Liverpool vs Bournemouth betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Liverpool vs Bournemouth prediction: Liverpool 3-1 Bournemouth

All eyes will be on Liverpool here, given the situation at the top of the table. After Manchester City’s defeat against Newcastle, it felt like the momentum was with Liverpool to push on and move away from City. City also had seemingly tricky fixtures with Arsenal, Everton and Chelsea to provide further opportunities to stumble.

Yet since that moment, seemingly nothing has gone right for Liverpool. Successive draws against Leicester & West Ham. Poor performances to match. City dispatching with Arsenal and Everton with ease. Plus, news that Gomez and Lovren will both be out longer than expected.

As a result, Liverpool have gone from having a seven-point lead in their grasp, to starting the game on Saturday in 2nd place in the table.

However, back at Anfield, and against a side they have put eleven goals past without reply in their last three encounters, they will be very confident of taking back top spot and putting the pressure back on Manchester City before Super Sunday.

Liverpool vs Bournemouth: Who will win?

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – DECEMBER 29: Mohamed Salah of Liverpool scores his sides fourth goal during the Premier League match between Liverpool FC and Arsenal FC at Anfield on December 29, 2018 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)

Liverpool have won eight of their last ten matches against Bournemouth in all competitions. They have also won each of the last three meetings by three clear goals, including their 0-4 win in Bournemouth just 2 months ago. Therefore, Liverpool are 1/5 bookies favourites to get back to winning ways here.

Liverpool have drawn each of their last two Premier League matches. However, Bournemouth have only drawn three matches all season. Will Liverpool continue to struggle in finishing sides off resulting in another draw here? Odds of 6/1 are available if you think so.

Bournemouth have lost each of their last seven away matches in the Premier League; more than twice as long as any other clubs’ losing streak. They have also conceded at least 2 goals in each of their last 7 away matches in the Premier League. Their away troubles mean you can get good odds on a Bournemouth win at 11/1.

Liverpool vs Bournemouth: Who will score?

Bar chart showing the top goalscorers of both clubs filtered on total goals scored (Orange Bar). Expected Goals per 90 (Charcoal) and Goals per 90 (Silver) are also shown. Click to Expand.

Bar chart showing the top goalscorers of both clubs filtered on total goals scored (Orange Bar). Expected Goals per 90 (Charcoal) and Goals per 90 (Silver) are also shown. Click to Expand.

Mohamed Salah remains the Premier League’s top scorer with sixteen goals; one ahead of Aubameyang.

He has failed to find the net for Liverpool in each of their last two matches against Leicester and West Ham. Salah is yet to go three Premier League games without scoring for Liverpool this season and has five in three matches against Bournemouth already. He is the 11/4 favourite to open the scoring here, or 4/7 to score at any time.

Sadio Mané has been in fine form for Liverpool recently. He has scored in each of Liverpool’s last three matches to take his tally to eleven Premier League goals for the season. He has 2 goals and an assist in 171 minutes for Liverpool against Bournemouth; a goal involvement every 57 minutes. He is 21/20 to keep that going here with another goal; 9/2 as first scorer.

In Callum Wilson’s absence, Bournemouth will look to Josh King to provide the main goal threat here. He has three goals from his last three Premier League games. He has also scored twice against Liverpool in seven appearances against the Reds. He is the favourite to score for Bournemouth here at 9/2, or 16/1 as first scorer.

Liverpool vs Bournemouth: Match preview

Graph showing the 3-game rolling average of Expected Goal Difference (xGD) for Liverpool (Red) and Bournemouth (Black). Click to expand.

Graph showing the 3-game rolling average of Expected Goal Difference (xGD) for Liverpool (Red) and Bournemouth (Black). Click to expand.

One of the biggest questions before this game is which Bournemouth will show up? The side that beat Chelsea so emphatically by four goals to nil. Or the side who rolls over and shows its soft side to Cardiff the following match, losing 2-0.

We can see from the above that after a good start to the season, Bournemouth’s form plummeted as they were giving up chances worth 0.5 – 1.5 goals per game more than they were creating, on average.

One of their biggest issues during the season has been their ability to stop quick-breaks by the opponent. Something this Liverpool side excel at, which beings to explain their ability to open up this Bournemouth side, in recent matches, at ease.

The graph also suggests that in recent weeks, Bournemouth are starting to recover from this slump. Yet, the recent down tick does make us wonder if this was merely a false dawn?

Given their three most recent results against Liverpool, and their away performances in general this season, nobody would be too surprised to see another high-scoring Liverpool rout.

Liverpool team news vs Bournemouth

MANCHESTER, ENGLAND – JANUARY 03: Fernandinho of Manchester City is challenged by Jordan Henderson of Liverpool during the Premier League match between Manchester City and Liverpool FC at the Etihad Stadium on January 3, 2019 in Manchester, United Kingdom. (Photo by Shaun Botterill/Getty Images)

Dejan Lovren, Joe Gomez, and Alex Oxlade Chamberlain remain on the long-term injury list for Liverpool.

Rhian Brewster has finally recovered from the ankle injury that has kept him out for over a year. He is likely to return to the U23s to build up his match fitness before being handed his first chance of first team football since signing pro-terms with the club in the summer.

Trent Alexander-Arnold, Georgino Wijnaldum and Jordan Henderson all missed the 1-1 draw with West Ham on Monday night. They will be assessed in training in the build-up to the game with a view to bringing them back into the starting XI.

Bournemouth team news vs Liverpool

BOURNEMOUTH, ENGLAND – JANUARY 30: David Brooks of AFC Bournemouth celebrates after scoring his team’s second goal during the Premier League match between AFC Bournemouth and Chelsea FC at Vitality Stadium on January 29, 2019 in Bournemouth, United Kingdom. (Photo by Warren Little/Getty Images)

Lewis Cook, Simon Francis, David Brooks and Callum Wilson all remain on the long-term injury list for Bournemouth.

Nathaniel Clyne is ineligible to play against his parent club. Charlie Daniels is expected to start in his absence at left-back with Adam Smith moving across to right-back.

Jefferson Lerma was only fit enough to start on the bench against Cardiff. He was introduced with 20 minutes remaining and showed no ill-effects from his injury. He should return to the starting XI alongside Andrew Surman.

Dominic Solanke made his first appearance at the weekend following his £19m move from Liverpool. He is expected to keep his place and lead the line against his former club.

Predicted Liverpool team vs Bournemouth

Predicted Liverpool team vs Bournemouth

Predicted Liverpool team vs Bournemouth

Predicted Bournemouth team vs Liverpool

Predicted Bournemouth team vs Liverpool

Predicted Bournemouth team vs Liverpool

The latest tweets from Liverpool pre-Bournemouth

The latest tweets from Bournemouth pre-Liverpool

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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