Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain betting tips: UEFA Champions League round of 16 first leg preview & predictions

Dortmund vs PSG prediction: Dortmund 3-2 PSG

What a tie this promises to be as two of Europe’s most attacking sides clash at Westfalenstadion.

Paris Saint-Germain continue to dominate French football, having won 21 of the last 25 domestic honours available.

Thus, their season essentially all comes down to this competition which hasn’t worked out to well for them in recent seasons.

In the Qatari era, they’ve won just four Champions League knockout ties in seven seasons, including three successive round of 16 exits in the last three years.

The ghost of Manchester United from March 6 last year still looms large and they can’t afford a similar calamitous collapse.

Borussia Dortmund, unlike their opponents, are past winners of this competition having done so in 1997.

More recently, they reached the final in 2013 but have only won two knockout ties since.

This may be the first ever Champions League meeting of the two but it’ll surely be a goal fest.

Who will have the advantage ahead of the second leg at Parc des Princes in 22 days time?

Highlights of Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Inter

Highlights of Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Real Madrid

Highlights of Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Eintracht Frankfurt

Highlights of Paris Saint-Germain 4-2 Olympique Lyonnais

Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain: Who will win?

Despite being the home side, Borussia Dortmund are the underdogs to win this first leg at 19/10.

Paris Saint-Germain are 6/5 to leave the North Rhine-Westphalia with a lead.

A draw is 29/10.

Over 2.5 goals is 4/9.

Over 3.5 goals is evens.

Both teams to score is 4/11.

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals is 4/6.

AUGSBURG, GERMANY – JANUARY 18: Erling Braut Håland of Borussia Dortmund celebrates scoring during the Bundesliga match between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund at WWK-Arena on January 18, Germany. (Photo by TF-Images/Getty Images)

Erling Braut Håland has been on fire for whoever he’s been playing for this season. The Norwegian is 4/1 to open the scoring and 13/10 to add to his remarkable tally.

Jadon Sancho though is his side’s top scorer this season. He is 5/1 to score first and 8/5 to net yet again.

Kylian Mbappé, as always, will be a threat. The French World Cup winner is, the same as Håland, 4/1 to break the deadlock and 13/10 to score anytime.

Neymar will be desperate to shine on a big stage. He is 9/2 to score first and 7/5 to score anytime.

Both Håland and Sancho to score is 11/2.

Both Håland and Raphaël Guerreiro to score is 14/1.

Both Axel Witsel and Achraf Hakimi to score is 33/1.

Both Mbappé and Ángel Di María to score is 7/1.

Both Idrissa Gana Gueye and Ángel Di María to score is 45/1.

Both Idrissa Gana Gueye and Marco Verratti to score is 175/1.

Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain: Match preview

Jadon Sancho celebrate scoring during Bundesliga match Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt, in Dortmund, Germany on February 14, 2020. (Photo by INA FASSBENDER / AFP)

Optimism still remains high that this could be a season to remember for Borussia Dortmund.

Ever since they beat Bayern in the DFL-Supercup in August, many have predicted they could be the side to stop Bayern winning an eighth straight Bundesliga title.

Their league form has been inconsistent; either they are hot or very much not.

In early November, they were hammered 4-0 in Munich to drop down to sixth place.

However, since they’ve won seven, drawn two and lost only twice.

That includes Friday night’s hammering of an in form Eintracht Frankfurt side at home.

Łukasz Piszczek, Jadon Sancho, Erling Braut Håland and Raphaël Guerreiro all scoring in a thumping 4-0 victory.

That means they’ve scored 63 goals after 22 Bundesliga games which equals the record set by Bayern 1973/74 and Hamburg 1981/82.

In 2020, Lucien Favre’s side have won four out of five, scoring 23 goals, with their only defeat a 4-3 reverse at Bayer Leverkusen.

Of course, their main priority is a first league title since 2012 but they’d love a run in Europe too.

Although, they were very close to being eliminated in the group stages.

After three group games, they had just four points after a goalless draw with Barcelona, a narrow win in Prague and a 2-0 defeat at San Siro.

Matchday four proved to be the turning point; they were 2-0 down at home to Inter and on the brink.

But, amazingly, they came back to win 3-2 with all of their goals coming in the space of 26 minutes.

Even so, they then lost at Camp Nou so had to better Inter’s result in the last game.

Dortmund beat Slavia 2-1 at home and, luckily, Inter were beaten by Barça.

Since reaching the final in 2013, the only teams Dortmund have beaten in the knockout stages are Zenit and Benfica.

Will Die Schwarzgelben mix it with Europe’s elite once again?

PSG to get over the Champions League hoodoo?

PARIS, FRANCE – NOVEMBER 28: Neymar during the UEFA Champions League match between Paris Saint-Germain and Liverpool at Parc des Princes on November 28, 2018 in France. (Photo by Shaun Botterill/Getty Images)

As for Paris Saint-Germain, they simply can’t afford any more slip-ups.

8 March 2017 saw them, somehow, collapse against Barcelona, losing 6-1 at Camp Nou having won the first leg 4-0 in Paris.

Since, they’ve meekly gone out to Real Madrid 5-2 on aggregate and, of course last year, fallen against Manchester United.

Twelve months ago, they won 2-0 at Old Trafford but were eliminated on away goals by Marcus Rashford’s 94th minute penalty.

This season, as per usual, they cruised through the group stages.

On matchday one, a brace from Ángel Di María and a late tap in from Thomas Meunier saw Real Madrid dismantled 3-0 in France.

Later on, two goals in the final ten minutes from Kylian Mbappé and Pablo Sarabia saw them come from 2-0 down to draw at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.

Aside from that, they beat Club Brugge and Galatasaray with ease; beating both 5-0 once and 1-0 once.

What’s also same old for PSG is their domestic domination.

They’ve already picked up the Trophée des Champions, their 23rd trophy since 2010.

Also, they are through to the Coupe de la Ligue Final and the Coupe de France semi-finals; Lyon await in both.

In Ligue 1, they came from 3-0 down to draw 4-4 with Amiens on Saturday afternoon.

That means they are 13 points clear of second placed Olympique de Marseille.

To put this in some context, PSG have taken 684 points from their last 291 Ligue 1 games, scoring 701 goals and conceding just 213.

However, even a domestic clean sweep won’t do Thomas Tuchel much good.

Carlo Ancelotti, Laurent Blanc and Unai Emery have all been sacked due to their poor European performances and he’ll surely go the same way if they lose this tie.

Will they build up a first leg lead in Dortmund?

Although, it’s not been winning first legs that has been the problem.

Borussia Dortmund team news vs Paris Saint-Germain

MAINZ, GERMANY – NOVEMBER 24: Axel Witsel of Dortmund controls the ball during the Bundesliga match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund at Opel Arena on November 24, 2018 in Mainz, Germany. (Photo by Matthias Hangst/Bongarts/Getty Images)

Since 3o November, Lucien Favre has switched systems to a back three and will continue with that here.

Although, that defence is far from watertight so it would be some sort of miracle if Roman Bürki added to his eight clean sheets in either leg.

In the back three, Mats Hummels is the senior man.

Either side of him will be Łukasz Piszczek, who’s also vastly experienced, and 20 year old Dan-Axel Zagadou.

Out-wide, it’s fair to say that both players prefer the “wing” part of wing-back then the “back” part.

Raphaël Guerreiro has five goals and four assists this season; Achraf Hakimi has racked up six goals and nine assists.

The Moroccan can boast the highest goal involvement of any defender in Europe.

In the centre, Emre Can has already become a key figure after joining from Juventus on loan in January.

Alongside him, Axel Witsel has been a star since switching from Tiānjīn Tiānhǎi in China 18 months ago.

Thomas Delaney is currently out with a knee problem.

Further forward, Marco Reus is now Dortmund’s joint-top Champions League scorer with 17.

However, he’s out injured so will have to wait to break that record.

Julian Brandt is also not fit enough to feature but they still have a plethora of attacking talent.

Thorgan Hazard, as he did on Friday night, will get the nod alongside top-scorer Jadon Sancho.

The England international now has an astonishing 16 goals and 17 assists this season.

Mahmoud Dahoud, Mario Götze and Giovanni Reyna are their other options.

Another man posting simply ridiculous figures is January signing Erling Braut Håland.

He has scored nine Dortmund goals in just 349 minutes of action for the club.

Also, he scored eight group stages goals for RB Salzburg which is as many as his new team Dortmund managed combined.

Can PSG live with this firepower?

Paris Saint-Germain team news vs Borussia Dortmund

MANCHESTER, ENGLAND – FEBRUARY 12: Prenel Kimpebe celebrates during the UEFA Champions League match, Manchester United and Paris Saint-Germain, Old Trafford, February 12, 2019 in Manchester, England. (Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images)

As for PSG, they’ll look to outscore Dortmund which is what will makes this such an enthralling tie to watch.

Thomas Tuchel left Dortmund under a bit of a cloud so will be desperate not to lose this one.

Three-time Champions League winner Keylor Navas is firmly the number one after joining from Real Madrid in the summer.

In defence, captain Thiago Silva is only just back from a groin injury which is timely.

Marquinhos is a doubt so Thilo Kehrer will start with Prenel Kimpebe also injured.

Tanguy Kouassi will drop out from the weekend.

At full-back, Layvin Kurzawa and Thomas Meunier are first-choice right now with Bernat and Colin Dagba injured.

Further forward, the debate is all about whether or not Tuchel can field “les quatre fantastiques” (the fantastic 4) together in Europe.

Given the fact he has been doing so for the last three months in Ligue 1, this seems likely.

So, a hell of a lot will be asked of Marco Verratti and Idrissa Gana Gueye in a midfield two.

If they were to add an extra player in there, it would be Ander Herrera or Leandro Paredes.

However, any semblance of midfield control will be sacrificed to get all of their big guns on the field.

Out wide in, what is ostensibly, a 4-2-4 will be Ángel Di María and Neymar.

The former has, arguably, been their best player this season contributing 12 goals and 17 assists.

Neymar meanwhile has not featured since 1 February but is merely being protected for this game.

Through the middle, Kylian Mbappé will be partnered by Mauro Icardi.

Icardi has scored only once in his last ten games but Mbappé, who’s on 24 for the season, thrives alongside him.

Edinson Cavani, who’s on 199 goals for the club and is out of contract in the summer, will be left on the bench.

Will this PSG XI win in Germany?

Predicted Borussia Dortmund team vs Paris Saint-Germain

Predicted Borussia Dortmund team vs Paris Saint-Germain

Predicted Borussia Dortmund team vs Paris Saint-Germain.

Predicted Paris Saint-Germain team vs Borussia Dortmund

Predicted Paris Saint-Germain team vs Borussia Dortmund

Predicted Paris Saint-Germain team vs Borussia Dortmund.

Highlights of Slavia Prague 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

Highlights of Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Slavia Prague

Highlights of Borussia Dortmund 5-0 Union Berlin

Highlights of Augsburg 3-5 Borussia Dortmund

Highlights of Club Brugge 0-5 Paris Saint-Germain

Highlights of Paris Saint-Germain 5-0 Galatasaray

Highlights of Paris Saint-Germain 5-0 Montpellier

Highlights of Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Nantes

All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Bundesliga table:

1FC Bayern Munich342644100326882
2Borussia Dortmund34216784414369
3RB Leipzig341812481374466
4Borussia Monchengladbach34205966402665
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen34196961441763
6TSG 1899 Hoffenheim34157125353052
7VfL Wolfsburg341310114846249
8SC Freiburg34139124847148
9Eintracht Frankfurt34136155960-145
10Hertha BSC34118154859-1141
111. FC Union Berlin34125174158-1741
12FC Schalke 0434912133858-2039
131. FSV Mainz 0534114194465-2137
141. FC Cologne34106185169-1836
15FC Augsburg3499164563-1836
16Werder Bremen3487194269-2731
17Fortuna Dusseldorf34612163667-3130
18SC Paderborn 073448223774-3720
Last updated: 1 min ago

Ligue 1 table:

1SCO Angers00000000
2AS Monaco00000000
3AS Saint-Etienne00000000
4Dijon FCO00000000
5FC Girondins Bordeaux00000000
6FC Lorient00000000
7FC Metz00000000
8FC Nantes00000000
9FC Stade Rennes00000000
10LOSC Lille00000000
11Montpellier HSC00000000
12OGC Nice00000000
13Olympique Lyonnais00000000
14Olympique Marseille00000000
15Olympique Nimes00000000
16Paris Saint-Germain00000000
17RC Lens00000000
18RC Strasbourg Alsace00000000
19Stade Brestois 2900000000
20Stade Reims00000000
Last updated: 1 min ago

Borussia Dortmund vs PSG betting tips FAQs

What time does Borussia Dortmund vs PSG kick off?
20:00 (UK time). Tuesday February 18, 2020.
Who are the favourites to win Borussia Dortmund vs PSG?
PSG are 6/5 favourites to win this match. Borussia Dortmund can be backed at 19/10. The draw is 14/5. Odds via Bet365. Correct at the time of publishing.
What is the 101 Great Goals prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs PSG?
Borussia Dortmund 3 - PSG 2.
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