Bournemouth vs Liverpool betting tips: Premier League preview & predictions

Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction: Bournemouth 0-3 Liverpool

Bournemouth welcome league-leaders Liverpool to the Vitality Stadium for this Saturday’s Premier League action.

The Cherries come into the match on a stinking run of form, with four defeats on the bounce. However, only one of those defeats came in front of their own fans. This was the 1-2 defeat to Wolves, which Bournemouth had to play for nearly an hour with only 10-men.

Their home record this season stands at two wins, three draws and two defeats from seven matches.

In contrast, Liverpool have been a dominant force in the Premier League this season. They remain unbeaten in the league this season and come into this match on a six-game winning streak.

The have only dropped points on their travels once this season; the 1-1 draw at Old Trafford against Manchester United.

Bournemouth vs Liverpool: Who will win?

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – FEBRUARY 09: Georginio Wijnaldum of Liverpool celebrates after scoring his team’s second goal during the Premier League match between Liverpool FC and AFC Bournemouth at Anfield on February 9, 2019 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by Alex Livesey/Getty Images)

Bournemouth have just one win in thirteen matches against Liverpool. That win was their famous come-back when they recovered from being 1-3 down to win 4-3 in injury time.

The Cherries are 11/2 outsiders to secure their second victory against the Reds.

There have been only two stalemates between these sides, the most recent of which was the 2-2 draw at Anfield back in April 2017. If you believe these two sides will cancel each other out, you can back a draw at 7/2.

Liverpool have won each of the last four matches between these teams, also scoring fourteen goals without reply. It is no surprise then to see the Reds come into the game as huge 4/9 favourites.

Bournemouth vs Liverpool: Who will score?

With Harry Wilson needing to miss the game due to being ineligible to play against his parent club, his namesake Callum is the favourite to get on the scoresheet for the Cherries here. He has just one goal in five appearances against Liverpool in his career; a penalty in the 4-3 win back in December 2016. Wilson is on a nine-game run without a goal for club or country. He is 8/1 to grab the opening goal of the game, or 11/5 to score at any time.

As you can see above, Liverpool’s attacking trident have ran riot on Bournemouth in recent seasons. None more so than Mohamed Salah, who has scored in every match for Liverpool against the Cherries since signing for the club. Salah has six goals in total from four games, including a hat-trick here last season. The Egyptian King sat out the Merseyside derby but is the favourite to make a scoring return here at 8/11. Or you can back him to be the game’s opening scorer at 3/1.

Sadio Mané was electric against Everton in midweek. He finished the game with a goal and two assists but in reality, could have scored four goals. Mané has three goals in his last four appearances against Bournemouth. All three goals were the game’s opening goal, which you can back him to score once more at 15/4. Or you can simply back the Senegalese international to score at any time, at 10/11.

Bournemouth vs Liverpool: Match preview

Bournemouth are in a poor run of form, with underlying expected goals (xG) numbers suggesting their play hasn’t deserved much better than what they have got from the past eight games.

In that run of matches, only the 1-0 win against Manchester United saw them create better quality and quantity of chances that would ordinarily see a team snatch all three points.

Their opponents have had superior xG in each of their five defeats. While in the two draws versus Norwich and Watford, they had only marginally superior xG to their opponent – certainly not enough to suggest they should have won the fixture.

Perhaps the biggest disappointment will have come in the manner of the 1-0 defeat at Crystal Palace in midweek. Despite Palace’s Mamadou Sakho receiving a red-card in just the nineteenth minute of the match, Bournemouth failed to create anything of note, putting in their worst xG performance of the season with just six shots against 10-men.

Allowing Palace to score from a rare foray forward in the final fifteen minutes of the game just capped a terrible evening for the Cherries.

Bournemouth vs Liverpool: A look at the visitors

Liverpool currently lead the Premier League by eight points and are eleven ahead of last season’s champions, Manchester City. With the Manchester Derby kicking-off after Liverpool’s match has finished, the Reds have the chance to put a fourteen-point gap between the two sides with a win here to add further pressure onto Guardiola’s side.

As the xG model shows, Liverpool have been a strong side in general but have also rode their luck in some matches. The wins against Southampton, Chelsea and Manchester City all saw their opponents create better quality and/or quantity chances against them.

However, more than anything else, Jurgen Klopp’s side have shown an uncanny ability to get what they need from the game. To simply do what it takes. They regain more points from a losing position than any other side and seem to react to every goal conceded with a renewed vigour rather than a slump.

This makes them a far cry from the side that famously collapsed in Bournemouth three Decembers ago. Which means if you are a going to put your money on a result, another Liverpool hammering by a three plus margin looks more likely than another Bournemouth upset.

Bournemouth team news vs Liverpool

BOURNEMOUTH, ENGLAND – DECEMBER 04: Eddie Howe, Manager of AFC Bournemouth looks on prior to the Premier League match between AFC Bournemouth and Huddersfield Town at Vitality Stadium on December 4, 2018 in Bournemouth, United Kingdom. (Photo by Dan Mullan/Getty Images)

Josh King (Hamstring), Junior Stanislas (Knee), David Brooks (Ankle) and Charlie Daniels (Knee) all remain on the long-term injured list for Bournemouth.

Harry Wilson, who is on loan from Liverpool for the season, is Bournemouth’s top scorer this season, with six goals. However, he is unable to play against his parent team under loan rules. Therefore, rumoured Liverpool target, Ryan Fraser, is tipped to start in his place.

Steve Cook has been absent due to a broken wrist. Chris Mepham is likely to continue in his place at the weekend.

Former Liverpool striker, Dominic Solanke, is likely to make way as Eddie Howe looks to thicken out the spine of his side to prevent another battering at the hands of Liverpool.

Predicted Bournemouth team vs Liverpool

Predicted Bournemouth team vs Liverpool

Predicted Bournemouth team vs Liverpool

Liverpool team news vs Bournemouth

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 27: Fabinho of Liverpool receives medical treatment during the UEFA Champions League group E match between Liverpool FC and SSC Napoli at Anfield on November 27, 2019 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by Michael Steele/Getty Images)

Fabinho (Ankle), Nathaniel Clyne (Knee) and Joel Matip (Knee) are still ruled out for Liverpool.

Following his red-card against Brighton for a handball outside the area, Alisson served a one-match ban keeping him out of the midweek derby. He will return to the starting XI on Saturday in place of Adrian.

Roberto Firmino, Jordan Henderson and Mohamed Salah were rested in midweek, although Henderson and Firmino did enter the fray late in the match. All three are expected to start here.

Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain is also likely to return to the starting XI. He was named on the bench on Wednesday but wasn’t involved in the action.

Divock Origi, Xheridan Shaqiri, Naby Keita, James Milner and Joe Gomez will hope to be the beneficiaries of a starting place should Klopp choose to rest any of his starting XI before the final Champions League group match, in Salzburg.

Predicted Liverpool team vs Bournemouth

Predicted Liverpool team vs Bournemouth

Predicted Liverpool team vs Bournemouth

The latest tweets from Bournemouth pre-Liverpool

The latest tweets from Liverpool pre-Bournemouth

https://twitter.com/LFC/status/1202483995428020225

https://twitter.com/LFC/status/1202536464313139200

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.


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