Brazil vs Argentina betting tips: Copa América semi-final match preview & predictions


Brazil vs Argentina prediction: Brazil 3-1 Argentina

The two most successful sides in South American history meet for a place in the Copa América Final.

Between them, these two have won seven World Cups, 22 Copa Américas, five Confederations Cups and six Olympic Gold Medals.

However, since their last Copa win 12 years ago, Brazil’s senior side have won only the Confederations Cups on two occasions.

Argentina meanwhile have not won any senior silverware since 1993 when they won the Copa América in Ecuador.

Which one will have the chance to end their respective trophy drought come Sunday?

PRAGUE, CZECH REPUBLIC – MARCH 26: Roberto Firmino of Brazil in action during the international friendly match between the Czech Republic and Brazil at Sinobo Stadium on March 26, 2019 in Prague, Czech Republic. (Photo by Thomas Eisenhuth/Bongarts/Getty Images)

Brazil vs Argentina: Who will win?

Brazil are odds on at 5/6 to win this match in normal time.

Argentina are massive underdogs at 19/5 to win in 90 minutes.

A draw, which would see extra time played, is 23/10.

A penalty shootout is 4/1.

Over 2.5 goals, surprisingly, is 5/4.

Brazil to win and over 2.5 goals is 21/10.

Argentina to claim victory and over 2.5 goals is 9/1.

Brazil are 4/11 to qualify; Argentina are 2/1 to make the final.

Leo Messi for Argentina

MOSCOW, RUSSIA – NOVEMBER 11: Lionel Messi of Argentina looks on during a match between Russia and Argentina International Friendly at Luzhniki Stadium on November 11, 2017 in Moscow, Russia. (Photo by Epsilon/Getty Images)

Roberto Firmino got his 11th international goal in the group stages against Peru. The Liverpool forward is 4/1 to score first and 15/8 to score anytime.

Gabriel Jesus is also likely to start. He is 7/2 to score first and 7/4 to add to his 16 Brazil goals.

Lionel Messi has 68 international goals to his name with just 15 of those coming at major finals. Argentina’s captain is 11/2 to score first and 12/5 to get his fifth goal against Brazil.

Sergio Agüero’s last three Argentina goals have come at major tournaments including against Qatar in the group stages. He’s 9/1 to score first and 7/2 to score anytime.

Both Firmino and Jesus to score is 15/8.

Both Coutinho and Firmino to score is 11/1.

Both Lautaro Martínez and Messi to score is 18/1.

Both Giovani Lo Celso and Sergio Agüero to score is 95/1.

Brazil vs Argentina: Match preview

Alisson Becker Brazil World Cup

SAINT PETERSBURG, RUSSIA – JUNE 22: Alisson of Brazil gives his team instructions during the 2018 FIFA World Cup Russia Group E match between Brazil and Costa Rica at Saint Petersburg Stadium on June 22, 2018 in Saint Petersburg, Russia. (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images)

Brazil want to win this title.

Brazil need to win this title.

After the 7-1 humiliation against Germany five years ago, there is a feeling that they need to rewrite the wrongs from the last time they hosted a major tournament.

In the group stages, they got off to a sluggish start, eventually defeating Bolivia 3-0.

Then, the Salvador crowd made their frustration clear as the Seleção were held to a 0-0 draw by Venezuela.

They more than made up for that on matchday three.

Peru were demolished 5-0 in São Paulo as Brazil emphatically wrapped up Group A.

That result ensured they would take on Group B’s third-placed team Paraguay in Porto Alegre in the quarter-finals.

Paraguay were holding firm until the 54th minute when, at first, Brazil were awarded a penalty.

However, after consulting with VAR, referee Roberto Tobar sent off Paraguay’s Fabián Balbuena and awarded a free-kick instead.

With only ten men, Paraguay parked the bus.

Brazil had numerous chances late on; Willian hit the post, Everton missed a great opening and Philippe Coutinho went close.

They could not make the breakthrough and the match went to penalties.

Gustavo Gómez was up first but his effort was smartly saved by Alisson.

Willian, Marquinhos and Coutinho then all scored meaning Firmino had the chance to make it 4-3.

However, he put his effort a long way wide.


Next up for Paraguay was Derlis González who’s penalty knocked Brazil out four years ago.

Luckily for Brazil, González followed Firmino’s lead and put his shot wide.

That meant Jesus was to be the hero; he cooly rolled in the spot-kick which sent Brazil through.

After that scare, will they make Sunday’s final?

Can Argentina get to a third straight Copa America final?

NIZHNIY NOVGOROD, RUSSIA – JUNE 21: Lionel Messi and team-mate Sergio Agüero of Argentina show their dejection during the 2018 FIFA World Cup Russia Group D match between Argentina and Croatia at Nizhniy Novgorod Stadium on June 21, 2018 in Nizhniy Novgorod, Russia. (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)

As for Argentina, they’ve been far from convincing in this tournament but they are still in.

La Albiceleste’s campaign could hardly have started any worse as they were comprehensively beaten 2-0 by Colombia.

They then drew 1-1 with Paraguay and it could have been even worse.

Franco Armani saved a penalty in that draw and that point proved crucial.

Even so, Lionel Scaloni’s side had to beat Qatar in their final group game or they would’ve been eliminated.

An early goal from Lautaro Martínez and a late one by Sergio Agüero secured the 2-0 win and second place in the Group.

As a result, they took on Group A’s runners-up Venezuela in the quarter-finals.

Once again, Lautaro Martínez struck early, opening the scoring after just ten minutes.

But once again, Argentina did not build on that.

They looked nervy until the 74th minute when a calamitous error from Venezuela’s goalkeeper presented Giovani Lo Celso with a gift he could not turn down.

Another 2-0 win but a far from convincing success.

They’re really going to have to raise their game if they’re to beat Brazil.

All of Argentina is desperate for them to go all the way in this one and win their first trophy for 26 years.

Since winning the Copa América in 1993, Argentina have lost their last five major finals.

In 2004 and 2007, they lost to Brazil both times in Copa América finals.

In 2015 and 2016, they lost in the Copa América final again both times against Chile and both times in a penalty shootout.

In the middle of that five years ago, they were beaten in the FIFA World Cup Final 1-0 by Germany at Estádio do Maracanã.

Will they return to the Maracanã for Sunday’s final as they finally look to end 26 years of heartbreak?

Brazil team news vs Argentina

SÃO PAULO, BRAZIL – JUNE 14: Philippe Coutinho of Brazil in action during the Copa América Brazil 2019 Group A match between Brazil and Bolivia at Morumbi Stadium on June 14, 2019 in São Paulo, Brazil. (Photo by Buda Mendes/Getty Images)

Tite has a settled side and has not made very many changes during this tournament.

He is, of course, without Marcelo, Fabinho, Vinícius Júnior and Neymar but he still has an enviably strong squad.

Alisson will keep his place in goal ahead of Ederson; the Liverpool keeper hasn’t conceded for 503 minutes at international level.

In defence, Dani Alves is captaining his nation at this tournament.

He’ll make his 18th Copa América appearance in this one; only four players have made more appearances at this competition for Brazil.

It’ll be the Paris Saint-Germain duo Thaigo Silva and Marquinhos at centre-back, both preferred to Miranda and new Real Madrid signing Éder Militão.

Filipe Luís is the first choice left-back ahead of Alex Sandro.

In midfield, Casemiro is back from suspension so will displace Allan and partner Arthur.

Fernandinho will once again be left out.

Further forward, Grêmio’s Everton has been one of the stars of this tournament and will keep his place.

Philippe Coutinho will play in a central role with Gabriel Jesus on the right and Roberto Firmino through the middle.

It is clear that Tite wants to get both Jesus and Firmino into his side and playing Jesus wide allows him to do that.

Richarlison started the tournament opener but is a doubt, bizarrely, with the mumps.

Will this side lead their country into their 20th Copa América Final?

Argentina team news vs Brazil

Lionel Messi

SAINT PETERSBURG, RUSSIA – JUNE 26: Lionel Messi of Argentina celebrates after scoring during the 2018 FIFA World Cup Russia Group D match between Nigeria and Argentina at Krestovsky Stadium on June 26, 2018 in Saint Petersburg, Russia. (Photo by Alex Livesey/Getty Images)

As for Argentina, Lionel Scaloni has been tinkering all tournament, desperately trying to figure out his best XI.

Argentina have won their last nine Copa games in which they scored first.

In fact, the last time they lost when opening the scoring was in the quarter-finals in 1999, against Brazil.

They’ll be desperate to start fast here.

In the eight games leading up to this tournament, Argentina used eight different goalkeepers.

However, River Plate’s Franco Armani has started all four games at this competition and has been solid.

In defence, Ajax left-back Nicolás Tagliafico and Manchester City centre-back Nicolás Otamendi have been ever presents.

However, the identity of the other two components of the back four is anyones guess.

They’re expected to revert to the back four that played against Qatar.

That would see Juan Foyth of Tottenham move back to his natural position of centre-back and Germán Pezzella replaced by Renzo Saravia.

In midfield, they appear to have settled on a midfield diamond, anchored by Leandro Paredes.

Either side of him, Rodrigo De Paul will keep his place but Giovani Lo Celso will come back in for Marcos Acuña.

Captain Lionel Messi plays at the tip of the diamond; can he finally win some international silverware?

They have a pretty frightening front two.

Sergio Agüero will be looking to add to his ten goals at major tournaments.

Alongside him,Lautaro Martínez is the top scorer under Scaloni with six goals in ten appearances including two at this tournament.

Paulo Dybala has only played 19 minutes in this competition and will once again be on the bench.

As will Ángel Di María.

He became only the sixth Argentine to win 100 caps in the quarter-final.

This team certainly possess firepower but can Argentina beat Brazil in Brazil in a competitive match for the first time ever in 11 attempts?

Predicted Brazil line-up vs Argentina

Predicted Brazil line-up vs Argentina

Predicted Brazil line-up vs Argentina.

Predicted Argentina line-up vs Brazil

Predicted Argentina line-up vs Brazil

Predicted Argentina line-up vs Brazil.

The latest tweets from Brazil pre Argentina

The latest tweets from Argentina pre Brazil

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Back Brazil at 9/1 or Argentina at 33/1 to win Copa America semi-final!