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Sweden vs Slovakia betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

Sweden vs Slovakia betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds
Sweden
1
-
0
Slovakia
Match ended
Show players
Forsberg, Emil
Krafth, Emil
90'
Augustinsson, Ludwig
Bengtsson, Pierre
88'
Ekdal, Albin
Svensson, Gustav
88'
87'
Weiss, Vladimir
84'
Hubocan, Tomas
Hancko, David
84'
Hrosovsky, Patrik
Duris, Michal
80'
Duda, Ondrej
Forsberg, Emil
77'
77'
Hamsik, Marek
Benes, Laszlo
77'
Mak, Robert
Weiss, Vladimir
76'
Dubravka, Martin
64'
Pekarik, Peter
Haraslin, Lukas
Berg, Marcus
Quaison, Robin
64'
Olsson, Kristoffer
Claesson, Viktor
64'
Olsson, Kristoffer
23'

Sweden vs Slovakia betting odds

This article covers Sweden vs Slovakia betting tips and Euro 2020 predictions, and these are the betting odds.

o – Sweden win 5/6

o – Draw 12/5

o – Slovakia win 15/4

Note: All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Sweden vs Slovakia betting tips: Win probabilities

Check out the win probabilities below.

At the time of writing, Sweden have a 50% chance to win.

Slovakia are only given a 21% winning probability, while the draw is valued at 29%.

Sweden vs Slovakia betting tips: Make your prediction

Sweden vs Slovakia
Which team is more likely to win the game, and what would the score be?
Prediction closed (16:00, 18 Jun, 2021)
*Your Pick
Sweden vs Slovakia
29 Votes
Slovakia
Slovakia
Sweden
Sweden
*Predicted score excluding overtime and penalties

Betting prediction: Sweden 2 – 2 Slovakia

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Sweden face Slovakia in the Saint Petersburg Stadium in Russia on Friday for this Euro 2020 Group E match.

Both teams had impressive starts to the tournament as Slovakia took all 3 points from Poland and Sweden held Spain to a point.

Sweden are undefeated in this head-to-head with 3 wins from the 6 matches.

Half the previous 6 encounters between these nations have ended in a stalemate, including when they last met in 2018.

Slovakia are the only team in Group E with a win to their name so far. Despite this, they are the underdogs here with odds of 4/1 available for a win.

FBL-EURO-2016-MATCH28-SVK-ENG

Slovakia supporters wave the national flag during the Euro 2016 group B football match between Slovakia and England at the Geoffroy-Guichard stadium in Saint-Etienne on June 20, 2016. / AFP / PAUL ELLIS (Photo credit should read PAUL ELLIS/AFP via Getty Images)

Recommended Sweden vs Slovakia betting tips

2-0 Sweden win. The last competitive match between these nations was a qualifier for the 2002 World Cup. Sweden won 2-0 that day and a repeat of this score on Friday is available at odds of 7/1.

1-1 draw. These nations played out a 1-1 draw when they last met back in 2018. A repeat of this score on Friday is available at odds of 13/2.

1-2 Slovakia win. Slovakia beat Poland 1-2 in their opening match of this tournament. You can back them at 18/1 for the same scoreline here on Friday.

Under 2.5 goals. Sweden vs Slovakia matches have typically been low scoring games with 4 of the last 5 matches being under 2.5 goal games. You can back another low scoring game here on Friday with odds of 8/13 on for under 2.5 goals.

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Alexander Isak to score anytime. Alexander Isak (below) caught the eye against Spain, even if he failed to get on the scoresheet. The 21-year-old Real Sociedad striker missed a big chance to give Sweden a smash-and-grab win against Spain. Isak has 6 goals from his 23 caps so far and is the 15/8 favourite to score against Slovakia at the weekend. Or 5/1 to do so as the game’s first scorer.

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Sweden vs Slovakia betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

SAN SEBASTIAN, SPAIN – FEBRUARY 21: Alexander Isak of Real Sociedad reacts during the La Liga Santander match between Real Sociedad and Deportivo Alaves at Estadio Anoeta on February 21, 2021 in San Sebastian, Spain. (Photo by Juan Manuel Serrano Arce/Getty Images)

Sweden vs Slovakia betting odds: More markets

Sweden vs Slovakia betting data – Form and H2H statistics

Sweden vs Slovakia form
l
Sweden vs Ukraine - 1:2
w
Sweden vs Poland - 3:2
w
Sweden vs Slovakia - 1:0
d
Spain vs Sweden - 0:0
w
Sweden vs Armenia - 3:1
Latest match form, last 5 games:
l
Slovakia vs Spain - 0:5
l
Sweden vs Slovakia - 1:0
w
Poland vs Slovakia - 1:2
d
Austria vs Slovakia - 0:0
d
Slovakia vs Bulgaria - 1:1
Last 5 games for Sweden
June 29, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Sweden 1 - 2 Ukraine
June 23, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Sweden 3 - 2 Poland
June 18, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Sweden 1 - 0 Slovakia
June 14, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Spain 0 - 0 Sweden
June 5, 2021 Int. Friendly Games 2021 Sweden 3 - 1 Armenia
Last 5 games for Slovakia
June 23, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Slovakia 0 - 5 Spain
June 18, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Sweden 1 - 0 Slovakia
June 14, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Poland 1 - 2 Slovakia
June 6, 2021 Int. Friendly Games 2021 Austria 0 - 0 Slovakia
June 1, 2021 Int. Friendly Games 2021 Slovakia 1 - 1 Bulgaria
Sweden vs Slovakia Euro Cup 2020 form
Sweden Slovakia
4 Matches played 3
2 Matches won 1
35 Goal attempts 20
12 Shots on goal 4
15 Shots off goal 9
20 Corner kicks 8
39% Average ball possession 46%
8 Shots blocked 7
6 Cards given 6
41 Free kicks 35
4 Offsides 5
1 Shots on post 0
1 Shots on bar 0
5 Goals by foot 1
5 Goals scored 2
4 Goals conceded 7
Sweden vs Slovakia statistics for most recent head to head matches
Sweden Slovakia
4 Matches 4
3 Home Matches 1
1 Away Matches 3
8 Total Goals 1
2 Average Goals Scored 0.25
2 Wins 0
0 Losses 2
2 Draws 2
Last 5 games & match results between Sweden and Slovakia
June 18, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Sweden 1 - 0 Slovakia
October 16, 2018 Int. Friendly Games 2018 Sweden 1 - 1 Slovakia
January 12, 2017 Int. Friendly Games 2017 Sweden 6 - 0 Slovakia
March 26, 2013 Int. Friendly Games 2013 Slovakia 0 - 0 Sweden

Sweden vs Slovakia betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

YEKATERINBURG, RUSSIA – JUNE 27: Albin Ekdal of Sweden celebrates victory following the 2018 FIFA World Cup Russia group F match between Mexico and Sweden at Ekaterinburg Arena on June 27, 2018 in Yekaterinburg, Russia. (Photo by Clive Rose/Getty Images)

Sweden vs Slovakia betting tips: Match preview

The second round of matches in Group E pairs together two teams in a good position to qualify from the group after positive results in their opening matches.

With Wojciech Szczesny in goal and Robert Lewandowski at the other end of the pitch tucking in any chances that come Poland’s way, the 21st ranked team in the world were considered a dark horse by some coming into this tournament.

However, Slovakia, who at 36th in the FIFA world rankings lag some way behind their opponents in Group E, caused an upset with a 1-2 win over Poland in their opening match.

It could be suggested there were given a helping hand by Szczesny’s early own-goal and Grzegorz Krychowiak’s red card on the hour-mark with the game still tied at 1-1. Expected goals of 1.43 to 0.42 in favour of Poland would also suggest their opponents created the better scoring chances in the game.

Major tournaments are defined by moments though. Which team can make the most of the opportunities they have and prevent their opposite number doing the same.

This brings us to Sweden versus Spain and the first goalless draw in the 2020 edition of the European Championships. It could be said the Sweden game plan worked perfectly. They prevented Spain from scoring while creating a big chance of their own to score and snatch the 3 points.

 

The reality though is that variance simply favoured them on the night. Spain created 5 big chances and probability suggests the vast majority of the time, the quality and volume of chances they created results in 2 or 3 goals being scored. It is likely, similar to Portugal versus Hungary, had they scored a first then the Swedish dam would have crumbled and further goals would have followed.

A game plan where an opponent can create 5 big chances to your 1 simply means you will invariably lose that match almost every time. We see results where forwards fail to take any of those chances hailed a ‘masterclass’ in the Premier League, such as when a Sam Allardyce side can snatch a point off one of the big boys.

It is simply a case of probability though. If the chances being created suggest a team lose a match 9 times out of 10, it is similar to tossing heads with a coin 3 times in a row at the first time of asking. If you manage to then do so, was that a case of luck or skill? Would you bet on yourself being able to readily repeat the task?

Sweden will need to take charge of the game here against Slovakia, with this being the most likely game in the group to pick up 3 points. It is more of a ‘must not lose’ than ‘must-win’ game still for Sweden though with Poland up next.

For Slovakia, a win sees them through to the knockout stages of the competition. A point is likely enough to get them through as one of the best 3rd placed sides. They will want to get something from this game before facing Spain in their final group game.

With not losing being the priority here for both teams, could this affect the dynamic of the match? We believe the game ends in a stalemate as a result.


Sweden vs Slovakia betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

STOCKHOLM, SWEDEN – JUNE 01: Dejan Kulusevski of Sweden poses during the official UEFA Euro 2020 media access day at on June 01, 2021 in STOCKHOLM, Sweden. (Photo by Jonathan Nackstrand/UEFA via Getty Images)

Sweden team news vs Slovakia

The Swedish camp confirmed on the 8th June that two of their three Italy-based players had tested positive for COVID-19.

Dejan Kulusevski (above), who plays for Juventus, as well as Bologna’s Mattias Svanberg will now isolate and rejoin the group when they receive a negative test. Blågult are hopeful the pair are back in contention for Sweden’s final group match for Poland.

Emil Krafth replaced Carl Mikael Lustig because of an injury 16 minutes before time against Spain. The Newcastle United right-back will be ready to come into the starting XI here should Lustig not recover in time for this match.

Kristoffer Olsson was also withdrawn late in the game due to an injury. Jens Cajuste, who replaced the FC Krasnodar midfielder, is the most likely to start in his place should Olsson still be suffering the effects here.

Swedish Squad in Full

Goalkeepers: Robin Olsen (Everton), Karl-Johan Johnsson (Copenhagen), Kristoffer Nordfeldt (Gençlerbirliği)
Defenders: Mikael Lustig (AIK), Victor Lindelöf (Manchester United), Andreas Granqvist ©(Helsingborgs IF), Pierre Bengtsson (Vejle BK), Ludwig Augustinsson (Werder Bremen), Filip Helander (Rangers), Emil Krafth (Newcastle United), Pontus Jansson (Brentford), Marcus Danielson (Dalian Professional)
Midfielders: Sebastian Larsson (AIK), Albin Ekdal (Sampdoria), Emil Forsberg (RB Leipzig), Gustav Svensson (Guangzhou City), Ken Sema (Watford), Viktor Claesson (Krasnodar), Mattias Svanberg (Bologna), Kristoffer Olsson (Krasnodar), Jens Cajuste (FC Midtjylland), Dejan Kulusevski (Juventus)
Forwards: Marcus Berg (Krasnodar), Alexander Isak (Real Sociedad), Robin Quaison (Mainz 05), Jordan Larsson (Spartak Moscow)

Poland v Slovakia - UEFA Euro 2020: Group E

SAINT PETERSBURG, RUSSIA – JUNE 14: Robert Lewandowski of Poland shoots whilst under pressure from Milan Skriniar of Slovakia during the UEFA Euro 2020 Championship Group E match between Poland and Slovakia at the Saint Petersburg Stadium on June 14, 2021 in Saint Petersburg, Russia. (Photo by Kirill Kudryavtsev – Pool/Getty Images)

Slovakia team news vs Sweden

Ivan Schranz wasn’t involved in the match against Poland due to an ankle problem. The 27-year-old forward is also a doubt for Friday’s match against Sweden.

Martin Koscelnik replaced Peter Pekarík 10 minutes from time against Poland due to an injury. Koscelnik, who can play at right-back or as a right-sided midfielder, is likely to start here should Hertha Berlin right-back Pekarík fail to recover in time.

Ondrej Duda also needed replacing late on, possibly due to cramp. Michal Duris and Tomas Suslov are the likely candidates to replace the Koln forward if required.

Slovakian Squad in Full

Goalkeepers: Martin Dúbravka (Newcastle United), Dušan Kuciak (Lechia Gdańsk), Marek Rodák (Fulham)
Defenders: Peter Pekarík (Hertha BSC), Denis Vavro (Huesca), Martin Valjent (Mallorca), Ľubomír Šatka (Lech Poznań), Milan Škriniar (Internazionale), Tomáš Hubočan (Omonia), Dávid Hancko (Sparta Prague), Martin Koscelník (Slovan Liberec)
Midfielders: Ján Greguš (Minnesota United FC), Vladimír Weiss (Slovan Bratislava), Ondrej Duda (1. FC Köln), Tomáš Suslov (Groningen), László Bénes (FC Augsburg), Patrik Hrošovský (Genk), Marek Hamšík ©(IFK Göteborg), Lukáš Haraslín (Sassuolo), Juraj Kucka (Parma), Stanislav Lobotka (Napoli), Róbert Mak (Ferencváros), Jakub Hromada (Slavia Prague)
Forwards: Róbert Boženík (Feyenoord), Michal Ďuriš (Omonia), Ivan Schranz (Jablonec)

Prediction: Sweden line-up vs Slovakia

Sweden's predicted XI to face Slovakia.

Sweden’s predicted XI to face Slovakia.

Prediction: Slovakia line-up vs Sweden

Slovakia's predicted XI to face Sweden.

Slovakia’s predicted XI to face Sweden.


Sweden vs Slovakia – Official videos

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This article was edited by Benjamin Newman.

Sweden vs Slovakia live streaming & betting tips FAQs

What time is kick off between Sweden vs Slovakia?
2:00 pm on Friday June 18, 2021 (UK Time)
What are the betting odds for Sweden vs Slovakia?
Sweden win 5/6, Draw 12/5, Slovakia win 15/4
What is the 101 Great Goals prediction for Sweden vs Slovakia?
101 Great Goals predicts: Sweden 2 - 2 Slovakia