Jamie Vardy

Leicester vs Fulham betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Leicester vs Fulham prediction: Leicester 3-1 Fulham

Saturday sees the Premier League’s two most recent managerial changes, appointed within 2 days of each other, face-off for their second games in charge.

Leicester made a decision that Claude Puel was not the man to push them into the European qualification positions. They replaced him with Celtic’s Brendan Rodgers; a familiar face to the league after coming so close to winning the title with Liverpool in 2013/14.

The challenge this season is to try to catch Wolves and Watford, who have an 8-point start on them, in the chase for possible UEFA Europa League football next season.

Leicester fans will also be hoping this will be their time to finally secure a league victory against Fulham in the Premier League. The previous 5 matches have seen 2 Fulham wins and 3 draws between these sides.

Fulham, on the other hand, are 10 points from safety in the relegation zone. Surviving the drop, at this point, looks almost impossible. However, with 27 points to play for, until things are mathematically certain, Scott Parker’s Fulham will likely fight until the end of the season.

Leicester vs Fulham: Who will win?

Calum Chambers

LONDON, ENGLAND – MARCH 03: Calum Chambers of Fulham celebrtes after he scores his sides first goal during the Premier League match between Fulham FC and Chelsea FC at Craven Cottage on March 03, 2019 in London, United Kingdom. (Photo by Clive Rose/Getty Images)

Leicester have just 1 win from their last 8 Premier League games. Can Brendan Rodgers make the King Power Stadium a fortress for Leicester City once more starting with a win against Fulham? They are 4/7 favourites to take all three points here.

Neither of these sides have drawn many games this season; both coming into the game with 5 draws from 29 games this season. However, given the poor run of form for both sides, maybe another stalemate is on the cards here? Odds of 3/1 are available if you think these sides cancel each other out again, as they did back in December.

Fulham have lost 12 of their last 13 away matches in the Premier League. They are the only Premier League side yet to win an away match this season. Can they upset the odds with a rare away win here? They are 19/4 outsiders if they can.

Leicester vs Fulham: Who will score?

Bar chart showing the top goalscorers of both clubs filtered on total goals scored (Orange Bar). Expected Goals per 90 (Charcoal) and Goals per 90 (Silver) are also shown. Click to Expand.

Bar chart showing the top goalscorers of both clubs filtered on total goals scored (Orange Bar). Expected Goals per 90 (Charcoal) and Goals per 90 (Silver) are also shown. Click to Expand. (Note, Tieleman’s goals are carried over from Monaco, in Ligue 1)

Jamie Vardy is Leicester’s top scorer in the Premier League this season, with 10 goals. He has 3 goals in his last 4 appearances for Leicester coming into this game. He scored the first, and only, goal of the Brendan Rodgers era last weekend in Watford. He is the 15/4 favourite to be the first scorer against Fulham. 11/10 to score at any time.

James Maddison scored Leicester’s only goal against Fulham when the sides last met, back in December, to tie the game. He hasn’t scored since for Leicester though. Can he end his 15-game goal drought with another against Fulham? He is the 6/1 to be the first scorer against Fulham; 15/8 to score at any time.

Aleksandar Mitrovic is Fulham’s top scorer in the Premier League this season, with 10 goals. However, he scored only 3 goals in 14 games under Claudio Ranieri. Can Scott Parker play more to his strengths and get him scoring once more? He is 15/2 to be the first scorer against Fulham; 12/5 to score at any time.

Leicester vs Fulham: Match preview

Graph showing the 5-game rolling average of Expected Goals For (xG) and Against (xGA) for Leicester (Blue) and Fulham (Silver). Click to expand.

Graph showing the 5-game rolling average of Expected Goals For (xG) and Against (xGA) for Leicester (Blue) and Fulham (Silver). Click to expand.

While one game is too small a sample to read anything into as far as a new manager is concerned, there will be cause of concern for Leicester fans and optimism for Fulham fans, based on last Sunday’s viewings.

Firstly, Leicester seemed to have a lot of possession (61%) without penetration; a trait of Brendan Rodgers’ Swansea side at times. Of the 14 chances they did create, 10 resulted in shots from outside the box, where shots typically have an average of 3-4% chance of resulting in a goal. The 4 chances they created inside the box all came from set pieces (3) or crosses (1).

Fulham, on the other hand, managed to create 12 chances against a much stronger Chelsea side. They had 2 big chances in the box, one of which they scored. However, the advantage Fulham had that Leicester did not, was in Chelsea affording them space to attack on the counter.

This could prove to be a similar situation here. Leicester will dominate possession while Fulham will look to play low and compact to hit them on the counter. Fulham are unlikely to defend as well as Watford though. While Leicester’s glaring lack of agility and pace from their back three could see Fulham make even better use of the space they would be afforded here.

This classic stylistic match-up could actually result in a very high scoring and entertaining game.

Leicester team news vs Fulham

Brendan Rodgers

Celtic manager Brendan Rodgers is seen during the Ladbrokes Scottish Premiership match between Celtic and Motherwell at Celtic Park on December 2, 2017 in Glasgow, Scotland. (Photo by Ian MacNicol/Getty Images)

Marc Albrighton remains Leicester’s only long-term injury concern. He looks likely to miss the rest of the season with a hamstring strain.

Jamie Vardy was removed before the end of Leicester’s 2-1 defeat to Watford last weekend due to a head injury. Brendan Rodgers is hopeful he will recover in time for Saturday, but he remains a doubt here.

Kelechi Iheanacho, who replaced him against Watford, looks the most likely replacement should he not recover in time.

Harvey Barnes didn’t have the best of games against Watford. He may be replaced here by Demarai Gray.

Fulham team news vs Leicester

LONDON, ENGLAND – MARCH 03: Scott Parker, manager of Fulham during the Premier League match between Fulham FC and Chelsea FC at Craven Cottage on March 03, 2019 in London, United Kingdom. (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

Marcus Bettinelli and Alfie Mawson (Both with knee surgery) are Fulham’s only long-term injury concerns.

Scott Parker is unlikely to make many changes to the side that performed well, in spite of the result, against Sarri’s Chelsea last weekend.

Should he make any changes, the likes of Maxime Le Marchand, Cyrus Christie, Jean Seri, Luciano Vietto and André-Frank Zambo Anguissa will be amongst those pushing for a chance to impress their interim manager.

Predicted Leicester team vs Fulham

Predicted Leicester team vs Fulham

Predicted Leicester team vs Fulham

Predicted Fulham team vs Leicester

Predicted Fulham team vs Leicester

Predicted Fulham team vs Leicester

The latest tweets from Leicester pre-Fulham

The latest tweets from Fulham pre-Leicester

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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