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UEFA Nations League relegation play-out first leg betting tips: Previews, predictions and odds


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The second season of the UEFA Nations League will come to a conclusion this week.

Moldova, Kazakhstan, Cyprus and Estonia all finished bottom of the League C groups in 2020, so must now battle for their third-tier survival.

The winners of these two-legged relegation play-outs will remain in League C while the losers will drop down to the bottom division, League D.

The return legs will take place on Tuesday.

Moldova vs Kazakhstan

Back in September 2020, Kazakhstan made a blistering start to their Nations League campaign, winning 2-0 away to Lithuania.

However, after that, the Hawks amassed just one point from their next five games, thereby finishing rock bottom of Group 4.

Overall, Kazakhstan are winless in 13 competitive games, only beating Lithuania, San Marino, Scotland and Andorra since October 2015

CSKA Moscow midfielder Bakhtiyar Zaynutdinov is their star man; he is 8/1 to break the deadlock and 10/3 to score anytime.

Moldova meanwhile will be looking to make home advantage count in this first leg in Chișinău.

They drew 1-1 with Kosovo on matchday one of the group stage but lost their subsequent five fixtures, conceding ten and scoring none.

Head Coach Serghei Cleșcenco has work to do as his new side winless in 23 competitive games, losing 21 of those, dating back to June 2019.

Moldova have only scored more than once in a competitive international once in five years, a 2-0 victory over San Marino in 2018.

Under 2.5 goals and both teams to score NO is 8/11. Kazakhstan to win and under 2.5 goals is 10/3.

Estonia vs Cyprus

The other relegation play-out first leg takes place in Tallinn as Estonia welcome Cyprus.

The hosts failed to win any of their matches in Group 2 so finished bottom, below Armenia, North Macedonia and Georgia.

In fact, the Blueshirts have only won two of their last 29 competitive outings, beating Greece in 2018 and Belarus last October.

Before the latter, the last side to leave the A. Le Coq Arena empty handed was Cyprus, going down 1-0 in a World Cup qualifier five years ago.

Cyprus did beat Luxembourg during the group phase but their measly tally of four points ensured a last-placed finish in Group 1.

More recently, Nikos Kostenoglou's side won just one match in 2021, recently shipping six against Russia in their heaviest defeat for two decades.

Estonia have never lost any of their four competitive matches against Cyprus, although three of these have been draws.

Under 2.5 goals and both teams to score NO is 8/11. Estonia to win and under 2.5 goals is 3/1.

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Ben Gray

Ben Gray

Arsenal fan – follow them over land and sea (and Leicester); sofa Celtic supporter; a bit of a football '"encyclopedia".


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