England vs Germany betting odds
This article covers England vs Germany betting tips and Euro 2020 predictions, and these are the betting odds.
o – England 29/20
o – Draw 23/10
o – Germany 19/10
Note: All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
England vs Germany betting tips: Win probabilities
At the time of writing, England have the edge with a 40% win probability.
Germany have a 31% chance of winning this last-16 tie.
The draw is valued at 29%.
Betting prediction: England 1 – 1 Germany
England welcome Germany to Wembley Stadium in London on Tuesday for this Euro 2020 Round of 16 knockout match. The winner of this match will meet either Sweden or Ukraine in the quarter-finals on Saturday.
The Three Lions come into this match with the slight upper hand in the head-to-head with 16 wins to Germany’s 15 from the 36 international matches between them. However, Germany have 4 wins to England’s 2 from matches in major tournaments.
Since the 1990s, half the matches between them at major tournaments have finished 1-1 after 90 minutes.
With five of the seven matches in major tournaments between these nations finishing all square after 90 minutes, the chances of this match needing extra time and possibly even penalties is high.
Germany have an excellent record at Wembley and haven’t lost a match here against England since the 1970s. Their last 7 visits here have produced 5 wins and 2 draws, with the 1-1 draw at Euro 96 ultimately being won on penalties by Germany.
Recommended England vs Germany betting tips
2-0 England win. England’s last victory over Germany at Wembley came back in 1975 by a scoreline of 2-0 with Colin Bell and Malcolm Macdonald getting the goals.
0-0 draw. The last time these sides met back in 2017 was also at Wembley and finished 0-0. England have already had a goalless draw in this competition, drawing 0-0 with Scotland here on 18th June.
0-1 Germany win. Germany have won 5 of their last 7 visits to Wembley, 3 of which were by a 0-1 scoreline.
Under 2.5 goals. England vs Germany at Wembley has often been a low scoring game with 5 of the last 6 matches here producing under 2.5 goal games.
Harry Kane to score anytime. Much has been said of Harry Kane’s slow start to this competition. Expectations were high after winning the Golden Boot award at the 2018 World Cup in Russia and his 33 goals in all competitions for Spurs last season.
However, Kane (pictured below) has just 2 goals from his last 12 England caps and is currently 0 for 7 across Euro 2016 and Euro 2020. But the 27-year-old forward scored in his only previous appearance against Germany.
England vs Germany betting odds: More markets
England vs Germany betting data – Form and H2H statistics
Poland vs England - 1:1
England vs Andorra - 4:0
Hungary vs England - 0:4
Italy vs England - 1:1
England vs Denmark - 2:1
|Latest match form, last 5 games:||
Iceland vs Germany - 0:4
Germany vs Armenia - 6:0
Liechtenstein vs Germany - 0:2
England vs Germany - 2:0
Germany vs Hungary - 2:2
|September 8, 2021||WC Qualification, UEFA 2022||Poland||1 - 1||England|
|September 5, 2021||WC Qualification, UEFA 2022||England||4 - 0||Andorra|
|September 2, 2021||WC Qualification, UEFA 2022||Hungary||0 - 4||England|
|July 11, 2021||Euro Cup 2020||Italy||1 - 1||England|
|July 7, 2021||Euro Cup 2020||England||2 - 1||Denmark|
|September 8, 2021||WC Qualification, UEFA 2022||Iceland||0 - 4||Germany|
|September 5, 2021||WC Qualification, UEFA 2022||Germany||6 - 0||Armenia|
|September 2, 2021||WC Qualification, UEFA 2022||Liechtenstein||0 - 2||Germany|
|June 29, 2021||Euro Cup 2020||England||2 - 0||Germany|
|June 23, 2021||Euro Cup 2020||Germany||2 - 2||Hungary|
|30||Shots on goal||17|
|23||Shots off goal||20|
|52%||Average ball possession||59%|
|2||Shots on bar||2|
|7||Goals by foot||2|
|5||Goals by head||2|
|0||Shots on post||1|
|1.38||Average Goals Scored||1.75|
|June 29, 2021||Euro Cup 2020||England||2 - 0||Germany|
|November 10, 2017||Int. Friendly Games 2017||England||0 - 0||Germany|
|March 22, 2017||Int. Friendly Games 2017||Germany||1 - 0||England|
|March 26, 2016||Int. Friendly Games 2016||Germany||2 - 3||England|
|November 19, 2013||Int. Friendly Games 2013||England||0 - 1||Germany|
England vs Germany betting tips: Match preview
‘It’s Coming Home’ has made a resurgence in England to coincide with the Three Lions’ build-up as contenders for Euro 2020.
The song was first released in 1996 and coincided with England losing by penalty shootout to Germany at Wembley in the semi-finals of Euro 1996. Its re-release in 1998 coincided with England losing by penalty shootout to their other fierce rivals, Argentina, again by a penalty shootout in the Round of 16.
Another comeback for the song in 2010 saw England fall to a humiliating 4-1 defeat in South Africa to Germany in the Round of 16. So, the omens aren’t great for facing Germany once again in the Round of 16 of a major competition with the hugely popular song ringing out.
Do Germany have the edge?
In truth, England have struggled against their greatest footballing rival ever since that controversial 1966 World Cup win. They have met 4 times in the knock-out rounds of major tournaments since then, with Germany progressing on all 4 occasions.
England’s only victory in a major tournament over Germany since then was a 1-0 win in the group stages of Euro 2000. The tournament in which both England and Germany were eliminated at the group stages below both Romania and Portugal.
However, a lot has changed since then for both nations. Germany, with Joachim Löw at the helm for the last 15 years, have reached the final of 3 major tournaments, with a World Cup win in 2014 to show for it.
Many believe England are at the start of a similar golden era, with a horde of young attacking talent coming through. Although, that is yet to translate into attacking performances and goals in this tournament, with England having the fewest shots and goals in the tournament of all remaining teams. Only Finland and Hungary had fewer shots in the group stages with only Scotland, Turkey and Finland scoring fewer goals. Raheem Sterling is the only player to get on the scoresheet for the Three Lions so far in this tournament.
“That’s something we definitely need to take into the game on Tuesday. Yes, we’d like to score more goals but we’ve got world-class forwards, world-class players all in the forward positions and we know that if we create chances they are going to score goals. So, I’m not too concerned about that.”
Jordan Henderson, Liverpool and England player
Focus on Germany’s forwards
A lot has also been made of the goalscoring prowess of Germany’s forwards. Timo Werner’s finishing became a running joke on social media last season after struggling for Chelsea in his first season after a big-money move from Bundesliga side Leipzig. His club and country teammate, Kai Havertz, also took a lot of criticism but ultimately had the last laugh, scoring the crucial goal in the Champions League final against Manchester City. Havertz is the only German forward to get on the scoresheet so far this tournament.
Kevin Volland has just 1 international goal from his 13 caps to date. Leroy Sané is considered more a creator than a scorer by many and has just 2 goals in the last 2 years for Germany. Thomas Müller has just 3 goals in 5 years for Germany, although he has only 22 caps in that time after being excluded by Löw for 2 years prior to this tournament.
Serge Gnabry is perhaps the biggest disappointment though. After exploding onto the scene with 13 goals in his first 13 caps, including 9 goals from 8 appearances in 2019, he has seriously gone off the boil. Gnabry has just 3 goals from his last 12 caps over the last 2 years. He has managed just 4 shots so far in the competition, getting just 1 on target. The one on target being a poor effort from the edge of the box after a counter-attack against Portugal.
Perhaps returning to his favourite hunting ground of London will inspire a better performance from Gnabry here. The 25-year-old forward has 6 goals in his 2 appearances in London, which includes sticking 4 goals past Spurs here in 2019.
“It’s true that things have gone well for me in the past. I have a lot of friends there and very much look forward to the game. I have never played at Wembley so I am extremely excited.”
Serge Gnabry, Bayern Munich and Germany player
England team news vs Germany
Dean Henderson withdrew from the England squad last week due to a hip injury. Aaron Ramsdale has been called in as a replacement.
Ben Chilwell and Mason Mount remain in quarantine having come in contact with their club team mate Billy Gilmore after England’s match against Scotland on 18th June. The pair are hopeful their quarantine period will end the day before the Germany match. However, having trained separately from the group in the buildup to the match, it is unlikely either will start against Die Mannschaft.
Harry Maguire didn’t take part in training after the Czech Republic match. After playing his first game for 44 days against the Czech Republic, England are trying to manage his workload to ensure he is available for the rest of the tournament. Maguire is expected to start here.
John Stones was withdrawn after 79 minutes of the match against the Czech Republic on Tuesday. However, it seems the decision to do so was down to fatigue rather than injury. Therefore, he is expected to resume his partnership with Maguire against Germany.
Phil Foden (above) is the only English player to carry a yellow card over from the group stages of the competition. Should Foden receive a booking here and England beat Germany, he would be suspended for England’s quarter-final match.
English Squad in Full
Goalkeepers: Jordan Pickford (Everton), Aaron Ramsdale (Sheffield United), Sam Johnstone (West Bromwich Albion)
Defenders: Kyle Walker (Manchester City), Luke Shaw (Manchester United), John Stones (Manchester City), Harry Maguire (Manchester United), Kieran Trippier (Atlético Madrid), Tyrone Mings (Aston Villa), Conor Coady (Wolverhampton Wanderers), Ben Chilwell (Chelsea), Ben White (Brighton & Hove Albion), Reece James (Chelsea)
Midfielders: Declan Rice (West Ham United), Jordan Henderson (Liverpool), Kalvin Phillips (Leeds United), Mason Mount (Chelsea), Jude Bellingham (Borussia Dortmund)
Forwards: Jack Grealish (Aston Villa), Harry Kane© (Tottenham Hotspur), Raheem Sterling (Manchester City), Marcus Rashford (Manchester United), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Everton), Jadon Sancho (Borussia Dortmund), Phil Foden (Manchester City), Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)
Germany team news vs England
Lukas Klostermann is still struggling with the thigh injury that kept him out of all 3 group matches for Germany.
Thomas Müller (above) suffered an injury to his right knee in the match against Portugal. As a result, he didn’t start the match against Hungary and only managed a 23-minute cameo from the bench. Müller is expected to be restored to the starting line-up here in place of Leroy Sané.
The rest of the starting line-up picks itself, with the other 10 players that started against Hungary having started all 3 group games for Germany.
Joshua Kimmich, Kai Havertz, Matthias Ginter, Ilkay Gündogan and Leroy Sané all come into this match knowing a yellow card here would keep them out of the quarter-finals, should Germany progress further in the tournament.
German Squad in Full
Goalkeepers: Manuel Neuer© (Bayern Munich), Bernd Leno (Arsenal), Kevin Trapp (Eintracht Frankfurt)
Defenders: Antonio Rüdiger (Chelsea), Marcel Halstenberg (RB Leipzig), Matthias Ginter (Borussia Mönchengladbach), Mats Hummels (Borussia Dortmund), Niklas Süle (Bayern Munich), Lukas Klostermann (RB Leipzig), Robin Gosens (Atalanta), Emre Can (Borussia Dortmund), Robin Koch (Leeds United), Christian Günter (SC Freiburg)
Midfielders: Joshua Kimmich (Bayern Munich), Toni Kroos (Real Madrid), Serge Gnabry (Bayern Munich), Jonas Hofmann (Borussia Mönchengladbach), Jamal Musiala (Bayern Munich), Florian Neuhaus (Borussia Mönchengladbach), Leon Goretzka (Bayern Munich), Leroy Sané (Bayern Munich), İlkay Gündoğan (Manchester City)
Forwards: Kevin Volland (Monaco), Kai Havertz (Chelsea), Timo Werner (Chelsea), Thomas Müller (Bayern Munich)
Prediction: England line-up vs Germany
Prediction: Germany line-up vs England
England vs Germany – Official videos
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This article was edited by Benjamin Newman.