Bournemouth vs Watford betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Bournemouth vs Watford prediction: Bournemouth 1-2 Watford

Bournemouth welcome Watford to the Vitality Stadium for Sunday’s early kick-off, in what looks like an early relegation six-pointer at this stage of the season.

Watford come into the game as one of the Premier League’s in-form sides, having picked up ten points from twelve over the festive period. Only the league’s run-away leaders, Liverpool, have picked up more points from their last four matches than the Hornets.

Despite this, they still start the day in the relegation zone. Although, their situation no longer looks as precarious compared to when Nigel Pearson took charge. At the time, Watford were seven points from safety having collected just eight points from their opening fifteen matches this season.

Bournemouth, on the other hand, are in free-fall at the moment. They have picked up just four points from a possible thirty from their last ten matches; the worst record in the Premier League. This has seen them fall from sixth place at the start of November, to eighteenth place in the table.

BOURNEMOUTH, ENGLAND – AUGUST 19: Etienne Capoue of Watford celebrates with team-mates after scoring his team’s second goal during the Premier League match between AFC Bournemouth and Watford at Vitality Stadium on August 19, 2017 in Bournemouth, England. (Photo by Dan Istitene/Getty Images)

Bournemouth vs Watford: Who will win?

Bournemouth have just one win against Watford, in all competitions, in seven encounters. In addition, there has never been a home win in this fixture in the Premier League era. Despite this, and the Cherries current form, they start the match as slight favourites at 8/5.

Seven of the nine matches between these sides in the Premier League to date have ended in a draw. Perhaps this makes the 12/5 odds of a draw on Sunday good value?

Watford have won just one of the last twelve matches against Bournemouth. That win was a 0-2 victory here back in August 2017. Unsurprisingly then, they are 17/10 for the win on Sunday.

Bournemouth vs Watford: Who will score?

Harry Wilson is Bournemouth’s top scorer this season, with six goals. However, he has not scored for the Cherries since November and is on a run of five Premier League games without a goal. The on-loan Liverpool forward is 8/1 to grab the first goal of the game at the weekend. Or you can back Wilson at 13/5 to score at any time during the game.

His namesake, Callum Wilson, scored in Bournemouth’s 4-0 win over Luton last weekend. That was his first goal for Bournemouth since the 2-2 draw with West Ham back in September. Has he now rediscovered his scoring touch and will follow up with another goal on Sunday? Wilson is the 6/4 favourite to find the net against Watford. Or you can find odds of 5/1 for the England International to score the game’s opener.

Troy Deeney has three goals in his last four league games for Watford. However, he is yet to notch a goal away from Vicarage Road this season for the Hornets. Despite this, Deeney is the joint favourite with Callum Wilson to open the scoring here at 5/1. Or 6/4 to score at any time during the game.

Bournemouth vs Watford: Match preview

The previous match, like so many others between them in the Premier League, ended in a stalemate.

On the balance of chances created, a share of the points was probably a fair result, whether the score was 1-1 or 0-0. Bournemouth had more than double the chances that Watford had, with fifteen to the Hornets nine. However, the chances Watford had were from more dangerous positions with an average xG per shot of 0.10 to the Cherries’ 0.06.

Both sides had one big chance in the match which they failed to convert. Bournemouth’s fell to Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld on the stroke of half time. He kept it down but it was right at Ben Foster, who saved with his feet.

Immediately after half-time, Watford had a chance from pretty much the same piece of turf. Just like Groeneveld, Gerard Deulofeu put his shot too close to Aaron Ramsdale allowing him to parry it clear.

The big problem on the day for Bournemouth was a failure to involve their best goal-scorer in the game. As you can see with Callum Wilson above, he had zero shots or key passes in the game. Digging even deeper, he only touched the ball once in the build-up to any of their fifteen shots in the match.

This has been an ongoing problem with Callum Wilson, who last scored in the Premier League in September and is currently on a run of thirteen league games without a goal or assist. The knock-on effect of this can be seen in their results, with Bournemouth having lost eight of their last ten matches in the Premier League and failing to score in five of the last seven.

Bournemouth vs Watford: A look at the visitors

WATFORD, ENGLAND – AUGUST 10: Gerard Deulofeu of Watford runs with the ball away from Davy Propper of Brighton and Hove Albion during the Premier League match between Watford FC and Brighton & Hove Albion at Vicarage Road on August 10, 2019 in Watford, United Kingdom. (Photo by Jordan Mansfield/Getty Images)

The appointment of Nigel Pearson seems to have solved many similar problems for Watford.

Watford’s goal-scoring record has been poor this season, with the Hornets having failed to score in ten of their seventeen Premier League games coming into the festive period. However, their last four Premier League games has seen Troy Deeney score three, with Deulofeu and Ismaila Sarr chipping in with two goals and an assist apiece.

Often matches between relegation battling sides are decided by set pieces. Interestingly, this clash brings together the best and worst sides in the Premier League from set pieces.

Watford have scored just one goal from set pieces this season. Although, they have chipped in with four from the penalty spot; the most in the Premier League. Bournemouth, on the other hand, have ten goals from set pieces this season, one more than Liverpool, Arsenal and Newcastle on nine.

Based on current form, Watford look the clear favourite for the win this weekend. However, if you are looking for a side to nick the points with a set-piece goal, Bournemouth are your team. History suggests another draw is the safe bet.

Bournemouth team news vs Watford

Bournemouth’s Welsh defender Chris Mepham (C) checks on Bournemouth’s Dutch defender Nathan Ake (floor) lying on the floor injured during the English Premier League football match between Bournemouth and Liverpool at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth, southern England on December 7, 2019. (Photo by Adrian DENNIS / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE. No use with unauthorized audio, video, data, fixture lists, club/league logos or ‘live’ services. Online in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No video emulation. Social media in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No use in betting publications, games or single club/league/player publications. / (Photo by ADRIAN DENNIS/AFP via Getty Images)

Bournemouth could be without as many as nine first team players for Sunday’s match against Watford.

Nathan Ake, Adam Smith, Charlie Daniels and David Brooks continue on the long-term injury list for the Cherries.

Jordan Ibe has been absent since the end of September from Bournemouth’s first team. He faces trial over allegedly crashing his Bentley into a coffee shop during the summer.

Joshua King and Jack Stacey have both been ruled out by Eddie Howe for five to six weeks with hamstring injuries.

Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld will likely miss the rest of January with an ankle injury. While Lloyd Kelly could return within two weeks from a thigh injury.

Bournemouth made a number of changes for their 4-0 win over Luton in the FA Cup last weekend. It remains to be seen if any of Philip Billing, Ryan Fraser, Junior Stanislas, Andrew Surman, Jack Simpson or Mark Travers did enough to work their way into contention here.

Predicted Bournemouth team vs Watford

Predicted Bournemouth team vs Watford

Predicted Bournemouth team vs Watford

Watford team news vs Bournemouth

Jose Holebas

WATFORD, ENGLAND – MAY 12: Jose Holebas of Watford is sent off, after his challenge on Michail Antonio of West Ham United during the Premier League match between Watford FC and West Ham United at Vicarage Road on May 12, 2019 in Watford, United Kingdom. (Photo by Matthew Lewis/Getty Images)

Like Bournemouth, Watford are struggling with an injury crisis at the moment. They could be without as many as ten first team players on Sunday.

Craig Cathcart, Kiko Femenia, Danny Welbeck, Tom Cleverley, José Holebas, Daryl Janmaat and Sebastian Prodl all remain sidelined due to injury for the Hornets.

Nathaniel Chalobah was forced off at half-time in their 3-3 draw against Tranmere last weekend. He is not expected to recover in time for Sunday’s match against the Cherries.

Christian Kabasele is suspended following his New Year’s Day red card against Norwich. Adrian Mariappa, who is returning from suspension, is expected to replace him.

Watford have been successful in overturning Roberto Pereyra’s red card against Tranmere. He is expected to be available from the bench as Deulofeu is restored to the Hornets starting XI.

Will Hughes has been struggling with a hip injury but is expected to pass a fitness test this week in time for the trip to Bournemouth.

Domingos Quina was withdrawn after an hour against Tranmere. Watford are hopeful it was little more than cramp, allowing the twenty-year-old central midfielder to be available here.

Etienne Capoue missed the Hornets FA Cup tie last weekend. He is rated doubtful for the match on Sunday.

Predicted Watford team vs Bournemouth

Predicted Watford team vs Bournemouth

Predicted Watford team vs Bournemouth

The latest tweets from Bournemouth pre-Watford

The latest tweets from Watford pre-Bournemouth

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Paddy Power's new customer offer: £20 risk free first bet!