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Italy vs Spain betting tips: Nations League semi-final preview, predictions and odds

Italy vs Spain betting tips: Nations League semi-final preview, predictions and odds
Match ended
Show players
Oyarzabal, Mikel
Roberto, Sergi
Pellegrini, Lorenzo
Locatelli, Manuel
Sarabia, Pablo
Salvatierra, Bryan
Merino, Mikel
Barella, Nicolo
Calabria, Davide
Pino, Yeremi
Sarabia, Pablo
Pellegrini, Lorenzo
Insigne, Lorenzo
Kean, Moise
Verratti, Marco
Locatelli, Manuel
Torres, Ferran
Pino, Yeremi
Bernardeschi, Federico
Chiellini, Giorgio
Torres, Ferran
Azpilicueta, Cesar
Bonucci, Leonardo
Torres, Ferran

Italy vs Spain betting tips

This article covers Italy vs Spain betting tips and predictions, and these are the betting odds.

Italy 13/10

Draw 21/10

Spain 9/4

Note: All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Italy vs Spain: Match details

Match: Italy vs Spain

Competition: UEFA Nations League semi-final

Date: Wednesday 6 October 2021

Kick-off time: 7:45 pm, (UK)

Stadium: San Siro

Betting prediction: Italy 2-0 Spain

Nations League live streaming

LAUSANNE, SWITZERLAND – JANUARY 24: Feature of the UEFA Nations League logo during the UEFA Nations League Draw 2018 at Swiss Tech Convention Center on January 24, 2018 in Lausanne, Switzerland. (Photo by Robert Hradil/Getty Images)

Italy vs Spain: Recommended bets

Both teams to score NO is 4/5.

Italy to win in 90 minutes and both teams to score NO is 11/4.

Federico Chiesa is 13/2 to open the scoring and 14/5 to net anytime.

Ferran Torres is 6/1 to break the deadlock and 13/5 to score in 90 minutes.

Italy vs Spain: What are the betting odds?

Italy vs Spain – recent form and head to head statistics

Italy vs Spain form
Northern Ireland vs Italy - 0:0
Italy vs Switzerland - 1:1
Italy vs Belgium - 2:1
Italy vs Spain - 1:2
Italy vs Lithuania - 5:0
Latest match form, last 5 games:
Spain vs Sweden - 1:0
Greece vs Spain - 0:1
Spain vs France - 1:2
Italy vs Spain - 1:2
Kosovo vs Spain - 0:2
Last 5 games for Italy
November 15, 2021 WC Qualification, UEFA 2022 Northern Ireland 0  - 0 Italy
November 12, 2021 WC Qualification, UEFA 2022 Italy 1  - 1 Switzerland
October 10, 2021 UEFA Nations League 20/21 Italy 2  - 1 Belgium
October 6, 2021 UEFA Nations League 20/21 Italy 1  - 2 Spain
September 8, 2021 WC Qualification, UEFA 2022 Italy 5  - 0 Lithuania
Last 5 games for Spain
November 14, 2021 WC Qualification, UEFA 2022 Spain 1  - 0 Sweden
November 11, 2021 WC Qualification, UEFA 2022 Greece 0  - 1 Spain
October 10, 2021 UEFA Nations League 20/21 Spain 1  - 2 France
October 6, 2021 UEFA Nations League 20/21 Italy 1  - 2 Spain
September 8, 2021 WC Qualification, UEFA 2022 Kosovo 0  - 2 Spain
Italy vs Spain UEFA Nations League 20/21 form
Italy Spain
8 Matches played 8
4 Matches won 4
102 Goal attempts 121
31 Shots on goal 51
48 Shots off goal 42
49 Corner kicks 58
54% Average ball possession 64%
23 Shots blocked 28
19 Cards given 7
117 Free kicks 112
26 Offsides 9
3 Shots on bar 1
9 Goals by foot 12
1 Goals by head 4
10 Goals scored 16
5 Goals conceded 6
0 Shots on post 1
Italy vs Spain statistics for most recent head to head matches
Italy Spain
17 Matches 17
11 Home Matches 6
6 Away Matches 11
25 Total Goals 30
1.47 Average Goals Scored 1.76
5 Wins 4
4 Losses 5
8 Draws 8
Last 5 games & match results between Italy and Spain
October 6, 2021 UEFA Nations League 20/21 Italy 1  - 2 Spain
July 6, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Italy 1  - 1 Spain
September 2, 2017 World Cup 2018, Qualification, UEFA Spain 3  - 0 Italy
October 6, 2016 World Cup 2018, Qualification, UEFA Italy 1  - 1 Spain
June 27, 2016 European Championship 2016 Italy 2  - 0 Spain

Italy vs Spain: Match preview

Italy vs Spain betting tips: Nations League semi-final preview, predictions and odds

LONDON, ENGLAND – JULY 06: Jorginho of Italy celebrates scoring their sides winning penalty in the penalty shoot out during the UEFA Euro 2020 Championship Semi-final match between Italy and Spain at Wembley Stadium on July 06, 2021 in London, England. (Photo by Claudio Villa/Getty Images)

After winning the European Championships in the summer, will Italy secure a second piece of silverware in the space of just three months?

In July, Gli Azzurri ended their 53-year wait to lift the Henri Delaunay Trophy.

They beat Turkey, Switzerland, Wales, Austria and Belgium before two penalty shootout victories at Wembley, first over Spain and then against England in the final.

Gianluigi Donnarumma was the hero, saving three spot-kicks across the two shootouts, so much so that he was named player of the tournament.

In total, that was Italy’s sixth major honour having also won the World Cup on four occasions, including in Spain in 1982 and, more recently, in 2006.

Now, they’re looking to repeat what Portugal archived in 2019 by winning the Nations League Finals on home soil as reigning European Champions.

Roberto Mancini’s side could hardly be in better form coming into this competition.

To get here, Gli Azzurri won three and drew three in the group stages in games against Netherlands, Poland and Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Since then, they’ve amassed 14 points from six World Cup qualifiers but did slip up twice last month.

A surprise 1-1 draw with strugglers Bulgaria in Florence was followed by a goalless game in Switzerland in which Jorginho had a penalty saved.

This leaves Italy top of Group C, six points above the Swiss who have two games in hand.

Those two meet on matchday nine at Stadio Olimpico in, what could prove to be, a straight shootout for qualification.

Overall, they’re unbeaten in 37 internationals, breaking the world-record, last losing any game in September 2018.

That was a 1-0 defeat to Portugal at Estádio da Luz in the inaugural Nations League group phase.

Before that crucial qualifier though, Mancini has his eyes set on extending that unbeaten run and thereby lifting some more silverware.

Italy last beat Spain in a competitive game on home soil in a quarter-final replay at the 1934 World Cup.

Giuseppe Meazza got the only goal that day and, as it happens, this match will be played at the stadium that is named after him.

So, will it be the European Champions who reach the UEFA Nations League Final with a victory at San Siro?

Will Spain reach the final?

Italy vs Spain betting tips: Nations League semi-final preview, predictions and odds

SEVILLE, SPAIN – JUNE 23: Aymeric Laporte of Spain celebrates after scoring their side’s second goal during the UEFA Euro 2020 Championship Group E match between Slovakia and Spain at Estadio La Cartuja on June 23, 2021 in Seville, Spain. (Photo by Aitor Alcalde – UEFA/UEFA via Getty Images)

As for Spain, they’re looking to exact some revenge on the side that ended their European dreams just 92 days ago.

La Roja reached the semi-finals of Euro 2020, overcoming Sweden, Poland, Slovakia, Croatia and Switzerland.

In the last four, they held Italy to a 1-1 draw at Wembley but Dani Olmo and Álvaro Morata missed in the shootout as Spain bowed out.

Despite not going all the way, this was seen as a real success for Luis Enrique’s side who went into the tournament with very low expectations.

Of course, Spain have won four major tournaments in the past including three on the bounce between 2008 and 2012.

Now, they’re looking to rediscover that winning feeling.

To book their ticket to this tournament, Spain topped Group A4, above Germany, Ukraine and Switzerland.

They did actually lose on matchday four of the group phase when they were on the wrong end of a smash-and-grab 1-0 in Kyiv.

Nevertheless, la Roja qualified in some style, demolishing Germany 6-0 at Estadio de La Cartuja in the final game.

Morata, Rodri and Mikel Oyarzabal all scoring while Ferran Torres bagged a hat-trick in Germany’s biggest defeat since 1931.

In 2021, like their hosts, Spain have found World Cup qualifying far from straight forward.

On matchday one, Greece left Granada with a 1-1 draw before, last month, they suffered a surprise 2-1 defeat in Sweden.

So, similarly to Italy, Spain could face a straight-shootout for qualification when the Swedes visit Seville on the tenth and final matchday.

Before then, can they beat their great rivals?

Since 2008, these two nations have met eight times in competitive fixtures, six at tournaments, with Spain largely dominating.

La Roja’s only defeats came in the Euro 2016 round of 16 and then, as mentioned, at this summer’s European Championships semi-finals.

Meanwhile Spain beat Italy in the quarter-finals of Euro 2008, the Euro 2012 Final, the 2013 Confederations Cup semis and pipped them in World Cup 2018 qualifying.

Will Spain knock out the hosts and reach Sunday’s UEFA Nations League Final against either France or Belgium?

Italy team news vs Spain

Italy vs Spain betting tips: Nations League semi-final preview, predictions and odds

Italy’s midfielder Federico Chiesa (L) celebrates after scoring the first goal during the UEFA EURO 2020 round of 16 football match between Italy and Austria at Wembley Stadium in London on June 26, 2021. (Photo by Frank Augstein / POOL / AFP) (Photo by FRANK AUGSTEIN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

Roberto Mancini rotated his squad during September’s trio of fixtures but will deploy his best available XI here.

He may not wear the number one but Gianluigi Donnarumma certainly is in metaphorical terms.

Donnarumma has started the last 19 competitive internationals and will start once more, despite having only played four times for new club PSG so far.

At centre-back will be the great warriors of Leonardo Bonucci and captain Giorgio Chiellini.

They have 111 and 113 international caps to their name, losing just four competitive internationals in which they’ve both featured.

These have come against Brazil, Uruguay, Sweden and Spain, the latter a 4-0 drubbing in the Final of Euro 2012.

Leonardo Spinazzola’s injury picked up in the Euro 2020 quarter-finals means he’s still out so Emerson Palmieri will continue at left-back.

In midfield, having won the Champions League, Super Cup and the Euros in 2021, Jorginho will be looking to add a fourth UEFA title to his collection.

The Chelsea man will continue as the midfield conductor with Marco Verratti and Nicolò Barella further forward in this 4-3-3.

Verratti is only just back after injury but was outstanding in Paris Saint-Germain’s 2-0 win over Manchester City a week ago.

Manuel Locatelli, who deputise for the PSG man at the start of the Euros, will once again be the odd man out.

The attack could feature the same pair who started the Euros Final of Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Chiesa.

Both scored twice at the tournament with Insigne bagging in a beauty against Belgium, while Cheisa netted both at Wembley, against both Austria and Spain.

Mancini might have to relay on these two for goals once again.

That’s because first-choice centre-forward, Ciro Immobile, and his natural deputy Andrea Belotti are both injured.

So, Sassuolo’s Giacomo Raspadori and Moise Kean, who’s returned to Juventus this season, are the natural options through the middle.

Both scored against Lithuania in Italy’s last game with Kean netting twice in Reggio Emilia.

What Mancini might do though is to play Cheisa up-front, where he’s been filling in for Juve, with Federico Bernardeschi starting on the right.

Will the hosts be celebrating a victory at San Siro?

Spain team news vs Italy

Italy vs Spain betting tips: Nations League semi-final preview, predictions and odds

Carlos Soler celebrates scoring during the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 qualification Group B football match between Sweden and Spain, at the Friends Arena in Solna, Sweden on September 2, 2021. (Photo by Jonathan NACKSTRAND / AFP) (Photo by JONATHAN NACKSTRAND/AFP via Getty Images)

As for Spain, Luis Enrique’s side isn’t quite so settled and he has more big decisions to make, one of which is in goal.

Since a poor showing at World Cup 2018, David de Gea has started just 11 competitive internationals but hasn’t featured in any of the last 14.

So, despite de Gea’s outstanding form at Manchester United this season, Enrique could stick with Athletic Club’s Unai Simón.

In defence, Sergio Ramos, who has a whopping 180 caps to his name, hasn’t played any football for anyone since 5 May.

Without him, Aymeric Laporte, who switched allegiance from France earlier this year, could partner Pau Torres at centre-back.

Iñigo Martínez and Eric García, who’s had a nightmare start at Barcelona getting sent of twice in six appearances, are the alternatives.

At left-back, Jordi Alba and José Luis Gayà are injured so Marcos Alonso could start, getting the nod over Sergio Reguilón.

His Chelsea colleague, César Azpilicueta, could be on the other side as Enrique’s preferred right-back choice, Marcos Llorente, is out with injury.

In midfield, Pedri, who represented Spain at both Euro 2020 and the Olympic Games this summer, has been given this week off.

But, another Barça wonder-kid Gavi has been given his senior call-up.

The 17 year old would become Spain’s youngest ever player should he feature at this tournament, breaking Ángel Zubieta’s record set in 1936.

His club team-mate Sergio Busquets and Atlético’s Koke are almost guaranteed starters but West Ham’s Pablo Fornals could also be in the XI.

Unusually for Spain, they’re short of midfield options with Pedri, Llorente, Thiago, Fabián Ruiz, Dani Olmo, Carlos Soler and Brais Méndez all unavailable.

The other options, who are as yet unmentioned, are Manchester City Rodri, Mikel Merino and Tottenham’s Bryan Gil.

In attack, they’re without Ansu Fati, Gerard Moreno and Álvaro Morata, the latter is Spain’s leading scorer of all time at European Championships.

Without them, Pablo Sarabia, Ferran Torres and Mikel Oyarzabal are likely to line-up as the attacking trio.

Torres bagged a hat-trick in the 6-0 drubbing of Germany in the group phase back in November.

Before this, the last Spaniards to net a competitive international treble were Fernando Torres and David Villa, both coming against Tahiti at the 2013 Confederations Cup.

Will this depleted Spain side knock out Italy at San Siro?

Predicted Italy line-up vs Spain

Predicted Italy line-up vs Spain

Predicted Spain line-up vs Italy

Predicted Spain line-up vs Italy

Highlights of Italy 1-1 Spain

Highlights of Bosnia & Herzegovina 0-2 Italy

Highlights of Italy 2-0 Poland

Highlights of Netherlands 0-1 Italy

Highlights of Spain 6-0 Germany

Highlights of Spain 1-0 Switzerland

Highlights of Spain 4-0 Ukraine

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Italy vs Spain betting tips: UEFA Nations League semi-final preview, predictions and odds FAQs

When does Italy vs Spain kick off?

19:45 (UK), Wednesday 6 October 2021.

What is the best way to watch Italy vs Spain?

USA: Fubo TV. UK: Bet365.

What is the 101 Great Goals prediction for Italy vs Spain?

Italy 2-0 Spain.

Click here to bet on Italy vs Spain with bet365!