Brighton vs Liverpool betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Brighton vs Liverpool prediction: Brighton and Hove Albion 1-3 Liverpool

Liverpool have won every encounter between these two sides in the Premier League era. The three Premier League encounters have resulted in nine points for Liverpool, who scored ten goals in the process and conceded just one.

Brighton have only defeated Liverpool once in their history out of fifteen attempts. That victory was at Anfield in the old First Division league format. Andy Ritchie getting the only goal in a 0-1 win against Bob Paisley’s side.

Jimmy Case was on the teamsheet for the visitors that day just months after leaving Liverpool to sign for Brighton. Michael Robinson was also a key man in the victory for the Seagulls and may have left a lasting impression. He was one of Joe Fagan’s first Liverpool signings when he took over from Paisley the following season.

Brighton are undefeated in their last three league games. This is a feat they have managed on two other occasions this season. Can they go one game further though? The fact they have lost just twice at home all season will certainly give them belief that they can do it.

Liverpool’s defeat in their last Premier League game at Manchester City was their first in the league this season. However, they have still managed to pick up twenty-six of thirty-three points from their travels this season.

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Liverpool: Who will win?

Mohamed Salah

Mohamed Salah of Liverpool celebrates after scoring his sides first goal during the Premier League match between Liverpool and Brighton and Hove Albion at Anfield on May 13, 2018 in Liverpool, England. (Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images)

Liverpool’s nine game winning streak ended last Thursday; the longest so far of any team in the Premier League this season. They have won each of the last 6 encounters between these sides and are 3/10 favourites to get back to winning ways once more.

Brighton have never defeated Liverpool at home in any competition in the seven matches here between the two sides. They are 8/1 to do so for the first time here.

Three of the seven matches here have ended in a draw. if you believe we are in for another draw here, you can back it at 9/2.

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Liverpool: Who will score?

Graph showing the top scorers for each side who are likely to be involved in the game. Click to expand.

Graph showing the top scorers for each side who are likely to be involved in the game. Click to expand.

By his standards, Mohamed Salah is experiencing something of a goal drought having failed to score for two games in a row. He is still averaging a goal every ninety-three minutes over their last eight games. If you feel he is due another here, he is 11/4 to be first scorer and 8/11 to score any time.

Roberto Firmino has four goals in his last two league appearances for Liverpool. The Brazilian is 5/4 to keep this streak going with another goal here today. He is also 9/2 to do so as first scorer.

Glenn Murray is six appearances now without a goal for Brighton. He is not a player who usually waits long for his next goal. Odds of 3/1 are available if you think it will come against Liverpool at the weekend. 10/1 as first scorer.

Brighton vs Liverpool: Match preview

Graph showing the 5-game rolling average of Expected Goals For (xG) and Against (xGA) for Brighton (Blue) and Liverpool (Red). Click to expand.

Graph showing the 5-game rolling average of Expected Goals For (xG) and Against (xGA) for Brighton (Blue) and Liverpool (Red). Click to expand.

As we can see from the expected goals graph, Brighton’s xG has been pretty steady throughout the campaign. They are a side who will typically create chances worth at least one goal per game for them.

What is more encouraging though for Brighton fans, is that Chris Hughton seems to have largely solved their defensive issues which has seen their xGA halve in the past couple of months from a point when it was trending at more than two goals per game.

It will be this defensive stability they will be needing to lean on most this game should they hope to keep out the likes of Salah, Firmino & Mané.

The graph also paints a clear picture of why Liverpool have been so consistent in the league compared to other seasons. They have done an excellent job so far of restricting sides to chances worth less than a goal per game.

On top of this, in Alisson, they now have a goalkeeper who is saving 80-85% of the shots on target they face. This is more than any other first choice goalkeeper in the top 5 leagues in Europe at the moment.

We can also see the resurgence of their xG at the other end as it looks to climb up to that three goals per game line. In short, they are giving up very few chances, saving most of what they do give up, and look good for two or three goals at the other end.

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Liverpool: Ones to Watch

Graph showing the Key Men for both sides. Height indicates involvement in terms of shots, dribbles and creating chances. Width indicates the threat they pose in doing so. Liverpool (Red) and Brighton (Blue). Click to expand.

Graph showing the Key Men for both sides. Height indicates involvement in terms of shots, dribbles and creating chances. Width indicates the threat they pose in doing so. Liverpool (Red) and Brighton (Blue). Click to expand.

Mo Salah is likely to be the main danger man again for the Reds. His attacking involvement on games remains at an elite level this season, even if his goals scored numbers have taken a slight hit. It is this high level all-round game that saw the Egyptian King retain his African Player of the Year crown this week.

Firmino, Mané & Shaqiri all look like an able supporting cast for him who can hurt you if you give them the opportunity. Keita looks the most involved attacking player for Liverpool from midfield, when he plays.

For Brighton, Knockaert, March, Murray and Groβ look to carry the main threat. Look for them to gain territory quickly by getting the ball up the pitch early to Murray and using him as a platform to build their attacks off of the willing supporting runners from the midfield.

Brighton team news vs Liverpool

Chris Hughton

CRAWLEY, WEST SUSSEX – JULY 22: Chris Hughton, manager of Brighton looks on ahead of the Pre Season Friendly match between Crawley Town and Brighton & Hove Albion at Broadfield Stadium on July 22, 2017 in Crawley, West Sussex. (Photo by Jordan Mansfield/Getty Images)

Mat Ryan and Alireza Jahanbakhsh are still at the Asian Cup and won’t be available for Brighton for most of January.

José Izquierdo is ruled out with a knee injury but may be available for their visit to Old Trafford the following weekend for the home side.

Bernardo has a minor thigh problem and remains a doubt for Chris Hughton’s side. He faces a late fitness test to assess his availability.

Liverpool team news vs Brighton and Hove Albion

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – SEPTEMBER 18: Jurgen Klopp, Manager of Liverpool looks on prior to the Group C match of the UEFA Champions League between Liverpool and Paris Saint-Germain at Anfield on September 18, 2018 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images)

Joel Matip, Joe Gomez, Rhian Brewster and Alex Oxlade Chamberlain remain on the long-term injury list for Liverpool. Dejan Lovren and Adam Lallana are also expected to be ruled out due to injury. Jordan Henderson faces a late fitness test to see if he joins them.

The squad is also looking a little lighter following the departures of Dominic Solanke & Nathaniel Clyne to Bournemouth.

With a lighter fixture load than December, Liverpool are expected to field their strongest XI here that is fit and available.

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp has a crisis at centre-back this weekend, as Dejan Lovren has joined Joe Gomez and Joel Matip on the sidelines. He hinted in midweek that he may see Jordan Henderson as an option there when he returns. He stated that both Henderson & Lallana were due to start the game with Lovren & Curtis Jones only replacing them when they pulled out due to injury.

With Fabinho giving a decent account of himself vs Wolves at centre-back, plus the aerial ability of Glenn Murray, it is expected Klopp will opt for Fabinho & Van Dijk at the back. Although, don’t be too surprised for Liverpool to deploy an unusual back-3 system similar to their visit here last season. At the time, Lovren was their only fit centre-back and was partnered by Can & Wijnaldum.

Predicted Brighton and Hove Albion team vs Liverpool

Predicted Brighton and Hove Albion team vs Liverpool

Predicted Brighton and Hove Albion team vs Liverpool

Predicted Liverpool team vs Brighton and Hove Albion

Predicted Liverpool team vs Brighton and Hove Albion

Predicted Liverpool team vs Brighton and Hove Albion

The latest tweets from Brighton and Hove Albion pre-Liverpool

https://twitter.com/OfficialBHAFC/status/1083360628461502464

https://twitter.com/OfficialBHAFC/status/1083360107348537344

https://twitter.com/OfficialBHAFC/status/1083091038636396545

The latest tweets from Liverpool pre-Brighton and Hove Albion

https://twitter.com/LFC/status/1083091287140679682

https://twitter.com/LFC/status/1083281037201936385

https://twitter.com/LFC/status/1083056189364207623

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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