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Croatia vs Scotland betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

Croatia vs Scotland betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds
Croatia
3
-
1
Scotland
Match ended
Show players
84'
O'Donnell, Stephen
Patterson, Nathan
84'
Adams, Che
Nisbet, Kevin
Perisic, Ivan
Rebic, Ante
81'
Perisic, Ivan
77'
Vlasic, Nikola
Ivanusec, Luka
76'
Gvardiol, Josko
Barisic, Borna
70'
Petkovic, Bruno
Kramaric, Andrej
70'
70'
Armstrong, Stuart
Fraser, Ryan
Modric, Luka
62'
42'
Mcgregor, Callum
34'
McKenna, Scott
33'
Hanley, Grant
McKenna, Scott
Lovren, Dejan
26'
Vlasic, Nikola
17'

Croatia vs Scotland betting odds

This article covers Croatia vs Scotland betting tips and Euro 2020 predictions, and these are the betting odds.

o – Croatia 6/5

o – Draw 14/5

o – Scotland 2/1

Note: All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Croatia vs Scotland betting tips: Win probabilities

Check out the win probabilities below.

At the time of writing, Croatia are 43% favourites to win.

Scotland have a 30% win probability, while the draw is valued at 27%.

Croatia vs Scotland betting tips: Make your prediction

Croatia vs Scotland
Which team is more likely to win the game, and what would the score be?
Prediction closed (22:00, 22 Jun, 2021)
*Your Pick
Croatia vs Scotland
21 Votes
Scotland
Scotland
Croatia
Croatia
Croatia
*Predicted score excluding overtime and penalties

Betting prediction: Croatia 2 – 1 Scotland

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Croatia face Scotland at Hampden Park in Glasgow, Scotland on Tuesday in this final round of Group D Euro 2020 matches.

In the 5 previous meetings in this head-to-head, Scotland have never fallen to defeat at the hands of Croatia.

The most common result in matches between these nations has been a draw, with 3 of the 5 matches ending in a stalemate.

Scotland have won each of the last 2 matches between these nations.

Croatia World Cup

Recommended Croatia vs Scotland betting tips

1-0 Croatia win. Croatia have never defeated the Scots in 5 international meetings. The most likely result according to bets placed so far is a narrow 1-0 win for Croatia.

2-2 draw. Both sides have looked quiet in attack in this tournament so far. However, with a draw helping neither side here, they could open up and be more cavalier in their approach here giving us a high-scoring match.

2-0 Scotland win. Scotland were 2-0 winners when these nations last met here in Glasgow for World Cup Qualifiers back in 2013.

Under 2.5 goals. The previous 5 encounters in this head-to-head have all produced under 2.5 goal games. Additionally, all 4 matches involving Croatia and Scotland in this tournament so far have been under 2.5 goal games.

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Lyndon Dykes to score anytime. Lyndon Dykes has come closest to getting on the scoresheet this tournament for Scotland. He has missed both of the big chances Scotland created in this tournament and 1.25 of Scotland’s 2.61 total xG from this tournament come from Dykes’ 3 shots.

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Croatia vs Scotland betting odds: More markets

Croatia vs Scotland betting data – Form and H2H statistics

Croatia vs Scotland form
l
Croatia vs Spain - 3:5
w
Croatia vs Scotland - 3:1
d
Croatia vs Czech Republic - 1:1
l
England vs Croatia - 1:0
l
Belgium vs Croatia - 1:0
Latest match form, last 5 games:
l
Croatia vs Scotland - 3:1
d
England vs Scotland - 0:0
l
Scotland vs Czech Republic - 0:2
w
Luxembourg vs Scotland - 0:1
d
Netherlands vs Scotland - 2:2
Last 5 games for Croatia
June 28, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Croatia 3 - 5 Spain
June 22, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Croatia 3 - 1 Scotland
June 18, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Croatia 1 - 1 Czech Republic
June 13, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 England 1 - 0 Croatia
June 6, 2021 Int. Friendly Games 2021 Belgium 1 - 0 Croatia
Last 5 games for Scotland
June 22, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Croatia 3 - 1 Scotland
June 18, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 England 0 - 0 Scotland
June 14, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Scotland 0 - 2 Czech Republic
June 6, 2021 Int. Friendly Games 2021 Luxembourg 0 - 1 Scotland
June 2, 2021 Int. Friendly Games 2021 Netherlands 2 - 2 Scotland
Croatia vs Scotland Euro Cup 2020 form
Croatia Scotland
4 Matches played 3
1 Matches won 0
40 Goal attempts 38
19 Shots on goal 9
15 Shots off goal 13
11 Corner kicks 18
49% Average ball possession 44%
6 Shots blocked 16
7 Cards given 3
47 Free kicks 37
13 Offsides 2
1 Shots on bar 1
4 Goals by foot 1
2 Goals by head 0
7 Goals scored 1
8 Goals conceded 5
0 Shots on post 1
Croatia vs Scotland statistics for most recent head to head matches
Croatia Scotland
3 Matches 3
2 Home Matches 1
1 Away Matches 2
3 Total Goals 4
1 Average Goals Scored 1.33
1 Wins 2
2 Losses 1
0 Draws 0
Last 5 games & match results between Croatia and Scotland
June 22, 2021 Euro Cup 2020 Croatia 3 - 1 Scotland
October 15, 2013 World Cup Qualification 2014, Europe (UEFA) Scotland 2 - 0 Croatia
June 7, 2013 World Cup Qualification 2014, Europe (UEFA) Croatia 0 - 1 Scotland

Euro 2020 Group D: Path to qualification

Czech Republic come into the final round of games in top-spot on goal difference. A win or draw would see them finish atop of the group. Even a defeat would likely see them go through unless Croatia defeat Scotland and overturn the Czech’s +3 goal difference coming into the match. Even then, the Czechs would likely go through as one of the best four 3rd placed sides.

England need a win to top the group. A draw would secure 2nd place. Should England lose, they would still finish 2nd unless Scotland win and overturn England’s +3 goal difference over the Scots coming into the match. Even then, the Three Lions would likely go through as one of the best four 3rd placed sides.

Any result other than a win here will see Croatia immediately eliminated from the tournament. They could finish 2nd if they beat Scotland, England win in the other match and they can overturn the Czech’s +3 goal difference coming into the match. Regardless, they should still go through as one of the best 3rd placed sides if they can pick up a win here.

To automatically qualify, Scotland need a win here and for England to lose to the Czech Republic, plus see a swing of England’s +3 goal difference advantage coming into the match in their favour. Ultimately, anything other than a Scotland victory and they are going home. Any Scottish win likely sees them finish as one of the best 3rd placed sides.

Ryan Fraser

Croatia vs Scotland betting tips: Match preview

After being losing World Cup finalists in the last major tournament, there were some expectations on Croatia to be a threat in this European Championships.

Of course, since then Ivan Rakitić, Vedran Ćorluka and Nikola Kalinić have all retired from international duty. Although, it is the retirement of Mario Mandžukić that has likely hit them hardest.

Without the AC Milan forward, Croatia are lacking someone to lead the line. His Milan teammate, Ante Rebic, has struggled to do so thus far in the tournament and was replaced at half-time against Czech Republic.

In addition, their Ballon d’Or winning midfielder Luka Modric is nearing his 36th birthday and no longer has the legs to cover midfield the way he did at his peak. Their main attacker, Ivan Perišić, is also the wrong-side of 30.

As a result, Croatia struggle to inject any pace or intensity into the game. Everything feels a little one-paced. If you are unable to stretch teams vertically or horizontally, and lack a presence in the box, you will struggle to be effective in creating and scoring chances.

Therefore, with just 1 goal in the tournament and an expected goals (or xG) of just 1.4, only Hungary with 1 goal and an xG 0.6 have been equal or worse in both metrics in the tournament so far.

Scotland’s problems look very different to those of Croatia. With an average age of 26.9, Croatia have one of the younger starting XIs in the competition. Goalkeeper David Marshall is the only player over the age of 30 in their starting XI and substitute defender Declan Gallagher is the only outfield player in the squad over 29.

What Scotland lack is quality in depth. None of the three forwards to have picked up minutes in this tournament has more than 2 international goals. Che Adams is the only one to play in Europe’s top-5 leagues, and he has just 8 Premier League goals for Southampton in total over 2 seasons.

Clearly, Steve Clarke believes his side aren’t going to outplay many sides in this tournament and has taken a very pragmatic and direct approach in this tournament. It has largely worked for them too, leading the tournament in accurate crosses with 7 per game, long balls with 62.5 per game, aerial duels won with 25 per game and are 4th in shots with 15 per game.

The issue is quality. For all those shots, they have created just 2 big chances in the tournament. Both falling to Dykes of QPR. The good news for Scotland is that if you are creating chances you always have a chance.

Hopefully, lady luck will shine on them, having had 30 shots and over 2.6xG’s worth of chances and yet nothing to show for it so far. You fear it could be another long evening for the Scots though.


Croatia vs Scotland betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

Croatia team news vs Scotland

After his yellow card against Czech Republic for a laughable penalty decision, Dejan Lovren is now at risk of missing Croatia’s Round of 16 match with another booking here, should they qualify.

Duje Caleta-Car, Marcelo Brozovic and Mateo Kovacic are in a similar position having picked up yellow cards in the 1-0 defeat to England.

Ante Rebic has had a disappointing tournament so far for Croatia. He hasn’t proven to be much of a goal threat in either of Croatia’s games so far and was removed at half-time against Czech Republic. Bruno Petkovic could get the chance to lead the line here from the start.

Josip Brekalo replaced Marcelo Brozovic in the starting XI to face the Czechs. The intent to give Croatia a more attacking look didn’t work and the 22-year-old Wolfsburg winger was replaced at half-time.

Croatian Squad in Full

Goalkeepers: Dominik Livaković (Dinamo Zagreb), Lovre Kalinić (Hajduk Split), Simon Sluga (Luton Town)
Defenders: Šime Vrsaljko (Atlético Madrid), Borna Barišić (Rangers), Duje Ćaleta-Car (Marseille), Dejan Lovren(Zenit Saint Petersburg), Mile Škorić (Osijek), Domagoj Vida (Beşiktaş), Josip Juranović (Legia Warsaw), Domagoj Bradarić (Lille), Joško Gvardiol (Dinamo Zagreb)
Midfielders: Mateo Kovačić (Chelsea), Luka Modrić ©(Real Madrid), Marcelo Brozović (Internazionale), Nikola Vlašić (CSKA Moscow), Mario Pašalić (Atalanta), Milan Badelj (Genoa), Luka Ivanušec (Dinamo Zagreb)
Forwards: Ivan Perišić(Internazionale), Josip Brekalo (VfL Wolfsburg), Andrej Kramarić (1899 Hoffenheim), Ante Rebić (Milan), Ante Budimir (Osasuna), Mislav Oršić (Dinamo Zagreb), Bruno Petković (Dinamo Zagreb)

Croatia vs Scotland betting tips: Preview, predictions & odds

Scotland team news vs Croatia

On Monday, Scotland confirmed that Billy Gilmour will miss the Croatia game after he tested positive for Covid-19.

John Fleck or Stuart Armstrong are the likeliest players to replace Gilmour in the Scotland XI.

Also, the Scots also have players walking the tightrope this match to avoid a suspension for any potential Round of 16 match.

John McGinn and Stephen O’Donnell both start this match knowing a booking against Croatia will see them miss Scotland’s next match in this competition, if they have one.

Scottish Squad in Full

Goalkeepers: David Marshall (Derby County), Craig Gordon (Heart of Midlothian), Jon McLaughlin (Rangers)
Defenders: Stephen O’Donnell (Motherwell), Andrew Robertson ©(Liverpool), Grant Hanley (Norwich City), Kieran Tierney (Arsenal), Greg Taylor (Celtic), Declan Gallagher (Motherwell), Liam Cooper (Leeds United), Nathan Patterson (Rangers), Jack Hendry (Oostende), Scott McKenna (Nottingham Forest)
Midfielders: Scott McTominay (Manchester United), John McGinn (Aston Villa), Callum McGregor (Celtic), Ryan Christie (Celtic), John Fleck (Sheffield United), Stuart Armstrong (Southampton), David Turnbull (Celtic), Ryan Fraser (Newcastle United), Billy Gilmour (Chelsea), James Forrest (Celtic)
Forwards: Lyndon Dykes (Queens Park Rangers), Ché Adams (Southampton), Kevin Nisbet (Hibernian)

Prediction: Croatia line-up vs Scotland

Croatia's predicted XI to face Scotland.

Croatia’s predicted XI to face Scotland.

Prediction: Scotland line-up vs Croatia

Scotland's predicted XI to face Croatia.

Scotland’s predicted XI to face Croatia.


Croatia vs Scotland – Official videos


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This article was edited by Benjamin Newman.

Croatia vs Scotland betting tips FAQs

What are the betting odds for Croatia vs Scotland?
Croatia 6/5, Draw 14/5, Scotland 2/1
What is the 101 Great Goals prediction for Croatia vs Scotland?
101 Great Goals predicts: Croatia 2 - 1 Scotland