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Bolivia vs Brazil betting tips: CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifier preview, predictions & odds

Brazil celebrate after win over Paraguay
Bolivia
0
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4
Brazil
Match ended
Show players
Vaca, Ramiro
90'
90'
Richarlison
Villarroel, Moises
Garcia, John
87'
84'
Telles, Alex
Arana, Guilherme
77'
Paqueta, Lucas
Arthur
77'
Antony
Rodrygo
Vaca, Henry
73'
66'
Guimaraes, Bruno
54'
Coutinho, Philippe
Martinelli, Gabriel
Chura, Jeyson
Gonzales, Franz
46'
Herrera, Jose
Martinez Salazar, Yesit
46'
Villamil, Gabriel
Vaca, Ramiro
46'
45'
Richarlison
24'
Paqueta, Lucas

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The Brazilian players already believe this is a tough match they will struggle to win. After the 0-0 draw here on their undermentioned last visit and subsequent complaints will further fuel this fire, added to the absence of the talismanic Neymar, psychologically Brazil may come here with the rare mindset of trying not to lose rather than win the match.

Therefore, 101 Great Goals’ prediction for this match is Bolivia 1-1 Brazil and is available at odds of 8/1.

Alternatively, you can bet on any Bolivia win at 5.75/1 against Brazil at home on Tuesday.

Or, back any away win for Brazil at 1.53/1 here at the Estadio Hernando Siles in La Paz, Bolivia.

You can find odds of 4.2/1 for any draw between Bolivia and Brazil on Tuesday.


Bolivia vs Brazil betting tips: CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifier preview, predictions & odds

SAO PAULO, BRAZIL – JUNE 14: Philippe Coutinho of Brazil in action during the Copa America Brazil 2019 group A match between Brazil and Bolivia at Morumbi Stadium on June 14, 2019 in Sao Paulo, Brazil. (Photo by Buda Mendes/Getty Images)Bet on Bolivia vs Brazil at bet365 by clicking here.

Match preview

A lot is made of “home advantage”. In battle, it is about knowing the terrain and being able to prepare it to your advantage. The populace also acts as your lookouts – your eyes and ears alerting you to the presence of the enemy by making noise.

We see some of this too in a team sport. The local crowd making noise to rattle the opponents and motivate their own team. The terrain can also be somewhat prepared by teams making the surface more or less playable through cutting the grass or letting it grow, watering the pitch or not, offering a much smaller dressing room and preparation area compared to that of the home side. “Marginal gains” is what they are often referred to in the media.

For the Bolivian national team, home advantage is taken to a whole other level with their stadium in the Andes mountains being 3,600 meters (11,800 feet) above sea level. Humans are best adapted to oxygen-rich low altitudes and start experiencing ‘altitude sickness’ above 2,500 meters as we struggle to take in the oxygen we need due to the lower air pressure at higher altitudes.

As a result, FIFA put a temporary ban on playing at altitudes above 2,500 meters in 2007 following complaints by the Brazilian Football Confederation. This was lifted in 2008 when a letter of protest was submitted signed by the other CONMEBOL member associations except for Brazil.

This issue resurfaced in 2017 when Neymar famously said playing in La Paz was “inhumane” at near 12,000 feet and the squad was pictured requiring oxygen tanks after the match. Some Brazilian fans on social media have since speculated that Neymar “provoked” his yellow card in his last match against Chile to avoid having to play at altitude in Bolivia once again.

The head to head data makes a compelling argument that Bolivia enjoys facing Brazil here too. While Brazil have dominated the head to head with 22 wins to five, all five of Bolivia’s victories have come on Bolivian soil. Four of those five victories here at La Paz while the fifth and most memorable was the final of the 1963 South American Championship (now known as Copa America) in Cochabamba which is also situated more than 2,500 meters above sea level.

It can take weeks and sometimes months to fully acclimatise to playing at altitude. Therefore, with just five of their 33-strong squad currently playing for clubs outside of Bolivia, La Verde players shouldn’t have much trouble dealing with playing at such altitudes. Not to mention the fact that indigenous people to Bolivia have adapted to such conditions through larger lung volumes and better oxygen efficiency compared to lowland indigenous people.

Their #10, Ramiro Vaca, is the only key player for Bolivia currently playing for a club in Europe, playing in Belgium’s First Division A for Beerschot in Antwerp. Jairo Quinteros is another key player plying his trade abroad for MLS club Inter Miami.

For Brazil, look out for Gabriel Martinelli. We predicted in our preview of the Chile game that Martinelli would get his first cap for Brazil. With that box now checked off, he is likely to start this match in place of Neymar and try to show what he can do at this level for his country to stake an early claim for a squad place in the upcoming World Cup.


Bolivia vs Brazil betting tips: CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifier preview, predictions & odds

Bolivia’s Marcelo Martins (R) takes to Bolivia’s Venezuelan coach Cesar Farias before getting on to the field during the Conmebol Copa America 2021 football tournament group phase match against Uruguay at the Arena Pantanal Stadium in Cuiaba, Brazil, on June 24, 2021. (Photo by SILVIO AVILA / AFP) (Photo by SILVIO AVILA/AFP via Getty Images)

Bolivia team news

La Verde have named a huge squad of 33 players for their final World Cup Qualifying matches. Having already been eliminated, they certainly have one eye on the future with experienced players such as Carlos Lampe, Diego Bejarano, Adrián Jusino, Enrique Flores, Óscar Ribera, Alejandro Chumacero, Leonel Justiniano, Fernando Saucedo, Marcelo Martins (pictured above), Juan Carlos Arce, Rodrigo Ramallo and Gilbert Álvarez all left out of the squad. This group will all be in their mid or late 30s when the 2026 World Cup comes around.

Jhohan Gutiérrez, Sebastián Álvarez, Luis Demiquel, José Herrera, Marcelo Suárez, Fran Supayabe, Jairo Velasco, Emerson Velásquez, Pablo Lima, and Richard Spenhay are the players looking to receive a first international cap here. Defenders Marc Enoumba and Luis Haquín are both suspended for this match after picking up their second yellow card of the qualifiers in the 3-0 defeat against Colombia on Thursday evening.

Bolivian Squad in Full

Goalkeepers: Guillermo Viscarra (The Strongest), Rubén Cordano (Bolívar), Jhohan Gutiérrez (The Strongest)
Defenders: José Sagredo (Bolívar), Luis Haquin (Bolívar), Roberto Fernández (Bolívar), Jairo Quinteros (States Inter Miami), Marc Enoumba (Always Ready), José María Carrasco (Universidad de Chile), Sebastián Reyes (Bolívar), Sebastián Álvarez (Oriente Petrolero), Luis Demiquel (The Strongest), José Herrera (Bolívar), Marcelo Suárez (Oriente Petrolero), Fran Supayabe (Guabirá), Jairo Velasco (Guabirá), Emerson Velásquez (Independiente Petrolero)
Midfielders: Ramiro Vaca (Beerschot), Moisés Villarroel (Jorge Wilstermann), Franz Gonzales (Platense), Jeyson Chura (The Strongest), Gabriel Villamil (Bolívar), Pablo Lima (Bolívar), Yesit Martínez (Independiente Petrolero), Richard Spenhay (Blooming)
Forwards: Henry Vaca (The Strongest), Bruno Miranda (Bolívar), Víctor Ábrego (Bolívar), Héctor Sánchez (Oriente Petrolero), John García (Bolívar), Jaume Cuéllar (Lugo), César Menacho (Jorge Wilstermann), Juan Montenegro (Guabirá)

Bolivia vs Brazil betting tips: CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifier preview, predictions & odds

Neymar Brazil player during a Group B match between Brazil and Colombia as part of Copa America Brazil 2021 at Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos on June 23, 2021 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. (Photo by Thiago Ribeiro/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Brazil team news

Ederson was originally called up for the matches against Chile and Bolivia but had to withdraw due to gastroenteritis. Atletico Mineiro keeper Everson has been called up to replace him with the 31-year-old hoping to receive his first cap for his country.

After a yellow card apiece against Chile, Vinícius Júnior and Neymar (pictured above) will now serve an automatic suspension. Every second booking in the qualifiers results in a suspension and with Vinicius receiving his second and Neymar his fourth, the pair will now miss this match.

Brazilian Squad in Full

Goalkeepers: Alisson (Liverpool), Weverton (Palmeiras), Everson (Atlético Mineiro)
Defenders: Danilo (Juventus), Thiago Silva (Chelsea), Marquinhos (Paris Saint-Germain), Alex Telles (Manchester United), Dani Alves (Barcelona), Éder Militão (Real Madrid), Guilherme Arana (Atlético Mineiro), Felipe (Atlético Madrid)
Midfielders: Casemiro (Real Madrid), Lucas Paquetá (Lyon), Fred (Manchester United), Philippe Coutinho (Aston Villa), Fabinho (Liverpool), Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle United), Arthur (Juventus)
Forwards: Richarlison (Everton), Neymar (Paris Saint-Germain), Antony (Ajax), Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal), Rodrygo (Real Madrid), Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)

Bolivia vs Brazil form
l
Bolivia vs Brazil - 0:4
l
Colombia vs Bolivia - 3:0
l
Bolivia vs Chile - 2:3
l
Venezuela vs Bolivia - 4:1
w
Bolivia vs Trinidad and Tobago - 5:0
Latest match form, last 5 games:
w
Japan vs Brazil - 0:1
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Republic of Korea vs Brazil - 1:5
w
Bolivia vs Brazil - 0:4
w
Brazil vs Chile - 4:0
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Brazil vs Paraguay - 4:0
Last 5 games for Bolivia
March 29, 2022 WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022 Bolivia 0  - 4 Brazil
March 24, 2022 WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022 Colombia 3  - 0 Bolivia
February 1, 2022 WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022 Bolivia 2  - 3 Chile
January 28, 2022 WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022 Venezuela 4  - 1 Bolivia
January 21, 2022 Int. Friendly Games 2022 Bolivia 5  - 0 Trinidad and Tobago
Last 5 games for Brazil
June 6, 2022 Int. Friendly Games 2022 Japan 0  - 1 Brazil
June 2, 2022 Int. Friendly Games 2022 Republic of Korea 1  - 5 Brazil
March 29, 2022 WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022 Bolivia 0  - 4 Brazil
March 24, 2022 WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022 Brazil 4  - 0 Chile
February 2, 2022 WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022 Brazil 4  - 0 Paraguay
Bolivia vs Brazil WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022 form
Bolivia Brazil
18 Matches played 17
4 Matches won 14
163 Goal attempts 221
60 Shots on goal 105
75 Shots off goal 84
64 Corner kicks 68
43% Average ball possession 60%
28 Shots blocked 32
48 Cards given 35
222 Free kicks 284
23 Offsides 29
1 Shots on post 1
5 Shots on bar 1
14 Goals by foot 34
9 Goals by head 5
23 Goals scored 40
42 Goals conceded 5
Bolivia vs Brazil statistics for most recent head to head matches
Bolivia Brazil
11 Matches 11
5 Home Matches 6
6 Away Matches 5
4 Total Goals 30
0.36 Average Goals Scored 2.73
1 Wins 7
7 Losses 1
3 Draws 3
Last 5 games & match results between Bolivia and Brazil
March 29, 2022 WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022 Bolivia 0  - 4 Brazil
October 10, 2020 WC Qual, CONMEBOL 2022 Brazil 5  - 0 Bolivia
June 15, 2019 Copa America 2019 Brazil 3  - 0 Bolivia
October 5, 2017 World Cup Qualification 2018 Bolivia 0  - 0 Brazil
October 7, 2016 World Cup Qualification 2018 Brazil 5  - 0 Bolivia

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What time is kick off between Bolivia vs Brazil?

23:30, Tuesday 29 March 2022

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