United States vs Mexico betting tips
This article covers United States vs Mexico betting tips and predictions, and these are the betting odds.
o – United States 7/4
o – Draw 11/5
o – Mexico 7/5
Note: All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
United States vs Mexico: Match details
Match: United States vs Mexico
Competition: CONCACAF Nations League final
Date: 6 June, 2020
Kick-off time: 2:00am (UK time)
Stadium: Empower Field at Mile High – Denver, Colorado
Betting prediction: United States 1 – 1 Mexico
The United States and Mexico will clash once more on the international stage when the two meet in the CONCACAF nations league finals at Denver’s Empower Field at Mile High.
Gregg Berhalter’s men needed a late goal from substitute Jordan Siebatcheu Pefok to see themselves past Honduras in a 1-0 win, while Mexico had to rely on penalties after a 0-0 draw with Costa Rica.
The heated rivalry is as close as ever between these two North American powerhouses, with the US just edging the long-time series with a record of 18-13-16, and the pair look primed for another close-run contest on Sunday night.
Mexico has complete command of the head-to-head of late however, winning three of their last five meetings (3-1-1) but neither side was entirely dominant in their semi-final fixtures. This could very well come down to penalties.
United States vs Mexico: Recommended bets
Method of Victory: Penalties – Mexico
Mexico has the recent head-to-head against the United States in their favor under Gerardo Martino (2-0-0), and both sides come into the final in Denver on good overall form. Both needed late actions in the semi-finals to best Honduras, and Costa Rica, and these are two very evenly matched outfits. It could come down to penalties, where Mexico’s experience from the spot and in goal could trump the youthful United States squad.
Result/Both Teams to Score: Draw – Yes
These really are two evenly matched sides under Berhalter and Martino, and their struggles in the semi-finals mirrored each other more often than not. Both are always up for the fight when these two meet, and the incredibly close historic rivalry (18-3-16 in favor of the US) speaks to the constant level playing field. Both have quality across all areas of the pitch, so the odds of them negating the other are high. A draw at full-time and after extra time is definitely plausible, but I would still expect them to each find something on the score sheet.
United States vs Mexico: What are the betting odds?
United States vs Mexico – recent form and head to head statistics
United States vs Mexico: Match preview
As the United States moves into another phase of its progression on the international stage, manager Gregg Berhalter has been blessed with a wonderful young crop of players to rely on as the States look to re-assert its dominance over CONCACAF.
Berhalter will have a lot of work to do however, with the US losing to Mexico in their last two outings by a combined 4-0 scoreline. With a performance against Honduras that hardly can make many confident, the US men head into a fixture that has historic implications far beyond just Sunday’s result.
Honduras provided a valuable lesson for a young US core who are accustomed to a different level of play in Europe. Less tactically astute and more physical, CONCACAF competitiveness is more about not allowing bigger sides to play their game rather than trying to play your own. If the US is to really make positive strides to regaining their perch atop the North American ladder, negotiating difficult sides like Honduras more effectively is probably their biggest challenge. Against a Mexican side more willing to try to impose themselves on proceedings, this could be a chance for Berhalter’s youngsters to express themselves in a more familiar tactical environment.
Gerardo Martino looking to keep one-hundred percent record against United States alive
The post-Carlos Vela era continues to press on for Mexico as they reach another final of a major CONCACAF tournament. But an air of caution appropriately surrounds El Tri’s chances on Sunday when they clash with a young United States outfit eager to prove itself against their biggest rivals.
Mexico failed to break the deadlock against Costa Rica in their semi-final meeting and had to rely on penalties, which ended 5-4 in their favor after long-term goalkeeper stalwart Guillermo Ochoa came up big as he has for his entire international career. But under Argentine Gerardo Martino, Mexico remain fully capable of getting results and have dropped points in just three of the 26-matches he has overseen on the touchline.
Without the injured Raul Jimenez to lead the line, Mexico may struggle to craft big chances against a US outfit that is well-drilled at the back under Berhalter, and quite capable at both hitting their opposition on the break but also controlling possession when necessary. It is an intriguing tactical battle against two sides that seemingly both excel and struggle in similar ways. Martino, who has yet to lose against the US since taking charge (2-0-0) will be looking to steal one over the nations biggest rivals on their home patch and hold the States’ budding youngsters at bey for just a little while longer.
United States team news vs Mexico
Gregg Berhalter named, what most would agree is, the United States’ best available XI for Thursday’s semi-final victory over Honduras so there is unlikely to be too many changes for this one.
Manchester City’s Zack Steffen may be back-up at club level but is firmly first choice for his country.
At the back, Antonee Robinson is likely to keep his place which means Barcelona’s Sergiño Dest stays in his preferred position of right-back and Reggie Cannon is the man who missed out.
In the middle, Aaron Long’s injured, suffered while representing New York Red Bulls earlier this year, means he’s not going to play international football in 2021.
Long’s form meant he would, probably, have been first choice alongside the experienced head at the back John Brooks.
Mark McKenzie, who joined K.R.C. Genk earlier this year, has filled the centre-back void and will get the nod in this final.
In midfield is likely to be where Berhalter makes a sole change from the Honduras tie.
In that one, the US were so slow in possession as they struggled to break down La H’s low, compact defensive block.
However, this is going to be a totally different type of game against a higher-calibre of opposition.
Even so, Valencia’s Yunus Musah could come into the team, in place of Sebastian Lletget who’s a Berhalter favourite.
Juventus’ Weston McKennie will be in the other eight position but, just behind them, Jackson Yueill could continue to deputise for Tyler Adams who’s unlikely to be fit.
In attack, Captain America Christian Pulisic will be dreaming of lifting his first trophy with the U.S. after this match.
He’ll nominally be on the left with Gio Reyna on the other flank and, most likely, Josh Sargent leading the line.
Despite scoring the winner on Thursday, BSC Young Boys’ Jordan Siebatcheu is likely to be on the bench where he’ll find Brenden Aaronson and Timo Weah.
Daryl Dike was, somewhat surprisingly, left out of the squad.
Will USMNT fans have a statement victory to celebrate in Denver?
Mexico team news vs United States
Similarly to his opposite number, Tata Martino won’t make too many changes from the semi-final, despite the very tight turnaround.
Guillermo Ochoa has won 112 caps and four major honours with Mexico and will be looking to add to both in this one.
El Tri are expected to continue with a back three which’ll feature Néstor Araújo, Edson Álvarez and Héctor Moreno.
The latter is a free agent after leaving Al-Gharafa, so will be hoping his performances for Mexico this summer can help him earn a contract at a new club.
Jesús Gallardo could displace Gerardo Arteaga at left-wing-back.
In the middle, Mexico have a very experienced midfield duo.
Atlético Madrid’s Héctor Herrera and captain Andrés Guardado of Real Betis have, to date, won 80 and 167 caps for Mexico.
Will the latter be presented with the brand spanking new Nations League trophy at full time?
Jonathan dos Santos, who scored the only goal in the 2019 Gold Cup Final against USA, isn’t in the squad this time around.
In attack, Hirving Lozano will start off the left; he’s their star man having scored 14 international goals so far.
On the other side, the place is up for grabs but Diego Lainez could get the nod, once again, over Jesús Manuel Corona.
Mexico’s talismanic centre-forward is Raúl Jiménez but he hasn’t played since suffering a horrible head injury playing for Wolverhampton Wanderers on 29 November 2020.
This leaves a huge void and Alan Pulido could be tasked with leading the attacking, coming in for Henry Martín.
Efraín Álvarez, who’s chosen Mexico despite also representing the U.S. at youth level, isn’t in this squad but is expected to represent el Tri at the Olympics, presuming they go ahead.
Will it be Mexico who win the inaugural CONCACAF Nations League Finals at Empower Field at Mile High?
Predicted United States line-up vs Mexico
Predicted Mexico line-up vs United States
Highlights of Honduras 0-1 United States
Highlights of Mexico 0-0 Costa Rica
Highlights of United States 4-1 Canada
Highlights of Panama 0-3 Mexico
Highlights of Mexico 1-0 United States
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This article was edited by Benjamin Newman.