford

Watford team news vs Liverpool


WATFORD, ENGLAND – AUGUST 12: Miguel Britos of Watford scores his sides third goal past Simon Mignolet of Liverpool during the Premier League match between Watford and Liverpool at Vicarage Road on August 12, 2017 in Watford, England. (Photo by Tony Marshall/Getty Images)

José Holebas, Danny Welbeck, Tom Cleverley and Sebastian Prödl are all ruled out for the trip to Anfield this weekend.

Craig Dawson and Daryl Janmaat are also rated as doubtful due to head and knee injuries respectively, potentially leaving Watford a little light on defenders.

Simply predicting Watford’s formation is a challenge for Nigel Pearson’s first match in charge. The Hornets played a 4231 for the match against Crystal Palace last weekend.

However, towards the end of his spell at Leicester, he was favouring a 3412 formation in the Premier League. We saw similar towards the end of his time at Belgian outfit, OH Leuven.

Predicted Watford team vs Liverpool

Predicted Watford team vs Liverpool

Predicted Watford team vs Liverpool

The latest tweets from Liverpool pre-Watford

The latest tweets from Watford pre-Liverpool

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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