Peru vs Paraguay betting tips
This article covers Peru vs Paraguay betting tips and predictions, and these are the betting odds.
o – Peru 19/10
o – Draw 2/1
o – Paraguay 17/10
Note: All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Peru vs Paraguay: Match details
Match: Peru vs Paraguay
Competition: Copa America
Date: July 2, 2021
Kick-off time: 10:00 pm, July 2, 2021 (UK time)
Stadium: Estádio Olímpico Pedro Ludovico
Betting prediction: Peru 2 – 1 Paraguay
Peru face Paraguay at the Estádio Olímpico Pedro Ludovico in Goiânia, Brazil on Friday for this Copa América 2021 Quarter Final match.
Paraguay have a slight advantage in the head-to-head with 13 wins to Peru’s 12. However, Los Incas are unbeaten in the last 7 encounters between them which includes 6 victories and a draw.
Los Guaraníes also have the stronger record in the 6 previous matches between them in Copa América tournaments. The first 5 meetings between them were all in the group stages, resulting in 3 victories for Paraguay and 2 draws.
The most recent Copa América match between them was the Third Place Play-Off in 2015 with Peru picking up their first Copa win over Paraguay.
The Peruvians are the form side coming into the match and Paraguay are missing their star player.
Peru vs Paraguay: Recommended bets
2-0 Peru win. Peru’s last victory over Paraguay in this competition was a 2-0 victory in Third Place Play-Off in 2015.
0-1 Paraguay win. Paraguay’s last win against Peru in the Copa América came in the 1999 Copa with a 1-0 win.
2-2 Draw. These sides played out an entertaining 2-2 draw when they last met for a World Cup 2022 Qualifier back in October.
Under 2.5 goals. Peru vs Paraguay has been a low scoring game in recent years with 9 of the last 13 matches producing under 2.5 goal games. Los Guaraníes’ last 3 matches this Copa have all been under 2.5 goal games also.
Peru vs Paraguay: What are the betting odds?
Los Incas are the form team coming into the match having picked up 7 points from 9 from their final 3 group games. Despite this, Peru are the 21/10 underdogs to win here against Paraguay.
These sides played each other to a stalemate when they met back in October. They have also drawn on 2 of the last 4 occasions when they have met in the Copa América. Odds of 21/10 are available if you see Peru and Paraguay cancelling each other out on Friday.
The Guaraníes lost 2 of their final 3 group games coming into this match. Given the quality of opponents faced though, it is no surprise to see them start as the 29/20 favourite for the win here.
Peru vs Paraguay – recent form and head to head statistics
Brazil vs Peru - 2:0
Peru vs Venezuela - 1:0
Peru vs Uruguay - 1:1
Colombia vs Peru - 3:2
Brazil vs Peru - 1:0
|Latest match form, last 5 games:||
Paraguay vs Venezuela - 2:1
Paraguay vs Colombia - 1:1
Ecuador vs Paraguay - 2:0
Peru vs Paraguay - 3:3
Uruguay vs Paraguay - 1:0
|September 10, 2021||WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022||Brazil||2 - 0||Peru|
|September 6, 2021||WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022||Peru||1 - 0||Venezuela|
|September 3, 2021||WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022||Peru||1 - 1||Uruguay|
|July 10, 2021||Copa America 2021||Colombia||3 - 2||Peru|
|July 5, 2021||Copa America 2021||Brazil||1 - 0||Peru|
|September 9, 2021||WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022||Paraguay||2 - 1||Venezuela|
|September 5, 2021||WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022||Paraguay||1 - 1||Colombia|
|September 2, 2021||WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022||Ecuador||2 - 0||Paraguay|
|July 2, 2021||Copa America 2021||Peru||3 - 3||Paraguay|
|June 29, 2021||Copa America 2021||Uruguay||1 - 0||Paraguay|
|22||Shots on goal||16|
|27||Shots off goal||24|
|43%||Average ball possession||52%|
|11||Goals by foot||10|
|1||Goals by head||1|
|1.87||Average Goals Scored||1.07|
|July 2, 2021||Copa America 2021||Peru||3 - 3||Paraguay|
|October 8, 2020||WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022||Paraguay||2 - 2||Peru|
|March 23, 2019||Int. Friendly Games 2019||Peru||1 - 0||Paraguay|
|June 8, 2017||Int. Friendly Games 2017||Peru||1 - 0||Paraguay|
|November 10, 2016||World Cup Qualification 2018||Paraguay||1 - 4||Peru|
Peru vs Paraguay: Match preview
The focus coming into this match has been on Miguel Almiron (above). The 27-year-old Newcastle United forward is the ‘big-name’ in this Paraguay team and is one of only three players in their squad plying their trade in Europe’s top-5 leagues. Omar Alderete of Hertha in the Bundesliga and Fabián Balbuena of West Ham in the Premier League are the others.
While he hasn’t been much of a goalscorer for Paraguay, his ability to carry the ball, dribble past defenders, break lines and progress the ball up the pitch into the final 3rd are crucial to their attacking system.
However, Paraguay still have plenty of talented players aside from Almiron. Alejandro Romero Gamarra has created 12 chances this Copa; tied #1 with Neymar despite playing fewer minutes than the Brazilian. The attacking midfielder seems the prime candidate to take over from Almiron playing behind the forwards here.
Striker Gabriel Ávalos has created 2 big chances this tournament, with Neymar again being the only player to have created more than the 30-year-old Argentinos Juniors forward.
Angel Romero not only leads the scoring charts for Paraguay, the 28-year-old forward also won back possession 7 times in the opponent’s final 3rd this tournament. Once again, Neymar is the only other player to match the San Lorenzo forward’s ability to press and regain the ball close to the opponent’s goal this tournament.
While Paraguay’s attacking prowess can be highlighted in the stats for this tournament, Peru’s defensive nature is evident at the other end of the pitch.
At 3.8 saves per match, they have the busiest goalkeeper remaining in the competition. Their 46.5% possession is also the lowest of the quarter-finalists. They also lead in clearances of all the remaining sides, averaging 18.5 per match. Only Colombia make more tackles per match than Peru’s 11.
This sets the match up for the classic battle of possession vs low-block and counter-attack. Can Paraguay make the possession count without their star player though?
Peru team news vs Paraguay
Christian Ramos was suspended for the final group match against Venezuela having accumulated 2 yellow cards in the previous matches. Miguel Araujo, who replaced him, is expected to make way for their most experienced central defender.
Peru have named a largely settled side in the tournament so far with only 2 changes from the XI that started the opening match. Alexander Callens has established himself as Ramos’ partner in defence after a poor showing from Luis Abram in the 4-0 defeat against Brazil.
At left-back, after missing the opening two matches of the tournament, Miguel Trauco has made the left-back spot his own replacing Marcos Lopez.
Gerald Tavara, André Carrillo, Pedro Gallese and Yotún all picked up 1 yellow card in the group stages. Another yellow card here would see them sit out Peru’s semi-final should they advance further in the competition.
However, should they avoid booking here, their yellow cards would be cleared for the semi-final and final stage of the competition.
Peruvian Squad in Full
Goalkeepers: Pedro Gallese © (Orlando City), Carlos Cáceda (Melgar), José Carvallo (Universitario)
Defenders: Luis Abram (Vélez Sarsfield), Aldo Corzo (Universitario), Anderson Santamaría (Atlas), Miguel Araujo (Emmen), Miguel Trauco (Saint-Étienne), Christian Ramos (Universidad César Vallejo), Marcos López (San Jose Earthquakes), Alexander Callens (New York City), Renzo Garcés (Universidad César Vallejo), Jhilmar Lora (Sporting Cristal)
Midfielders: Martín Távara (Sporting Cristal), Sergio Peña (Emmen), Christian Cueva (Arabia Al-Fateh), Renato Tapia (Celta Vigo), Wilder Cartagena (Godoy Cruz), André Carrillo (Arabia Al-Hilal), Yoshimar Yotún (Cruz Azul), Alexis Arias (Melgar), Raziel García (Cienciano)
Forwards: Alex Valera (Universitario), Gianluca Lapadula (Benevento), Luis Iberico (Melgar), Santiago Ormeño (León)
Paraguay team news vs Peru
The big news from the Paraguayan camp is the injury to Miguel Almiron. Almiron left the field in tears after suffering a hamstring injury against Uruguay on Monday night.
Paraguay have now issued an update on Almiron ahead of Friday’s game confirming the 27-year-old has suffered swelling to the muscle and will be unavailable against Peru.
Antonio Bareiro will miss the remainder of the tournament for Paraguay after rupturing his cruciate ligament. The 32-year-old right-winger suffered the injury in his substitute appearance against Chile and will now be out until 2022 at the earliest.
No fewer than 7 Paraguayan players are walking the suspension tightrope in this match. Angel Lucena, Alberto Espínola, Gustavo Gómez, Héctor Martínez, Júnior Alonso, Omar Alderete and Santiago Arzamendia all have a yellow card carried over from the group stages.
Paraguayan Squad in Full
Goalkeepers: Antony Silva (Puebla), Alfredo Aguilar (Olimpia), Gerardo Ortíz (Once Caldas)
Defenders: Robert Rojas (River Plate), Omar Alderete (Hertha BSC), Fabián Balbuena (West Ham United), Júnior Alonso (Atlético Mineiro), Alberto Espínola (Cerro Porteño), Gustavo Gómez © (Palmeiras), Santiago Arzamendia (Cerro Porteño), David Martínez (River Plate)
Midfielders: Gastón Giménez (Chicago Fire), Richard Sánchez (América), Miguel Almirón (Newcastle United), Andrés Cubas (Nîmes), Ángel Cardozo (Cerro Porteño), Óscar Romero (San Lorenzo), Mathías Villasanti (Cerro Porteño), Braian Ojeda (Olimpia), Robert Piris Da Motta (Flamengo), Jorge Morel (Lanús)
Forwards: Carlos González (UANL), Ángel Romero (San Lorenzo), Gabriel Ávalos (Argentinos Juniors), Alejandro Romero Gamarra (Al-Taawoun), Braian Samudio (Toluca), Antonio Bareiro (Libertad), Julio Enciso (Libertad)
Predicted Peru line-up vs Paraguay
Predicted Paraguay line-up vs Peru
Peru vs Paraguay – Official videos
– 101 Great Goals may earn commission from links on this page. Our content is always original. Note that all of our reviewers are compensated for contributing content to 101 Great Goals. Learn more.
This article was edited by Benjamin Newman.